Red
Well-Known Member
It “feels like” she’s losing momentum at the moment. Even should she clearly appear to be the “winner” in the debate, I’m not sure it would make any real difference. Nate Silver has Trump winning the electoral vote easily at the moment, with some complaining he’s using biased info, whatever that means. But, for sure she is going to be really problematic for many men….The only way it would be better is he is male. Many R voters won't be caught dead voting for a black person. Add in female with it and frankly the Democrats fielded about the worst candidate they could find besides dementia Joe. So in that regard, Obama would be better, but the heavily racist bulk of the R voters would ensure his victory wouldn't be that close.
Honestly if the Democrat ticket were reversed and Walz was the P and Harris the VP they'd win much more comfortably. Many R swing voters would be a more more comfortable voting for a white male. I look at my parents as an example. They get how devastating a trump presidency would be for the country, but they are trying to talk themselves out of voting for Harris. They are in Utah, so Trump will win anyway, they say. Or I don't like either of them, maybe I just won't vote. When I ask what they don't like about Trump they have a litany of relevant things to say. When I ask them what they dislike about Harris it's a bunch of hemming a hawing, because when they think about it, her gender and race still bother them. They just don't want to face that. But they are almost 90. For them racism was just ingrained, although I've always considered them to be pretty fair and balanced, especially as compared to many in their generation. But that generational attitude is damn tough to break through. I'll get them to vote, my mom is kind of excited to vote for the first female president. But you can tell it still irks them a little bit. Tough pill to swallow when they spent 30+ years of their lives in segregation and the constant racist culture of the era, especially given it was their formative years. There are plenty like them, only swinging harder to the racist side of the spectrum. At church gatherings I've heard off-hand comments about how a woman can't make tough decisions because of their soft sensibilities, and she's black to boot! As if that's basically enough to disqualify, although it's always given with some excuse, because the people saying it realize they don't have a good reason to feel that way. But it's the indoctrination for much of the country, especially older white individuals. Hence why the Mormons have a really hard time breaking free of that, since the church itself indoctrinated its members against people of color for the better part of a century, and it's still jarring for many in Utah to see black people more regularly now than even just 15 or 20 years ago, let alone actually vote for one. It's sad and pitiful, but it's true.
“New polls show Vice President Harris faces a major challenge in winning over male voters and is losing men by a bigger margin than she’s winning women in key states such as Pennsylvania, Nevada and North Carolina.
The gender gap between Democrats and Republicans isn’t new, but it’s becoming especially pronounced in the toss-up race for president.
Former President Trump’s problems with female voters are well known. New polls show that Harris has just as big of a problem with male voters in some states.
At the Democratic convention in Chicago last month, Harris and her political team largely downplayed her chance of making history by becoming the first woman elected president, and political experts say male voters in some parts of the country remain leery about putting a woman in the Oval Office.
A senior Senate Democratic aide said sexism and misogyny are still powerful forces in the country’s battleground states.
“Misogyny is a hell of a drug,” the source quipped, who said the same problem reared its head when Hillary Clinton was the Democratic nominee eight years ago.
“It was glossed over when people said everyone hated Hillary Clinton,” the Democrat added”.
Nate Silver has chances of Trump winning electoral vote at 64%. Sometimes I see Harris assume a pose, hands on her heart, looking at her audience as if they were her children, with a loving smile. And, call me sexiest, I don’t mind, I’ll vote for her no problem, lol, but when I see that look, I think, “no, a lot of men want to see toughness in a president, not a motherly look!”. In the excitement and hopefulness generated by the selection of a woman, I was not focused on misogyny. But I think it is going to make it really, really tough to elect Kamala Harris. Feeling the momentum shift, but it’s always been easy for me to be a pessimist anyway….

U.S elections: Has Nate Silver skewed data in favour of Donald Trump, he faces backlash on social media
Some argue that Nate Silver's new election model favors less trustworthy surveys and benefits from his affiliation with a betting organization. The way his model projected Trump's chances has generated debate and encouragement from Trump's supporters.
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