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How Long Before the Jazz Make the Playoffs Again?

How Many Years Until the Jazz are in the Playoffs again?

  • 0-1 Years

    Votes: 4 8.0%

  • 2-3 Years

    Votes: 12 24.0%

  • 4-5 Years

    Votes: 28 56.0%

  • 6-7 Years

    Votes: 3 6.0%

  • 8 + Years

    Votes: 3 6.0%
  • Total voters
    50
SoberasHotRod

SoberasHotRod

Well-Known Member
How long does a rebuild take? I'll define the rebuild process as the time between when the team starts being bad on purpose to the time when you make the playoffs again.
 
If DA doesn't totally gut the roster I predict that they will be in the playoffs this season with or without DM.
 
It really depends on a lot of things. If you hit a homerun like the Grizzlies did with Ja you are back into playoff contention almost immediately. OKC is getting to the point to where they are just going to have too much talent to not be in playoff contention. If you play your cards right you’re back at it in 2-3 years max.

Bottoming out is the key though. Something the Kings have never truly done so that is why they’re stuck in basketball purgatory which is good enough to not be in the bottom 5 but not good enough to be in playoff contention.
 
They are a play-in team in 2025. Convey a pretty good pick to the Thunder but get two others from Minny and probably NY.
 
With DM, at least a play-in team this season.

Without Donovan while we intentionally try to lose this season and next (so we don't lose the 2024 1st to OKC), I think we won't be in the playoffs for 5-6 seasons maybe even longer.
 
I think you can hope for 2-3 years, but the probability is more like 4-5 years. The way I see it:

- Year 1 Asset accumulation
- Year 2 Development
- Year 3 Development
- Year 4 Trying to be competitive, likely falling a little short
- Year 5 Playoffs
 
We counting the play in as making the playoffs. I think year 3 play in is reachable.
 
Sactown is currently on a 16 year playoff drought, but that is not normal. Most teams don't have playoff droughts of more than 7-9 years in the history of their franchises. Besides the Kings the only active team to have a playoff drought of more than 4 years is Charlotte at 6 years.

Of the current teams that have recently gone through purposeful rebuilds I would say OKC and Houston probably go through at least another year or two, so that would be 3-4 years. If Cleveland makes the playoffs this year that will have been 4 years. San Antonio is already on a 3 year drought, so they will likely be up to at least 6-7 years before they make it again. Orlando and Indiana are at two years, and I'm honestly not sure how much longer they will take.

I think roster turnover is more frequent these days than in past eras of the NBA, and so I think you cycle through playoff teams a little faster than in past eras.
 
I think 4-5 is a median-ish expectation, but it really depends on what state the franchise is in at that point. Are we getting in for one year because we had a great year, or are we poised to make the playoffs for several years after that? Could be either.

I think 5 is more realistic than 3, however. In 3 years I imagine a lot of the roster is still in their first 3 years and generally those players suck at winning basketball games even if their talented. But I could see something like Quickley+Toppin being very good and winning more games than we expect. And then comes the insufferable nature of having to trade them because they’re too good. If that becomes reality, we’re definitely looking at 5+ years.

The NBA is a really unfortunate league to follow if you enjoy basketball :(
 
2-3 years is possible, but I think 3-4 is more realistic. Under Danny Ainge, even if the Jazz tear it down to the studs and then burn it down to the foundation, I think they’ll be back to contention and relevance very quickly. That’s the main reason to accumulate as many future unprotected picks or pick swaps as you can. Focus on building your team up as good as you possibly can without worrying about what kind of draft picks you end up with. Maybe you luck out and nab a future franchise player with one of them.
 
With the drafts seen in recent memory, I’d be surprised if they are in the playoffs in five years. I want to stay positive in hopes Ainge does indeed have that draft mojo everyone talks about.
 
Coach Ellis said:
I like your enthusiasm, but NY is going to buckle.
Click to expand...

At this point I don’t see it happening until the trade deadline and with that there are two scenarios
1. The jazz are around 500 and Mitchell is playing amazing so we see if we can squeak into the playoffs through a play in game and deal him in the next off season
2. The Jazz just completley fall apart as a team but Donovan is stuffing the stat sheet and the knicks are hovering in serious contention and pull the trigger for him at the deadline


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Domino said:
At this point I don’t see it happening until the trade deadline and with that there are two scenarios
1. The jazz are around 500 and Mitchell is playing amazing so we see if we can squeak into the playoffs through a play in game and deal him in the next off season
2. The Jazz just completley fall apart as a team but Donovan is stuffing the stat sheet and the knicks are hovering in serious contention and pull the trigger for him at the deadline


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I just disagree. I think New York gets serious here before training camp when there’s a real deadline that impacts these decisions. Every indication is that the Jazz, the Knicks, Mitchell, CAA, Adidas, the NY media and both fan bases all want this deal to happen.

Whether they like it or not, Utah has more leverage here due to Donovan’s contract status. I just think New York as an institution expects this deal to happen now and the Knicks can less afford to NOT make the deal than they can afford to pay a premium price to get him.
 
Honestly, 2 seasons.

I'm not trying to be a diznick but people on here are damaged. The Jazz are - hands down - the second best small market run team in the league. New Orleans now being first - as soon as they hired some guys that actually cared they became very real. Now they're giving you a lineup of McCollum - Herb - Ingram - Zion - Hayes. That took about 18 months of being functional.

The Lakers were slated to be a top 2 in the West up until latest year. Until Memphis became that team...


We all age in life way faster than we thought we would. For NBA players, times that by about 3. The Warriors victory over the Celtics was stunning for that simple reason.


Teams fall off. This Jazz team is purposely structured not to fall off. watch.

.
 
I think the Jazz will miss the POs in the next two seasons, at least. How fast they get there depends on whether they're able to draft in the next two offseasons. That said, Ainge probably wants to have a competitive team, while he drafts young talent with other teams' picks he's acquired.

Jazz need two or three foundational level players, and they'll need to find at least two of them in the draft.
 
In Danny Angel’s 18 year tenure as Celtic’s CEO, they missed the playoffs three times in two rebuilds. Not once did he go scorched earth, electing to keep key veterans like Perkins, Pierce and big Al (had Rondo) through the first rebuild (05-07) at which point Danny traded for Garnett and Allen and won a title in 08. After the Boston (Brooklyn) massacre in 13-14 they did another mini-tank retaining Gerald Wallace, Rondo, Humphries and Sullinger. Back in the playoffs the following year.

And that doesn’t even factor in the Mitchell trade deadline scenario that @Domino so eloquently detailed above. I think Danny’s got plan A, B and possibly even C depending on when the big domino falls and how. Assuming nothing happens till the deadline, Dok and Kessler step up and with tested Warriors like Mitchell, Bogey, Clarkson, Beverly (or Conley), Beasley and Vandy we rolling through to the second round baby. If not, we keep Conley or Beverly, Clarkson, Beasley, Vandy, give Simone and Leandro minutes as well as former Knicks or Heat, take a swipe at Victor and back in the hunt the following year.
 
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