Search results

They all know (presumably) that the worst record doesn't mean a better chance for the #1 pick. (Although I assume that the reason they have Washington picking #1 is better explained as long habit, since Wizards were worst almost all of the year, or that the mocks were produced when the Wizards...

The article I quoted from above strengthens my suspicion that there's two separate things going on with the draft that are not often enough acknowledged as separate: The NBA's notion that top picks should be awarded to the teams that need talent the most (the worst teams). In other words, the...

Yeah that's why I was asking homey who he wants for the 5th pick. Do you have a guy at 5th that you're yearning for? (It's OK if you don't. I certainly am not enough into the draft this time to have an informed opinion.)

I'm kind of behind on things around here, so I assume that many of you have seen this article from Bontemps and Felton on ESPN on tanking. For those that haven't, one of the key things I liked was they interviewed Evan Wasch, the NBA's executive vice president of strategy and analytics. Some of...

Every loss (as an individual event) doesn't help on the probability of the lottery balls at this point. The only way we can change (reduce) the number of lottery balls we have is to win 4 of our last 7 games (and that's only with the assumption that the Pels lose out). Nothing we can do now...

I know it's a schtick, but curious if you really have someone in mind that the upcoming game will make a difference for.

So (at least from the part devoted to the Jazz), the idea is: Consider trading out for future draft capital if don't get top 2 (chance of Ace or VJ becoming HIM is too low) Big gap after 4 in the draft Hmmm ...

It's supposed to be 3.9 for the #2 seed, so maybe Tankathon is rigged in our favor? ;)

It's very easy ex post facto to come up with narratives that people are willing to believe for why a result must have been rigged (and especially so when there's a great draftee on the line). It's probably much harder (unlikely in the world of odds) to come to a result that won't produce a...

Well, since the Pels were outscored by the Wolves by 37 over two games, at least they were kind enough to win the first, before getting blown out by 41 tonight.

Maybe too early to fully trust ChatGPT? (Or just a typo?) Both Spurs and Pistons had first pick in 2023?

Sorry that some will not be able to read it but Andy Larsen calculated the value of this loss (win) by the Jazz (if the Jazz end up finishing 2nd to the Wizards 1st in the tank race, which is by no means assured) to be about 20% of the value of a late 2nd round pick. So yeah, odds are pretty...

As others have rightly pointed out, there's way, way, way too little data in the 5 years since the lottery odds changed to do this. Even with the older odds, still far too little data to make any kind of judgment.

As a JHS stan out of the draft, I'll wait for him to start showing a bit of PG skills. Right now he's at 5 assists in 74 minutes. He has the size of a SG, to be fair, but part of the appeal was that he was a PG.

Yeah, that's kinda my point. So much goes "unpunished," that it wouldn't surprise me if the league is guiding teams more than we realize about where the lines are.

Kinda wonder how much guidance teams ask for and the league gives surrounding tanking issues. League has to know that its system incentivizes teams to lose. You'd also think that it's in the league's interest to (at least quietly/behind the scenes) let it be known where the lines are between...

Mostly agree (and certainly do for Detroit). Maybe the counter example is the Hornets? Seems (from the outside) that they usually have more talent than their record shows.

Agree with this, but it's not just the team's play since the Collins injury that leads me to the conclusion.

Beginning to think that the Jazz either think that there's a super-big difference between the 5th and 6th best prospects in the class or they're paranoid that they'll somehow start winning and fall to 4th or (who knows how, at this point?) even 5th in the lotto odds.

That would be my spot, too.