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2019-2020 individual stats prediction thread

infection

infection

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Instructions are self-explanatory. Be as detailed as you want.

Mine may not add up as reasonable in total, but whatever.

Donovan: 34 mpg, 24.5 ppg, 45% FG, 36% 3PT.

I don’t see a huge jump in scoring, but I do see higher efficiency, more energy for defense, and a larger distribution range of scoring (going off for more 35+ point games, balanced out with a lot of 15 point games because of blowouts, other guys going off, or lack of need for him to produce).

Rudy: 32 mpg, 17.5 ppg, 13.5 rpg, 68% FT.

I see more scoring opportunities with space. Rebounds up because less time with Favors.

Conley: 32 mpg, 17.5 ppg, 6.5 apg, 38% 3PT.

More scoring options for him than Memphis. His presence will be larger than his stats.

Bojan: 31 mpg, 16.3 ppg, 5 rpg, 39% 3PT.

Really hoping for an increase in boards. Harder to predict scoring titles. He won’t be first option.

Joe: 27 mpg, 10.5 ppg, 5 apg, 39% 3PT.

Less demand on him to score and facilitate. More load management.

Royce: 22 mpg, 8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 39% 3PT.

Looking for a jump here. Hopefully a lot less traveling calls and stepping out of bounds when putting the ball on the floor.

Exum: I honestly have no idea. Anything is gravy. Assuming 23 mpg, 9 ppg and 4 apg would be awesome. That would be a dramatic jump.

Green: 20 mpg, 8 ppg, 4 rpg, 41% 3PT.

Catch and shoot only. Blows the roof off the dump from deep.

Davis: 19.5 mpg, 5.5 ppg, 9 rpg.

Monster.
 
if mitch and conley give us 20 a night and rudy 15-17 a night were in really really good shape.

But others will have to step up to make big game shots.
 
yamers said:
if mitch and conley give us 20 a night and rudy 15-17 a night were in really really good shape.

But others will have to step up to make big game shots.
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Don’t worry, you’ll find plenty to yam about, regardless.
 
With Ingles and Bojan spacing the court and Gobert as a lob threat, it's possible that Donovan is responsible for 40+ points a night through points and assists. Opponents will have to either let him go to the rim OR collapse giving Bojangles an open 3.

Sent from my VS995 using JazzFanz mobile app
 
Predictions worthy of consideration will be hard to come by.

Conley has never played with a SG who can score/create their own shot

Donovan has never played with a PG who can hit open shots.

Gobert has never played on a team with this type of spacing.

If I had to guess Conley will do a lot more deferring than he has in the past; but look for him to score in crunch time.
 
If the defense is similar or as good as it was last year we gonna be a problem. Offense won't be the issue...

DM makes a leap... now we have Conley who is a scorer/creator/shooter/caretaker we haven't had a point guard. Rudy provides a consistently incredibly effective 15 points a night... AND we now have two wing shooter creators in Bojan and Joe that could get hot any given night... even when they aren't defenses won't leave them. It gonna be lit AF.
 
I would like to see:

DM: 25-27 ppg, 4 rpg, 4 apg, 1-2 spg
MC: 14-18 ppg, 8 apg, 4 rpg, 1-2 spg, 38%+ 3 pt
JI: 12-16 ppg, 7 rpg, 4-6 apg, 2 spg, 40%+ 3 pt
BB: 12-16 ppg, 6 rpg, 3 apg, 40%+ 3 pt
RG: 16-18 ppg, 12+ rpg, 2 apg, 1-2 spg, 65%+ fg%, all the dunks

I think there will be enough mixing and matching in line-ups that each of these will be able to get double digit scoring. Might all be on the high end as our bench is largely unproven, although I could see a couple getting 10 ppg+ in the mix. Might see Conley over 20ppg, or even Gobert or Bog, but I think we would have the strongest impact with those guys pretty even on scoring and DM providing the bulk of the offense. If I had to pick one to be in the 20's with DM it would be Gobert just because that means we are playing inside out and he would have to be respected which would just make things easier for everyone else.

I think ball movement will be fantastic and we will be among the league leaders in assists, and I anticipate Conley to lead the pack here, although it would not surprise me for both Conley and Ingles to be in the 7-10 assist range. We could see DM getting a lot of dimes on drive and dish, although I would prefer we set him up to handle the bulk of the scoring load as he is the most dynamic scorer and biggest threat we have.

Ingles is going to have to step up and help cover the rebounding shortfall with favors gone. But I anticipate Gobert to pick up his performance here and wouldn't be surprised to see him pull down 14+, because he is capable of that.

Gobert wins his 3rd DPOY award. Donovan and Rudy both first time all-star, but it will have to come from the coaches and therefore we will only have 2, and only if we are in the top 3-5 teams in the league at that time. I could see DM in the fringe of the MVP race, although he could leap ahead if the team performs, but I think there will be too much competition from bigger names to highlight the bigger franchises (Leonard, Durrant, LeBron/Davis, Harden, etc.)

I think we get 2, maybe 3, on all-NBA teams (DM, Gob, maybe Conley as I think he will feel rejuvenated and put up a strong season), but only 1 on the 1st team, likely Gobert imo, due to the log-jam in the guard/wing positions.

Of course it could all be completely different if people get hurt or we don't gel or our bench collapses or, or, or...
 
Thee jazz fan said:
Gobert - 15
Bogdanovich - 15
Ingles -10
Mitchell - 26
Conley - 15
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Lots of faith in the bench huh? My bet is we score around 105 per game this season, maybe a bit higher. I think the main 5 will have to account for up to 80% of that. That's around 80-85 points. I just don't see our bench being that strong in terms of scoring. It's a crap shoot I guess, as there are a bunch of unknowns.
 
It cannot be overstated how important it is to have shooters that are so good that you HAVE to guard them to the three-point line right from the tip. We have never had anything close to that at four positions.

Gobert is the silent winner of the offseason, I think he could maybe hit 20 PPG if enough players know how to lob. He managed to break the dunk record last year with claustrophobic spacing. He and Mitchell are going to have a damn field day.
 
NUMBERICA said:
It cannot be overstated how important it is to have shooters that are so good that you HAVE to guard them to the three-point line right from the tip. We have never had anything close to that at four positions.

Gobert is the silent winner of the offseason, I think he could maybe hit 20 PPG if enough players know how to lob. He managed to break the dunk record last year with claustrophobic spacing. He and Mitchell are going to have a damn field day.
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Think there's a real chance Gobert gets close to 20/15.
 
I understand that Mitchell will have a lot more space compared to last year, but this will help his shot choices and raise his percentage, while his FGA will decrease with more active scorers that will use the ball and shoot it on offensive possessions. It will also be for the best for the Jazz to lower his FGA. 3-10 feet range he was 24%. This stat will dramatically improve.
 
One of the guards will get injured and Miye Oni backfills and puts up good numbers as a rotational player.
 
RandyForRubio said:
Think there's a real chance Gobert gets close to 20/15.
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No way with the scoring Conley and Bojan bring.

I think he has that ability, don’t get me wrong. But those guys scored about 40 a game last year. That’s about 10 more than Rubio and Faves brought. In short, I just can’t see Gobert taking that many shots and therefore scoring that many points.
 
Wes Mantooth said:
No way with the scoring Conley and Bojan bring.

I think he has that ability, don’t get me wrong. But those guys scored about 40 a game last year. That’s about 10 more than Rubio and Faves brought. In short, I just can’t see Gobert taking that many shots and therefore scoring that many points.
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It depends.

Utah going 4 out often is going to open up a lot for Rudy. Lobs to him are easy points. I don't think Conley cares about how much he scores either. He hasn't been a big scorer when he wasn't needed to be.
 
I think Mitchell gets 27 this year. Rudy up to 18(potentially 20) with the increased floor spacing. Bogs good for 15 or so. Conley another 15~. Ingles 8.

Then the bench picks up the rest with Davis leading the way.
 
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