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I have to admit that I'm surprised that everyone has just ignored my odds-flattening lottery rejiggering earlier in this thread that tries to do exactly this (is it because no one can read/fully comprehend tankathon-style odds?): while keeping the aspect of giving the worst teams the highest...

The tendency that really irks me is when someone uses without-shoes measurements when they don't like a guy, and with-shoes measurements when they like someone else. Donovan started out 6-3 (which would be the standard throughout NBA history), then as people tired of him (and to be fair, as the...

I'll give it a try: The lottery only directly determines picks 1-4. After that (picks 5-30), the order is determined by the worst records remaining. If we don't get top 4, then we will get pick 5 (as the worst remaining record). If we get top 4, then the Wizards (as the worst record remaining...

So if Wiz win the #1 pick, it was thanks to him -- and it will be the shot that we rue the rest of our living days? (Maybe along with the Hardy timeout to that led to waving off Sexton's shot against the Jazz, and a couple other shots throughout the season that could have given us the #2 spot if...

You have a great memory. I didn't remember this at all, so I looked it up. Lots of very good players went through Portsmouth including John Stockton.

Clips prevail... so it's #21?

Now we get to spend a month, maybe 2 1/2 months, debating whether Tre Johnson is our guy or whether or whether he has any competition as #5 in the draft.

It matters, but from those options, it's hard to tell what to root for.

Former 2-way Jazzman Josh Christopher comes through with key backcourt violation that sets up Carrington's buzzer beater.

I'm calculating that if the Jazz win tomorrow, their odds of this turning into a top four pick are about 1 in 218 (0.46%) -- based on a rough estimate of 45% chance of Wolves losing first play-in game, and 30% chance of losing second play-in game. (Of course your scenario--a Jazz win--also means...

If the draft is really 4 deep (and the difference between 5 & 6 is relatively small), that would be reason to win, not to lose. The odds of a top-4 draft choice don't change no matter what happens tomorrow. EDIT: other than what @gandalfe said a few posts above. (So the better way to say it is...

Do I have this right?: If Minny loses 3 straight games they're highly motivated and heavily favored to win (including against us, the worst team in the league, one that hasn't shown any signs of legitimate life for several weeks), then their pick for us will be a lottery pick (#14), and our...

I should give them more credit. The two Williams, Joe, and Wiggins are legit rotation players. The game is much slower for them than anyone the Jazz have at this point.

May not have much to worry about tonight. Even the scrubs for the Thunder do things right.

Dillon Jones 30-point game incoming?

Not sure what you mean by "similar" other than size and can hit a jump shot. To me, I'm hoping they can complement each other (as perhaps bigs off the bench). Filipowski definitely needs a rim protector in the lineup with him, and I want to see what he and Hendricks can do together.

Minny's a very solid team that has had just enough growing pains and FAFO moments this season for us to maintain the illusion that we might have a real shot of getting them into the lottery. But they win almost all their important games. Even if they were to lose to Memphis in a play-in game...

Yeah, I understand that we want the Wolves in the play-in. Even though it probably won't matter, it's at least a ray of hope.

I know Sarr seems like a keeper, but don't know if they view him as the long-term 5. Maybe they'd rather have him, like he seemed to want, at least at one time, at the 4. Maybe Queen, as a "local" product would be hard to pass on? I don't really know.

Is this really what we think? I'd like to see more discussion on what we think the real difference between the 5th and 6th pick might mean for us instead of the seeming assumption (not necessarily by you) that there's a huge chasm between the value of picks 5 & 6 in this draft. On average, we...