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If the Jazz are better than expected it's because...

Pick the most likely reason for the Jazz to crush their win total expectation.

  • Lauri has his best season in a Jazz Uniform

    Votes: 8 10.8%

  • Our Center rotation of Kessler/Nurkic is very good

    Votes: 2 2.7%

  • Will Hardy is coach of the year

    Votes: 3 4.1%

  • Ace and or WCJ are much better than typical rookies

    Votes: 29 39.2%

  • Keyonte and or Collier have a glow up

    Votes: 13 17.6%

  • Brice and or Cody have a glow up

    Votes: 2 2.7%

  • Hendricks and or Flip have a glow up

    Votes: 11 14.9%

  • Niang and or Anderson are the ultimate glue guys

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Front Office Reasons

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Other (post comment)

    Votes: 6 8.1%
  • Total voters
    74
I would put the most likely/most impactful options in this order:

- Keyonte having a 3rd year jump and making our guard rotation much improved
- 48 minutes of NBA level center rotation could have a huge impact on our defense.
- Lauri having an all star year and just having the type of gravity that makes everyone better for 70+ games. We strategically lost a lot of games against tanking teams last year by sitting Lauri. If he is playing against all of our tanking competition we could have more wins.
- I don't think it's extremely likely, but if Ace has the type of on/off impact he did at Rutgers, we could be much better than expected.
- Other - we get lucky/unlucky with playing opposing teams on off nights/with injuries. Last year we lost a crazy amount of games at home, and maybe we get our home court advantage back.

As others have stated, we would need a combination of a lot of things to win too many games. It will be very interesting if we get to March and we are at risk of losing our pick.
 
I'll be interested in Hardy's ten man rotation. Is it youth oriented or does Hardy let the "best" players play? Do a lot of the young players sit and watch if they are not the "best" players at the moment or go play for the Stars indefenitely?
 
homeytennis said:
I'll be interested in Hardy's ten man rotation. Is it youth oriented or does Hardy let the "best" players play? Do a lot of the young players sit and watch if they are not the "best" players at the moment or go play for the Stars indefenitely?
Click to expand...

Who isn't in the rotation is definitely an interesting question at the start of the year. For example, I'm pretty sure that Niang will be in the rotation, but that means Hendricks probably isn't. I think that Collier, WCJ, Brice, Anderson, and Cody will be fighting for 2 rotation spot throughout the year. If both Niang and Anderson are in the rotation, then two of our rookie contract guys won't be and this place will go insane.

I think it looks like this to start the year:

Definitely in the rotation:
Lauri, Kessler, Keyonte, Ace,

Probably in the rotation
Collier, Flip, Nurkic, Niang, WCJ, Brice,

Maybe in the rotation:
Anderson, Cody, Hendricks,

Probably not in the rotation:
Bamba, Svi, Love, Harkless, Tonje, Oscar,
 
Last edited:
SoberasHotRod said:
Who isn't in the rotation is definitely an interesting question at the start of the year. For example, I'm pretty sure that Niang will be in the rotation, but that means Hendricks probably isn't. I think that Collier, WCJ, Brice, Anderson, and Cody will be fighting for 2 rotation spot throughout the year. If both Niang and Anderson are in the rotation, then two of our rookie contract guys won't be and this place will go insane.

I think it looks like this to start the year:

Definitely in the rotation:
Lauri, Kessler, Keyonte, Ace,

Probably in the rotation
Collier, Flip, Nurkic, Niang, WCJ, Brice,

Maybe in the rotation:
Anderson, Cody, Hendricks,

Probably not in the rotation:
Svi, Love, Harkless, Tonje, Oscar,
Click to expand...
Mo Bamba?
 
I'm looking forward to watching our 2nd unit this year. It could be Walt / Brice / Cody / Taylor / Flip. They're young, but they might also fit pretty well.

Last year, we had Svi dribbling in circles, Cody looking lost, Flip who was just starting to figure things out, etc. I'd be watching our defense and our bench production to be a bit improved from last year.
 
Ferguson_Mellochill said:
I'm looking forward to watching our 2nd unit this year. It could be Walt / Brice / Cody / Taylor / Flip. They're young, but they might also fit pretty well.

Last year, we had Svi dribbling in circles, Cody looking lost, Flip who was just starting to figure things out, etc. I'd be watching our defense and our bench production to be a bit improved from last year.
Click to expand...
If I recall last season the second unit would get mauled badly on the +- stat. The first unit would often hold its own and then turn it over to the 2nd unit guys for the slaughter. That was great for the tank.
 
It's interesting that nobody asks "If the Jazz are worse than expected it's because...?" Like, is it even humanly possible for the Jazz to be worse than expected?

I think we plopped on the ocean floor, folks. There is nothing below us.
 
Didn't choose some of these because I think they should be expected (but we will still be bad). But if Ace and/or Clayton takes off quick then that would be the surprise contribution that wins us games.
 
I gotta go with Hendricks and/or Flip.

Flip is already showing serious signs. If Hendricks grows substantially toward his ceiling as a defender, then Hendricks+Kessler could have nonlinear impacts on the quality of the defense. If you go from ~28th to ~18th, then that means wins.
 
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