The pertinent questions that need to be asked would be:
1. Is there something out there that’s a meaningful enough upgrade that we grab for expiring salary and a draft asset we only kinda have.
2. If it’s purely a luxury tax thing, in what way does it benefit Ainge to make non-basketball trades? He’d have to sit this one out and let JZ be the bad guy. I don’t see Ainge getting aggressive and cut-throat over shekel saving. He’s not volunteering his retirement to be a finance guy.
3. If it’s purely a tax thing, would Ryan push for that now knowing that (presumably) we shut down Joe being dealt over the off-season for a basketball (and financial?) move, whereas now it’s purely financial? Of course, it could have been declined knowing there was time to somehow address the issue, and this deadline being where push comes to shove.
In the event of #1, it conflicts with #s 2 and 3. Meaning that if we’re offloading Joe as an expiring, then it’s likely in return for longer-term salary and further tax concerns in following years. If that’s the case, then there’s a huge emotional hurdle to also clear to only have the same issues later down the road (rather than the relief of Joe’s expiring deal). Unless you were trading Joe to a non-contender in exchange for another expiring they don’t need (like a Gary Harris or Thad Young [not necessarily them but you get the idea]). In that case, I think we could make a list of those guys and I’d be curious if there are really any upgrades in what we need in that pool.
If there’s a basketball move to be made, I’d see Clarkson as being the more obvious choice, even if Joe (physically) is the weakest link. Clarkson’s money is tied up beyond this year, making it easier to accept back a multi-year deal. We would also likely only move Clarkson in a basketball move, so it’d be for some level of an upgrade. I just see too many hypothetical problems in a Joe trade and if it’s a pure dump then the optics of buying Real Salt Lake and letting someone like Joe go would be bad. But again, I don’t think Ainge is spending his time or cashing in on relationships to facilitate a money-only deal when he’s just taken the reins on a team he’s looking to move over the top.