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  1. HermanG

    2025 Playoffs Chat & Chill Thread

    Lol. Hartenstein has by far the worst net rating of those 3 despite his team having far superior rating. For instance Robinson is +8.6 in a team thats -0.4 while Hartenstein is +5.4 in a team thats +10.6.
  2. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    Same story every year... either we use in shoes or w/o shoes metrics but we dont switch that from prospect to prospect. Ace at 6'10 has twice as much air in that number than Tre has when he is referred to as 6'6. Official combine w/o shoes heights are 6'7.50 and 6'4.75.
  3. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    I specifically mentioned their similarities. VJ has the highest two-way potential of all the top prospects simply because he has high BBIQ, is a willing defender and possesses said athleticism. He is far from a lockdown defender but the only one of all top 5 guys I could see becoming one. I...
  4. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    If we were in the business of making unrealistic high upside comps based on current NBA players I would say: VJ has shades of Ant (ridiculous explosiveness and over the rim athleticism paired with legit two-way upside). Ace has shades of Durant (size and shotmaking). Fears has shades of SGA...
  5. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    The thing that concerns me about Fears.. is that he shoots great from standstill but dreadful from any kind of movement. Is he one of those guys who needs perfect balance and set feet to make shots at acceptable rate? I dont see how a guy who averages 85% from FT with 6.3 attempts "just needs to...
  6. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    I dont think he is Key.... but I also think if Key was 6'6 and hit 40% of his 3s with the same difficulty Tre does I'd say the tone about him here would be a bit different. Tre does have some similarities to Key that also go beyond their game... He sometimes gets very visibly frustrated when he...
  7. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    I think small guards are avoided since they are almost automatic liabilities on defense. Also apart from Steph who is "uncomparable" they havent been successful as #1 guys. Right now Jalen Brunson is showing why. Indy is hunting him on defense and scoring on him succesfully b3cause of their...
  8. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    I think some have been staring the 3-5 guys for top long and now they cant unsee their warts anymore. I think I see their warts as well but I'm not gonna hedge and drop them down.
  9. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    You cant realistically project MVP level outcomes. Jokic, SGA, Giannis... none of them was top 5 even. Im not trying to project one specific outcome.. thats the whole point. You look at all the outcomes. I just gave the low end examples.. not the high end.
  10. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    Thats not how you should project development. Each player has multiple optional paths that lead to different results. To project you should take their bankable skills and attributes, and see what options exist. If Fears doesnt develop his shooting then what paths are there left for him to...
  11. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    I want Tre but I dont expect him to ever become #1 on a championship team caliber guy. I guess its possible, but I think his ceiling is a low end All-Star (so great 2nd option guy on a great team). His defense is so far away and he isnt a 3 level scorer (his rim numbers are bad... both in...
  12. HermanG

    2025 Playoffs Chat & Chill Thread

    Well none of the teams left are constructed like that. OKC has Hartenstein, MIN has Gobert, NYK has Robinson and all those 3 are main rotation guys averaging over 23 minutes. Even Indy has played multiple guys on their rotation that cant really shoot (Bryant and Bradley... and to lesser extent...
  13. HermanG

    2025 Playoffs Chat & Chill Thread

    Yeah Robinson has plenty of deficiencies as well with his game including enabling "hack a Mitch".... which tells a lot about how Thibs felt about KAT in that game. What is incredible is that Knicks starting lineup (Brunson, Hart, OG, Mikal, KAT) has a net rating of -9.5 in these playoffs...
  14. HermanG

    2025 Playoffs Chat & Chill Thread

    KAT is such a low IQ defender. Dude cannot avoid dumb fouls and leaves guys open in the paint all the time when he is supposed to play C and overextends to help on the perimeter. Thibs had enough of that in game 2. Dude played Mitchell Robinson more minutes in the 2nd half than his 2nd best...
  15. HermanG

    2025 Playoffs Chat & Chill Thread

    Before last nights comeback, teams who have had 14+ point lead in the playoffs with 2:45 left had collectively gone 994-0. Cherry picked qualifiers but its still quite amazing.
  16. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    Assessing outcomes based on interview profiling is difficult. Player development based on mindset is such a tricky thing to project since even the draft results themselves may affect the mindset and thus influence the path (high picks may end up entitled while low picks may end up with a mindset...
  17. HermanG

    Who should WE pick at #3 if we traded Lauri to Sixers?

    Jake Fisher saying Philly is willing to trade down but not out, and they arent moving George at his current low value unless PG asks to be traded. So it seems they may be eyeballing someone else than Bailey, and think they can get their guy later.
  18. HermanG

    Following Potential 2025 Draftees

    I havent' watched Fears but I would be pretty worried trusting his rim and FT rates translating when he shoots like 28% from 3. NBA defenses will not switch on him and will dive so deep under all screens before he proves he can shoot. Scoot was the "#1 overall talent in a normal draft" guy who...
  19. HermanG

    Who should WE pick at #3 if we traded Lauri to Sixers?

    We could field one of the greatest lineups ever. Keyonte JC Tre Ace Kessler Poor Kessler.
  20. HermanG

    JazzFanz Mock Draft Poll: Pick #3

    I dont think Sixers will make the pick, but I think its gonna be Ace. Tall wings who can score are always drafted early from their tier, and I believe Ace is in a tier that starts from 3.
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