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You know those are mutually exclusive outcomes, don't you? Can't have both.

76ers not in a real dire situation. Whether they win or lose very likely won't change their positioning at this point.

Agree about the luck. And the tanking fatigue is real. But I don't think that getting trapped is as much of a danger as it's often laid out to be. Go compare what the Spurs record looked like in the years before they got really bad and lucked into Wemby with what we seem to have gotten ourselves...

I've seen enough over the years to know that there's just not much correlation between college crunch-time successes or failures and NBA success.

Slipping in the play-in games means that their pick would be in the lottery (though undoubtedly one of the worst two lottery positions)

True

We'll hope so, if we end up with one of them. I don't have the faith you do, but drafts always turn out with some differences from expectations.

Don't know where else to put it, but Locke dropping some truth bombs (imo) the last couple days on his show: Jazz have done a masterful job tanking this year The tanking (or bottom-5 finish, as he prefers) model works almost all of the time, but only if your expectations are to build a playoff...

That's kind of the situation I was thinking about, but with the reverse conclusion. I'm not much of an athlete at all, but I've been a much better biker than many people, I think, at times in my life. But biking has never done much to leave me with anything but skinny-ish legs. (Again, not...

I've been in academics for decades. I would not consider this plagiarism at all. While true that it's nicer to include the exact source, the essence of plagiarism is trying to pass off someone else's ideas as your own. @homeytennis did not do this. (This is without getting into the issue of...

Yes (except 14%, rather than 15%).

Maybe it's more accurate (or psychologically better) to think of things as rising in the lottery rather than falling. Our base pick is 5th (if things hold the rest of the way). That's the most likely single outcome. The lottery is a chance to rise beyond that. If the lottery ball falls for us...

Think this was pretty well is the bag some games ago.

A question from my own ignorance: how many players are out there do you all know that have significantly built up the lower half of their bodies? While I don't doubt that there are some positive things that can be done with lower bodies, my immediate thought is that it's much easier to become...

Yeah, that's all that matters, ultimately. Jazz actions seem to be telling us they think there's a big difference between 5 & 6.

I've also been somewhat influenced by the argument that draft mistakes are typically made high in the draft when you draft someone hoping to be a #1 who turns out not to be able to carry the load. Better, I've heard some draftniks argue, to draft someone you're confident to be a great role...

This could be true. If so, it would be an anomaly of a sort, however. The relative difference in value between picks (on average) generally declines with each pick. Difference in value between 1 & 2 is typically much larger than difference in value between 5 & 6. (Remember a couple weeks ago...

Ouch

Good point. I suspect it hasn't, as you say, changed enough. But yeah, not 100% sure.

I'm almost certain this possibility does not exist at this point (post-Bird). I can't imagine it wouldn't be exploited if it was still available. (But I don't have a direct reference to point to, so it's probably worth continuing to see if there's someone who has a more researched answer.)