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Gyp's wagers for the fall

Miggs

Miggs

Well-Known Member
USC U8.0 wins 390/300
LSU to win National Title 50/450
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Eagles U7.5 wins 188/125
Rams U7.5 wins 188/125
Raiders U8.5 wins 125/125
Jets U8 wins 175/125
Vikings O9.5 wins 169/125
Chiefs O9.5 wins 169/125
Jags U7.5 wins 125/131
Cards O10.0 wins 150/125
Bears U7.5 wins 200/125
Cowboys U9.5 wins 150/125
Bengals O9.5 wins 181/125
Lions U7.0 wins 131/125
Colts O9.5 wins 125/138
Bills U8.0 wins 163/125


I regret doing the Colts one as I just don't think they're very good. It was too much of an impulse play thinking Luck is going to be healthy and come back pissed off. Oh well. A mediocre division was another reason I did it so maybe I'll win it.
 
What's the O/U for Mississippi State? I feel like they might be underrated by a game this year because people going to assume they will suck without Prescott. I really like their Sophomore QB who is coming up though and Dan Mullen is a QB developing God.
 
King Cy said:
Did LSU get a QB or something?
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No but I think he'll be a little better (as a senior), they have a favorable schedule with Bama at home and such, return all 11 starters on defense, have the best running back in CFB, and a HC who is one of only about 7 (?) active coaches to win it all. I think that's a perfect storm of good for them. Even if they lose one game (and then win the SEC title), I think they make the playoffs and win it all. Love them.
 
King Cy said:
What's the O/U for Mississippi State? I feel like they might be underrated by a game this year because people going to assume they will suck without Prescott. I really like their Sophomore QB who is coming up though and Dan Mullen is a QB developing God.
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O/U is 6.5.
 
King Cy said:
What's the O/U for Mississippi State? I feel like they might be underrated by a game this year because people going to assume they will suck without Prescott. I really like their Sophomore QB who is coming up though and Dan Mullen is a QB developing God.
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Smart money says they'll suck. Take the under. Way under.
 
I'm not a gambler. What does the last part of it mean? For example, you have my Jets at under 8 wins (mistake), but what does 175/125 mean?
 
bigb said:
I'm not a gambler. What does the last part of it mean? For example, you have my Jets at under 8 wins (mistake), but what does 175/125 mean?
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Either you're joking or simply haven't looked at their schedule. They had 10 wins last year when basically everything fell right. Their schedule is brutal this year and they'd have to get 9 wins or more for me to lose. I'm very confident. I'd guess they go 7-9.

That said, it means I'm risking 175 to win 125.
 
Jets have a brutal schedule, especially to start the season. They also get nothing from the Brady suspension. They might manage to win 8 but I think that's their ceiling.

I'd stay away from Jacksonville at under 7.5 and Colts over 9.5 is a stretch.

I pretty much agree with everything else.
 
candrew said:
Jets have a brutal schedule, especially to start the season. They also get nothing from the Brady suspension. They might manage to win 8 but I think that's their ceiling.

I'd stay away from Jacksonville at under 7.5 and Colts over 9.5 is a stretch.

I pretty much agree with everything else.
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I did the Jags and Colts, like some of the others, for one main reason outside of the line itself. Culture. While I like where the Jags are headed, do I think they can already win 8 games? Nope. Their d has shown nothing and running game is mediocre. To get over that losing and become a winner is very tough. Look at the AFC alone. Pats, Steelers, Bengals, Ravens, Chiefs and Denver are winners consistently. And to a lesser degree, the Chargers with Rivers and Raiders (similar to Jax) and Jets and Bills and Fins and Houston for a variety of reasons either win 7-9 games usually or could. That makes it very tough for the Jags to slip in an also win 8 when they're so accustomed to losing.

For the Colts, like I said, I think Luck could come back healthy and pissed off, finally putting it all together with the young weapons and Gore. And in his first three years, they were winners. Not as confident in that though.

In general, I usually bet based on my gut on the line (don't care about odds at all) and consider the team's QB play and culture most of all. While I lose in my weekly betting, this is the one thing I've crushed for the three years I've done it. I'd estimate I'm 32-14 over that time.
 
Cunning Linguist said:
Either you're joking or simply haven't looked at their schedule. They had 10 wins last year when basically everything fell right. Their schedule is brutal this year and they'd have to get 9 wins or more for me to lose. I'm very confident. I'd guess they go 7-9.

That said, it means I'm risking 175 to win 125.
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I think my overly tired brain translated "under" to "over".
 
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