Washington Post Poll - Trump Leads 46 - 45
- Thread starter The Midnight
- Start date
Douchebag K
Well-Known Member
Is this for real ?? i thought it was all over and a foregone conclusion after the Donald's pu$$y grabbing shennanigans ???
You've been living under a rock the last week and a half bro?
That stuff is old news now.
Douchebag K
Well-Known Member
stopped paying attention to it after all that came out .. i thought Donald was a lame duck and it was all over ??? Has he seriously got a chance ?? wtf ??
Yup he has a REAL chance now apparently after the FBI decides to re open Hillary's email investigation.
Bad treatment of women VS national security... what's your pleasure? LOLOLOL ...
Douchebag K
Well-Known Member
the email thing i thought was a witchhunt ??
May be the first time. But now there's supposed to be new evidence. Perception is king in this.
One Love is off here. The election does not look close at all still. The general population vote has tightened but most polling places that are reliable still have Clinton at 70%-90% chance of winning.
Here is a decent one:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Please don't let OL drive the narrative in this thread like this. No details have been released regarding these most recent emails and there is no reason to believe they contain anything severely damming. Before the release of the info that these new emails existed they were in FBI hands for weeks. Now, several days after the announcement that they exist we still have no information about what they contain. It's as if the question about what they contain is more damning to Clinton than what they actually contain. Humm...
Anyway, OL sees the U.S. Presidential campaign as a substitute for Real Wives. He's happy there's a twist right when it seemed like the show was over. Sad that anyone in the world would feel like the U.S. Presidential election was cheap theater, but it is what it is. I've lashed out at OL for it and I shouldn't have.
So he can have his fun at our expense and UGLI can gloat about his prediction that the reality star will win because this is a reality TV event and not the election of our next President of the United States of America. So this *** clown Trump still has a shot. Super exciting! Can the U.S. get in the mud and roll around any harder for the entertainment of the rest of the world? No. No, we can't. We might as well eat an ice cream cone made out of our own turds. Or elect Donald Trump our President. The world will be entertained. We'll be the fools because as Americans we make the sacrifices the world requires us to make.
Anyway, OL sees the U.S. Presidential campaign as a substitute for Real Wives. He's happy there's a twist right when it seemed like the show was over. Sad that anyone in the world would feel like the U.S. Presidential election was cheap theater, but it is what it is. I've lashed out at OL for it and I shouldn't have.
So he can have his fun at our expense and UGLI can gloat about his prediction that the reality star will win because this is a reality TV event and not the election of our next President of the United States of America. So this *** clown Trump still has a shot. Super exciting! Can the U.S. get in the mud and roll around any harder for the entertainment of the rest of the world? No. No, we can't. We might as well eat an ice cream cone made out of our own turds. Or elect Donald Trump our President. The world will be entertained. We'll be the fools because as Americans we make the sacrifices the world requires us to make.
Actually Judge Judy, Snapped and Top Chef are my favourite shows now.
Can't stand Real House Wives.. don't mind Million Dollar Listings though.
Jonah
Well-Known Member
The race has tightened. No doubt about that. But Clinton is still the prohibitive favorite. Focusing on one poll, as many are prone to do, is emotional, naive, and simple-minded in the extreme.
Here’s an article by Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium that briefly explains why such emotional thinking predominates amongst our polarized electorate:
https://election.princeton.edu/2016/10/30/a-test-of-the-polarization-hypothesis/#more-18376
The article links to a New York Times article that lays out Wang’s polarization hypothesis in greater detail. I encourage anyone with a tendency to read too much into single poll results to really give the article a careful and thoughtful ten minutes of their time.
Right now, as of this morning, Wang still has Clinton at a 99 percent win probability.
Here’s an article by Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium that briefly explains why such emotional thinking predominates amongst our polarized electorate:
https://election.princeton.edu/2016/10/30/a-test-of-the-polarization-hypothesis/#more-18376
The article links to a New York Times article that lays out Wang’s polarization hypothesis in greater detail. I encourage anyone with a tendency to read too much into single poll results to really give the article a careful and thoughtful ten minutes of their time.
Right now, as of this morning, Wang still has Clinton at a 99 percent win probability.
The author is a dick.
Jonah
Well-Known Member
The author has been the most respected and accurate poll aggregator for the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections. He has put himself out on a limb with his near certainty of a Clinton win and much of that certainty is based on his polarization hypothesis. It would be interesting to hear any thoughtful replies and criticism of his theory.
I like the emails from her current campaign manager discussing how to infiltrate the Catholic Church an create a "Catholic Spring". You will not hear CNN talking about that one. Is he fired yet? No!
HC scares me to death. There is no human rights she stands for only propaganda.
Not even close.
It's not so much that she had classified emails on an unclassified system, although that's bad. It's how she and her team have responded since that was uncovered--repeatedly lying to the public, probably to the FBI, ignoring subpoenas, deliberately destroying evidence, and so forth. As usual, it's the cover up that's worse than the crime.