BENTLEY
Well-Known Member
Re: the Jazz' chances of drafting Barnes.
In order to get him this year the Jazz need a top 3 pick. Possible but the odds are against them.
If Barnes returns to UNC for his sophomore season and enters the 2012 draft, this could be just as good as the Jazz' chances to draft him this year.
Why? Because the draft will be stronger next year, so more players will be competing for the top picks. Plus, most players who return to school are up against expectations of lofty improvement. Failure to wow people with your improvement often causes a prospect's draft position to fall. Barnes will improve but how much is the question? GMs may see his ceiling more accurately and instead reach for the unknown potential of some raw kid (remember how many were drooling over Hassan Whiteside last year?). So Barnes will be a more known quantity, which makes him less of a gamble, ie: less sexy. The Jazz have the Warriors' pick next year (top 7 protected) which I'm guessing will be around 8 - 11 (based on Golden States usual draft position).
I think Barnes could easily fall here. So upon further reflection the Jazz may have an equal or better chance of drafting Barnes next year as this year.
Silver lining for those still enamored of Harrison Barnes. I guess we'll know more when the announcement comes Tuesday.
In order to get him this year the Jazz need a top 3 pick. Possible but the odds are against them.
If Barnes returns to UNC for his sophomore season and enters the 2012 draft, this could be just as good as the Jazz' chances to draft him this year.
Why? Because the draft will be stronger next year, so more players will be competing for the top picks. Plus, most players who return to school are up against expectations of lofty improvement. Failure to wow people with your improvement often causes a prospect's draft position to fall. Barnes will improve but how much is the question? GMs may see his ceiling more accurately and instead reach for the unknown potential of some raw kid (remember how many were drooling over Hassan Whiteside last year?). So Barnes will be a more known quantity, which makes him less of a gamble, ie: less sexy. The Jazz have the Warriors' pick next year (top 7 protected) which I'm guessing will be around 8 - 11 (based on Golden States usual draft position).
I think Barnes could easily fall here. So upon further reflection the Jazz may have an equal or better chance of drafting Barnes next year as this year.
Silver lining for those still enamored of Harrison Barnes. I guess we'll know more when the announcement comes Tuesday.