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Mock Draft #1-5 (based on BPA and need)

Stifle Tower

Punch Bowl Re-Filler
1. Cleveland: Embiid
Close call between Wiggins and Embiid, but everyone knows the big plan is for the Cavs to have their prodigal son return. LBJ has not played with an elite post player, unless you count Bosh (I don't). Cavs have an elite PG, they'd have an elite big with Embiid. And they'd have an other-wordly wing player in James if he returns. Yes, they could use a wing like Wiggins. But Waiters is talented. Failing to get LBJ, the Cavs could also offer Deng a big contract to return. At the 5, they just have FA center Hawes, oft-injured Varejao and Cody Zeller. So HUGE need at the 5 (pun intended). Need matches BPA in this case. Embiid really seems like a no-brainer here (which likely means the Cavs draft Doug McDermott #1).

2. Milwaukee: Parker
He's a joker, he's a smoker, he's a midnight toker...Milwaukee would love to rid themselves of their hemp poster boy, Sanders, and take Embiid. They will if the draft goes Wiggins or Parker at #1. But they also have "yo Adrien" as their PF, so Parker is their next best option. And after all the bad publicity with Sanders, they'll welcome squeaky-clean Jabari.

3. Philadelphia: Wiggins
Wiggins is the #1 prospect on the board. Philly thrilled he's here at #3. In terms of need, what DOESN'T Philadelphia need after trading away their entire roster at the deadline (or did it just seem like that)? They have MCW at PG and Noel joins them after missing the year. Thaddeus Young is the one player they retained and he's played both SF and PF for them, IINM. Wiggins gives them another versatile player. If Milwaukee takes Wiggins, Parker goes to Philly and Young moves full-time to SF.

4. Orlando: Vonleh
Their strength was at the guard spots with Afflalo, Nelson and Oladipo. After 10 years, Jameer's career with Orlando might be finished ($2M to waive him vs. $8M to keep him). Exum would be a nice fit, but they already have a combo guard in Oladipo and desperately need a PF (with Vucevic at the 5 and Harkless at the 3). Vonleh has been rising after the combine and his first workout. Orlando has a tough choice to make, but the best fit is Vonleh. I also wouldn't count out Smart as a surprise pick here if he "wows" in workouts. A true PG to replace Nelson, which allows Oladipo to continue to come off the bench.

5. Utah: Exum
The coin flip against Boston was key. So was dropping just one spot in the lottery drawing. Randle, Smart and Gordon are all nice options, but Exum is clearly BPA. As a combo guard, he completes the guard rotation for Utah (Burke, Burks and Exum). He can get 30 mins/per and still come off the bench in Year #1. Hayward WAS the Jazz' starting SG, but he also moved to SF in lineups with Burks, which were more prevalent late in the season and to close out games. Utah gets a "top-4" pick and doesn't have to give up additional assets. They'll target a SF or fourth big with their second pick.


Conclusion: no need for Lindsey to sell the farm to move up, unless he feels the draft has 3 "can't miss" superstars.
 
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Ummm... So how did Philly get the second pick? They're third. Mil has the second pick.
Oops. I'll switch them. Glad you caught that!
Egg on my face!

Guess my bold prediction is Parker going #2 to Milwaukee over Wiggins. They need a PF and Parker is a model citizen. And that's not saying anything against Wiggins; I just think PF is a bigger need for them.
 
Wiggins will not go after Parker. Right or wrong for their team MIL would/will take Wiggins.

Very likely those two picks swap positions. And any of those teams could take Embiid, I think the first three picks are Wiggins, Embiid, Parker in some order.
The key is what Orlando does and how much Philly or Milwaukee would want to slide down to #5 if Lindsey is in love with one of the top-3 guys. I just don't see either of those teams really wanting Exum. So we may not hear about a trade...if there is one, until Orlando picks. A deal with Philly or Milwaukee may rest on Orlando choosing Exum, or on one of them really, really liking Randle.
 
5. Utah: Exum
The coin flip against Boston was key. So was dropping just one spot in the lottery drawing. Randle, Smart and Gordon are all nice options, but Exum is clearly BPA. .

Puke. Please explain how he is clearly best player available? He is clearly the one with biggest bust potential though.
 
I think Orlando could trade down with Utah and take Smart at #5 and Adrien Payne at #23 or Vonleh/Randle @ #5 and Ennis/Napier/ Anderson at #23. Plus, they have their own #12. Utah takes Exum at #4.

Or I could see Orlando packaging their #4 and #12 to move into the #2 spot. Milwaukee gets Exum at #4 (who could play well in the backcourt with Brandon Knight) and BPA at #12.
 
I think Orlando could trade down with Utah and take Smart at #5 and Adrien Payne at #23 or Vonleh/Randle @ #5 and Ennis/Napier/ Anderson at #23. Plus, they have their own #12. Utah takes Exum at #4.

Or I could see Orlando packaging their #4 and #12 to move into the #2 spot. Milwaukee gets Exum at #4 (who could play well in the backcourt with Brandon Knight) and BPA at #12.

If Milwaukee is dumb enough to trade #2 for that package, then we'd better beat the **** outta that package.

They won't, though. So this is stupid talk.
 
Puke. Please explain how he is clearly best player available? He is clearly the one with biggest bust potential though.

But you have to admit that Exum is long for a PG and has huge defensive potential...
 
But you have to admit that Exum is long for a PG and has huge defensive potential...

Yup. S. Livingston was long and had defensive potential as well. But I would rather have Gordon who has Marion/Artest or ( drool ) tougher, stronger, more athletic AK potential.
 
I think the scenario you have here is plausible, but I also think the Jazz would offer #5 plus a young player to move up to #3 for Parker. I think Wiggins/Embiid go 1 and 2 in whichever order.

I do think that Vonleh and Exum are becoming a toss-up for some teams. And Randle isn't out of the picture at 4 either.
 
I think Orlando could trade down with Utah and take Smart at #5 and Adrien Payne at #23 or Vonleh/Randle @ #5 and Ennis/Napier/ Anderson at #23. Plus, they have their own #12. Utah takes Exum at #4.

Or I could see Orlando packaging their #4 and #12 to move into the #2 spot. Milwaukee gets Exum at #4 (who could play well in the backcourt with Brandon Knight) and BPA at #12.
Did you post this after smoking a jeffrey?
 
Puke. Please explain how he is clearly best player available? He is clearly the one with biggest bust potential though.
OK. Let me revise my sentence: "Exum is clearly BPA to the majority of posters on this board and to most draft "experts" who have consistently ranked him in the top-4 in mock drafts. Admittedly, there are some who differ, including AKMVP, who appears to be violently ill at the notion."

Better?
 
OK. Let me revise my sentence: "Exum is clearly BPA to the majority of posters on this board and to most draft "experts" who have consistently ranked him in the top-4 in mock drafts. Admittedly, there are some who differ, including AKMVP, who appears to be violently ill at the notion."

Better?

Not sure bolded part is right. I think we may need another poll. And for example J.Rose did not have him even in top 5.
 
Yup. S. Livingston was long and had defensive potential as well. But I would rather have Gordon who has Marion/Artest or ( drool ) tougher, stronger, more athletic AK potential.

Marion was an 81 % freethrow shooter...
Ron Artest ? He's got a screw loose. Dude was ill, their was something wrong with him...
Kirilenko was atleast at 76 % on FT´s....

Exum is long, fast, athletik their is huge potential doe...
 
Yup. S. Livingston was long and had defensive potential as well. But I would rather have Gordon who has Marion/Artest or ( drool ) tougher, stronger, more athletic AK potential.

Had Livingston never suffered a devastating injury there's really no telling how good he would be right now.
 
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