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2023 NBA Draft Megathread

Hey, I appreciate what FM brings to the board. All of us have had our misses in player projection, God knows, but I really like how FM takes the effort to explain his reasoning, often in very detailed posts. I won't always agree, but at least with him I know where he's coming from and what he's prioritizing.
 
Bleinburgh

Yeah, a 6'10" guy with handles and shooting. He was a prospect starting in the late 30s of the 2nd round. He's been fine in Europe. He could have played in the NBA as well as most of those 2nd-rd prospects. That's not really a miss.

I also called out BJ Boston in the 2nd round of that draft as an alternative to Miye Oni. One is playing the league. The other isn't.
 
I would take Filipowski with our earliest pick but not sure if we’d take a big with our first pick (Wemby of course we would). I don’t think he will make it to our second pick unfortunately. I’m a BPA and figure it out later kind of guy.

You really think he'll be gone by our 2nd pick? All the mock drafts I've seen have him going in the 20's, some in the late 20's.
 
Here are some of my hits though ---

2010: I thought Paul George had easy All Star potential and should have been our pick at #9.
2011: I didn't pay much attention to the draft and was fine with Kanter and Burks given the circumstances.
2012: We didn't have a pick.
2013: I thought Rudy Gobert would be better than Alex Len, who went #5. I supported trading up to #9 for Trey Burke, but otherwise liked Giannis at #14. I thought we'd draft Gobert at #21.
2014: I had doubts about Andrew Wiggins being an impact scorer because he could barely dribble. Thought Embiid would probably turn out to be the best player in the draft. I was okay with Exum for the Jazz. Exum could have been fine if he didn't get season-ending injuries like 3 years in a row.
2015: I said Kelly Oubre would be better than Justise Winslow and Stanley Johnson. That turned out to be true, but unfortunately I thought Hezonja should be better than all three of them. Didn't see Devin Booker coming, but I no longer doubt prospects who are productive in the NCAA at 18 years old.
2016: Bad draft. I would have taken a swing on Thon Maker or Skal Labissier at #12.
2017: Thought Bam Adebayo was a lottery prospect when DraftExpress had him in the mid-30s. I thought Donovan Mitchell would be able to create space and score off the dribble like CJ McCollum when a number of pundits were calling him an Avery Bradley-type defensive prospect. I didn't think Kyle Kuzma was all that special though, so that's one for Cy.
2018: I liked Anfernee Simons ahead of Grayson Allen. I also thought Gary Trent Jr. was the better guard prospect coming out of Duke. Both are $100 million players.
2019: I thought Darius Bazley was a good pick at #23 in that draft when others had him 10+ spots lower. Turned out he was picked at #23, but the pick went to OKC.
2020: I think half the board would have taken Jaden McDaniels in the late 1st instead of Udoka. I didn't see Bane coming.
2021: Jazz basically punted on this draft. I didn't believe in Ziaire Williams as a prospect out of Stanford. Lacked strength and athleticism. Now he's close to a bust.
2022: Thought Tari Eason and Jalen Duren were top-10 prospects. In a redraft a couple years from now, they probably will be. I liked Dalen Terry outside the top 15. Jury's out on him. Jazz never got a pick.

2023: I still like Victor, Scoot, Cam and at least one, if not both Thompsons ahead of Brandon Miller as NBA prospects because the Jazz need primary scoring options who can create off the dribble. I think Miller is fine as a complementary off-ball scorer. Another team that's risk-averse will take him early. I would still take GG in the top 10, and I think a team that has the time and resources to develop him will reach and grab him in the 10 - 15 range. If a team doesn't want to be bothered developing him, then he might fall to 20+ on their board. That's why he seems to be polarizing. However, I think the Jazz could make him a star. If the Jazz are drafting at like 10 and 15, I think they'd take Anthony Black and quite possibly GG with the Minny pick. Both GG and Taylor Hendricks are very likely on the Jazz's shortlist in the mid-1st. Cidy Cissoko might also be able to crash that party, but I'm not sure he's quite in that range. I could also see the Jazz go for Sensabaugh in the mid-1st.
 
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Ferg’s post made me go down a rabbit hole. I can’t believe how many people had a boner for Noah Vonleh in 2014.
 
Jalen pickett is one of my second round pick sleeper.


View: https://youtu.be/DApmiBEySfE

He could go late first based on college production as could Tyler Kolek, but yeah probably slides to typical slept on upper classmen draft range in the late 30's.
We dont have a 2nd currently though. I might take Kolek late first though
I just cannot see us waiting until that late to get a playmaker either though unless you think we draft 2.
If it were me provided we address high upside starter hopeful prospects in the first,
I would lean towards trying to get a senior likely undrafted aka Kendrick Davis -Memphis or maybe if we picked up a late 2nd take a flier on somebody given bad advice to declare in this draft. I guess based on this seasons stat lines? but could go higher if they transferred to a bigger prog. , like Javon Small ECU. who has sneaky upside imo
 
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You were commenting about GG's physical profile. Specifically, you said, "GG doesn’t have great length, burst, strength, or vertical ability." Yet, in terms of size, length, burst and athleticism, Tatum is a good comparison -- 6'8", 210 lbs, 6'11" wingspan, good vertical athlete by NBA standards though not elite. I'm not directly comparing GG's game to Tatum's. I've always compared him more to Siakam.

Also, I don't see where I compared Dalen Terry to Alec Burks. I just did a search through Jazzfanz. I do see where I called Terry my favorite pick outside the top 15 last year when others thought he'd go late-1st. Then Chicago picked him at 18, so it doesn't look like I was far off.

Regarding Jackson, here's his last game with 7 finishes at the rim, including 3 dunks off cuts in halfcourt sets, plus a strong postup against a solid wing defender. Seems there's some decent athleticism there if you're paying any attention...


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zbSOgzMWbko


Yeah….Jett Howard is listed at 6’8 215 lbs. ain’t no one comparing his physical attributes to Tatum and neither should anyone with Tatum. 3 wide open uncontested dunks aren’t really doing it.

And I’m sorry, it wasn’t Burks. It was actually a worse comparison in Jeremy Lamb lol. If you took the strengths and weaknesses of Lamb and Terry they are almost opposite.

For the record. Everyone has hits and misses. Draft is more random than we think. But I have no idea why you land on so many polar opposite comparisons haha. I liked Dalen Terry, but not because I thought his strengths are shooting/scoring which is the player that Jeremy Lamb is.
 
Yeah….Jett Howard is listed at 6’8 215 lbs. ain’t no one comparing his physical attributes to Tatum and neither should anyone with Tatum. 3 wide open uncontested dunks aren’t really doing it.

And I’m sorry, it wasn’t Burks. It was actually a worse comparison in Jeremy Lamb lol. If you took the strengths and weaknesses of Lamb and Terry they are almost opposite.

For the record. Everyone has hits and misses. Draft is more random than we think. But I have no idea why you land on so many polar opposite comparisons haha.
Jett is staying in school 9 out of 10. Needs to get stronger and with his father the coach in his corner, his odds of going top 10 in 24 are almost a given.
 
Eric Gaines UAB is interesting if he enters the draft and went from being a late 2nd to undrafted prospect to punching his combine ticket this week all based on one single monster slam doing his best JA Morant crushing it in the trees reaching well above the square at 6'1 -he must be an elite athlete or freakishly long, and his stats are not bad either . I bet he gets some looks mid 2nd as is, and can move up fast if his atheltic testing is Diallo level stuff
 
Yeah….Jett Howard is listed at 6’8 215 lbs. ain’t no one comparing his physical attributes to Tatum and neither should anyone with Tatum. 3 wide open uncontested dunks aren’t really doing it.

And I’m sorry, it wasn’t Burks. It was actually a worse comparison in Jeremy Lamb lol. If you took the strengths and weaknesses of Lamb and Terry they are almost opposite.

For the record. Everyone has hits and misses. Draft is more random than we think. But I have no idea why you land on so many polar opposite comparisons haha. I liked Dalen Terry, but not because I thought his strengths are shooting/scoring which is the player that Jeremy Lamb is.

In terms of position, length, athleticism and defensive disruption, Jeremy Lamb was a fine comparison for Terry. Lamb was actually a flakey shooter coming out of UConn.

Here's a 2-minute reel of GG Jackson from this year. If you're still doubting his size/length, athleticism, body-control, ability to separate, ability to finish easily above the rim, etc., I'll just put you on ignore and save us both some time.


View: https://twitter.com/happypistonfan/status/1634965217477279748
 
In terms of position, length, athleticism and defensive disruption, Jeremy Lamb was a fine comparison for Terry. Lamb was actually a flakey shooter coming out of UConn.

Here's a 2-minute reel of GG Jackson from this year. If you're still doubting his size/length, athleticism, body-control, ability to separate, ability to finish easily above the rim, etc., I'll just put you on ignore and save us both some time.


View: https://twitter.com/happypistonfan/status/1634965217477279748

meh
 
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