He said "higher than 3", though. In other words, we're talking about a top 2 pick to guarantee a Wiggins or a Parker. Even if we execute the Tank to perfection, there's still a greater than a coin-flip chance (~53%) that we don't get top 2.
Why would the SEC getting props for playing each other early, and why is that something that needs to be encouraged? It's beneficial to rankings (at least historically) to lose earlier rather than later.
Well, at least there's that.
So, looking at Trout's profile, seems like he's been absent for some time. Used to be very noticeable when he took even a day off. Now there is never a shortage of "Trout-age" on the boards.
Maybe use PPS (points per shot)? The problem is that you are adjusting the numerator, which gives 3-pointers a higher point value, but then you counter by adjusting the denominator which waters them back down and treats them the same as 2-pointers. Points/shot would get you near where you want...
I haven't found an original version in my search, but there is this version which appears to have been translated into Chinese, then translated back to English by Google. In its transformed glory, MLA/6 (or "violently Lei Apu") by tatermoog ("Reversal of Helen")...
Maybe this isn't a mathematical disagreement after all, and is merely a disagreement over how useful or interesting this metric is. It's a formula which clearly penalizes high-risk/high-reward (3-point) shooters, simply because they are leaving more potential points on the table, while...
Assuming zeroes on all other categories, which player would you value more? A player which goes 10/20 from the free throw line, 10/20 from 2, or 10/20 from 3? It seems the answer there is obvious, yet your formula scores them all at .500. Perhaps modeling similarly to eFG% would yield a more...
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