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As others have rightly pointed out, there's way, way, way too little data in the 5 years since the lottery odds changed to do this. Even with the older odds, still far too little data to make any kind of judgment.

As a JHS stan out of the draft, I'll wait for him to start showing a bit of PG skills. Right now he's at 5 assists in 74 minutes. He has the size of a SG, to be fair, but part of the appeal was that he was a PG.

Yeah, that's kinda my point. So much goes "unpunished," that it wouldn't surprise me if the league is guiding teams more than we realize about where the lines are.

Kinda wonder how much guidance teams ask for and the league gives surrounding tanking issues. League has to know that its system incentivizes teams to lose. You'd also think that it's in the league's interest to (at least quietly/behind the scenes) let it be known where the lines are between...

Mostly agree (and certainly do for Detroit). Maybe the counter example is the Hornets? Seems (from the outside) that they usually have more talent than their record shows.

Agree with this, but it's not just the team's play since the Collins injury that leads me to the conclusion.

Beginning to think that the Jazz either think that there's a super-big difference between the 5th and 6th best prospects in the class or they're paranoid that they'll somehow start winning and fall to 4th or (who knows how, at this point?) even 5th in the lotto odds.

That would be my spot, too.

regression to the mean has nothing to do with what we can expect within the next few events (drafts). It's simply the mean that matters.

A season or two from Philly and OKC probably rival what we've don this year. (Remember when the Thunder basically shut down Shai two years in a row after midseason or so?)

The trades really helped them get winning players (even though they were "selling"). Plus their rookies have really come into their own lately. And, they don't seem to be purposely sitting guys much these days.

Yeah, spot on. And I think this is increasingly true (perhaps because of somewhat different skills emphasized in today's game compared to earlier eras, a more even pool of talent, or whatever else.)

This doesn't deserve it's own thread, but doesn't really fit with any of the threads, so maybe it's as good a place as any to put it: I've mentioned in another thread that there seems to be movement toward convergence in the value of draft picks, especially compared to a generation ago. In...

Who do you all have at the fifth pick (since that's the real prize of passing the Wizards)?

The wheel uniquely allows prospects to know what the draft landscape looks like the following year, and thereby make a better informed decision about the pros/cons of staying another year. As it is now, the top picks can basically only count on the prospect that if they don't come out one year...

For anyone who cares to give an assessment about this idea for rejiggering the lotto odds to try to solve tanking, I welcome your thoughts. (And yes I know there are ideas that do away with the lotto altogether that could well be more attractive -- I'm just trying to think what's possible IF the...

This story indicates that league investigating Thunder for sitting all five starters recently against Blazers (a game Thunder still won). Also says Sixers being investigated for possibly sitting out PG & Maxey too much...

Serious question: is having back spasms a problem that can me indicated/monitored by medical tests, or is it one of those conditions that only the individual experiencing it will be able to judge?

Yeah, if you're intending to tank until you get THE GUY, keeping it up long enough can be pretty difficult -- especially when building on years of not-terrible draft hauls. Maybe we're willing to keep recycling until we get the prize (like Philly did with Michael Carter-Williams), but that's...