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***OFFICIAL Prediction Thread - # of Wins?***

61 entries thus far. If I had a calculator other than on my phone I'd give y'all an avreeg.

62 entries now

median = 35 wins
mean = 36.6
stddev = 6.8


edit: without b_line's outlier (73), its:

median = 35 wins
mean = 36.0
stddev = 5.0
 
I agree. After the rough start, Jazz played nearly .500 for a stretch. Had Hayward shot better (his historic averages) and the team played better defensively (which we thought was going to be Corbin's main area of focus), Utah could have much better. And, the last 1 1/2 months, everyone except Burke just quit on Corbin.

Bordy, what do you think of this comment?
 
Bordy, what do you think of this comment?

I'm not bordy, or one of his hundreds of alts... but there is no way the Jazz make the playoffs last year. Their best stretch was .500 ball and they could have made the playoffs?
42-42 would have been 7 games back of a tie for 8th in the west. Too many what ifs to speculate playoffs, especially with a rookie PG, a few vets, an underachieving core, and a bunch of scrubs. No way.
 
I think people are being overly optimistic. If anything our team just became younger and less experienced, we became more of a project than we were last year. We just exchanged 2 veterans that were integral part of the rotation for 1 fringe rotation veteran, one rotation guy with 4 years of experience, 2 rookies and one virtual rookie(Felix) who played less than 1 full game(in minutes) in his first season. We also lost the 3 guys with highest 3pt % and we might lose the 4th best as well before the season starts.

This team is extremely young and I think the lack of veteran leadership will be obvious in a lot of games. I still think we can improve over last year(mainly because of change of coach and system), but getting more than 10 wins more than last season is way too optimistic in my view.
 
I think Jazzfanz will be surprised. I saw some toughness in this team on the road last year. I swear we were a better road team last year than we have been in many years. I think with the new coaching and growth, this team is gonna be good.
 
I'm not bordy, or one of his hundreds of alts... but there is no way the Jazz make the playoffs last year. Their best stretch was .500 ball and they could have made the playoffs?
42-42 would have been 7 games back of a tie for 8th in the west. Too many what ifs to speculate playoffs, especially with a rookie PG, a few vets, an underachieving core, and a bunch of scrubs. No way.
Might also want to read the 2nd part of the quote I was responding to, which referred to having a decent bench (which Utah did not have).
My point was the Jazz did play close to .500 for a good stretch.
After the 1-14 start, the Jazz went 20-22 before a 4-21 skid to end the season. Had Utah added a couple of QUALITY vets to the team, namely a good PG (with Burke as the backup) and a quality forward, they would have been a much stronger team. My stipulation was also that Hayward would shoot around 45%/40% (his career avgs to that point). Yes, it's a lot of "what ifs." But the Jazz were set up to have a bottom-10 season. WE knew that.
 
I think people are being overly optimistic. If anything our team just became younger and less experienced, we became more of a project than we were last year. We just exchanged 2 veterans that were integral part of the rotation for 1 fringe rotation veteran, one rotation guy with 4 years of experience, 2 rookies and one virtual rookie(Felix) who played less than 1 full game(in minutes) in his first season. We also lost the 3 guys with highest 3pt % and we might lose the 4th best as well before the season starts.

This team is extremely young and I think the lack of veteran leadership will be obvious in a lot of games. I still think we can improve over last year(mainly because of change of coach and system), but getting more than 10 wins more than last season is way too optimistic in my view.

Don't forget Rodney Hood is ready to play 25 minutes already. Addition of Booker is useful, he brings toughness and inside scoring, adds depth and experience. The main story is the Jazz finally got their future #1 option in Dante, he is not NBA-ready yet so the primary goal is to improve him and other young guys this year. I expect 32 wins in the tough West, 38-40 next year.
 
This is really tough to guess this year. There will be much fewer teams "tanking" this year, and that will eliminate some W's. At the same time, the Jazz are going to be trying much harder to win this year. Last year they were going through the motions toward the end of the season. They do get younger losing Williams and Jefferson who got significant minutes last year. At the same time, Favors has been improving every year, Hayward had a down year last year, Burke was a rookie who missed the first month of the season, and Burks showed that he is ready for a bigger role this year. I think that 38 would be the goal, but think they will end up around 35.
 
The wonders of google right before our eyes.
You are like a day late with that comment CT.
Triangleman already called that.
Google is a nice thing BTW, in my talks with bachelor and grad level students, I always ask whether that student first of all things googled.
I am writing a book and from time to time I google and find new online sources, which do help me immensely.
...
so endeth my rant
 
Let me go on record with the Jazz winning 41 games. Why? I just think we will improve without the Corbin curse and with good team chemistry.
 
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