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2024-2025 Tank Race

I think we may need to get Will even more on board to pull out some of these losses. Like we need a Cody Williams as primary creator type narrative where we decide he needs experience running the show. Its dumb but might pass the smell test for 5-6 games.

I will also say Oscar needs to stay the hell out of these Mickey Mouse March games. That kind of effort will get us in trouble during March. FOH to all the super tryhards.
I think Oscar is uniquely capable of guarding a guy like Zion. He was absolutely lost on a lot of the PNR coverage.
 
When so much luck is involved in winning a title, it's often the luckiest (not the best) who win it all.
Appropriately stated in the tank thread, since gaining the ultimate spoils of tanking, imo, involves even more (or at least as much) luck than the luck involved in winning a championship.
 
I think we may need to get Will even more on board to pull out some of these losses. Like we need a Cody Williams as primary creator type narrative where we decide he needs experience running the show. Its dumb but might pass the smell test for 5-6 games.

I will also say Oscar needs to stay the hell out of these Mickey Mouse March games. That kind of effort will get us in trouble during March. FOH to all the super tryhards.
-Kessler using ten combined possessions a game shooting from a post iso or 3FGAs
-Lauri isos
-Collier 10 3FGAs a game
-Brice as backup point
 
Appropriately stated in the tank thread, since gaining the ultimate spoils of tanking, imo, involves even more (or at least as much) luck than the luck involved in winning a championship.
Nice to get the spoils of tanking in the form of the young guys development along the way at least.
 
I don't know why I just realized that if PHI doesn't keep their pick it goes to OKC. I've been kind of hoping that PHI doesn't get to keep their pick, but there is no way OKC needs another top 10 pick. I'm conflicted.
How protected is it?
 
Top-6.

If they tank their asses off it’s like a 30% chance they keep it.
Damn. I don't want OKC to get it. Whose pics doesn't OKC own? ****
 
Hawks update:
Big, close win tonight. They’re in the 9th seed and a game back from the Magic in 8th. The Magic have 6 cupcakes on their remaining schedule and Atlanta has 8. They also end the season playing each other which is kinda nuts.

(This matters cuz **** the Spurs)
 
Damn. I don't want OKC to get it. Whose pics doesn't OKC own? ****
They’ve been running an asset-accumulation masterclass and we’re on the other side of one of them.

Philly MIGHT get as high as 5th in non-lottery draft order which, I think, caps their best odds at 42% of keeping their pick. I think they finish 6th which is 35%.
 
They’ve been running an asset-accumulation masterclass and we’re on the other side of one of them.

Philly MIGHT get as high as 5th in non-lottery draft order which, I think, caps their best odds at 42% of keeping their pick. I think they finish 6th which is 35%.
Not sure where you're getting your percentages from.

Going from Tankathon, I get them at 63.9% if they finish 5th worst (possible, though probably not likely). At 6th they'd be at 43.4%. Even if they stay at 7th, they have 34.5% odds of keeping their pick.

You're not calculating as if the pick is top-5 protected rather than top-6, by chance, are you?
 
Not sure where you're getting your percentages from.

Going from Tankathon, I get them at 63.9% if they finish 5th worst (possible, though probably not likely). At 6th they'd be at 43.4%. Even if they stay at 7th, they have 34.5% odds of keeping their pick.

You're not calculating as if the pick is top-5 protected rather than top-6, by chance, are you?
Tankathon. They HAVE to hit top-4 to keep their pick. Are you looking at the odds that they do NOT jump into the top-4? Because these are looking like inverses.
 
The next 3 games are probably the most important remaining games. It would be fairly easy to go on a 3 game winning streak right here.

I would say best case we can realistically hope for is 1-2.
 
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