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2024 NBA Draft Mega Thread

Saint Cy of JFC said:
Topic can fit next to a ton of players. He isn't comparable to Dilingham
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If his shot is iffy and he is a bad defender (as all the reports state) then being 6'6 doesn't make him super fungible does it?
 
The tier system basically works. If you think a player is in a higher tier, then draft that player. If you have multiple players in the same tier, then draft the one that fits positionally or fits your blueprint for the future better.

If Dillingham is passed over by 9+ teams, that means those teams don't view him as a top-tier prospect. He's small and limited defensively. It's hard to project what he's going to be able to do against NBA-level defenders and defensive schemes. I haven't heard much chatter about which teams are interested in Dillingham. I don't think we've heard his name yet mentioned among players the Jazz are targeting.
 
Handlogten's Heros said:
If his shot is iffy and he is a bad defender (as all the reports state) then being 6'6 doesn't make him super fungible does it?
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What Topic *can* do is beat defenders off the dribble, get to the rim at a high rate and drill passes all over the court. He's easily the best pure playmaker in the draft, imo. Meanwhile, the Jazz might be the most limited playmaking team in the league.
 
Ferguson_Mellochill said:
What Topic *can* do is beat defenders off the dribble, get to the rim at a high rate and drill passes all over the court. He's easily the best pure playmaker in the draft, imo. Meanwhile, the Jazz might be the most limited playmaking team in the league.
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And I think the ft shooting was good and his shot form isn’t broken so there are some solid indicators. I need to watch him more to see if I think it will translate. At 10 it’s likely he’s BPA… but I’d be looking at Carter and wonder if it was a mistake.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
Yeah, it's tough to be 6'6 in the NBA, especially when you have a 7' wingspan
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Size alone does not make a player flexible. If he can’t shoot and sucks at defense he may be a tough fit. He’d have to ba an awesome ball in hand guy… which he might be.
 
Elizah Huge said:
I’m sorry but I’m not passing on someone because we like a top-5 prospect in next years draft better lol. We wouldn’t be able to draft anyone with that logic.
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Especially if we indeed are going big game hunting in the off-season and we want to improve the team in the immediate. We might not even be close to top 5 pick next year.
 
stitches said:
He's been dominating Sarr since they were in primary school. No guarantee it translates to the NBA, but just some food for thought. And yet another sign about the quality of this draft.
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I would say it's more of a negative for Sarr than a positive for Almanza
 
Handlogten's Heros said:
I haven't really been a big fan of taking Dilly or Topic for us... but at 10 you kinda take what is there. Castle was never getting past 6 imo. I would move up to 3-5 if the price is okay (not giving up any 2025 picks but a 2027 pick maybe... I just think 2025 is lining up to be an amazing draft potentially).

Topic I just haven't been able to get a feel for... Dilly I think I understand his floor and ceiling. I know fit shouldn't be the number 1 concern but man the fit with Key, Sexton, Dilly or Topic gets wonky. I wish Topic was a better shooter or slightly better defender... I just hate having two potential red flags like that... and if the knee isn't right it can really throw off the development of the player early. I would understand either guy as the pick but Topic makes me nervous.

I know some are saying in a bad draft swing for the fences (cuz in 2013 that worked I guess) but I almost wonder if taking the high floor guy who projects more as a solid starter type is the smarter play for us before starting to lock in to something positionally. I know you and I both share similar thoughts on the high floor guy being actually high ceiling too... but I wonder if Carter is a better idea than Dilly or Topic for roster building... seems like a more fungible guard that can help the Superstar (if we ever get him).
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With the roster we have and picking at #10, I think by far and away the biggest concern is getting the guy who we think is the best player. No positional or fit concerns for me at all. I could see a world where you believe Sexton is good enough to start changing your decision making, but I don't think we live in a world where the FO feels that way.

Now, you could say Dilly/Topic is a worse player/prospect because of his fit with any team in the NBA. I wouldn't necessarily disagree with that. I've soured on Dilly/Topic a bit, I'm not sure they are a better pick than the theoretical long wings (Holland/Williams/Salaun), the older guys (Carter/Knecht), or even some of the other wildcard picks like Collier/Walter. Out of this group, I think Dilly/Topic probably have the highest chance of getting a "hit". I wouldn't mind taking them, but I don't feels strongly over the rest of the pack.
 
Topic continues too look super goofy to me with the way he moves... not even sure this should be any sort of consideration... I just can't shake that off when I watch him.
 
stitches said:
He's been dominating Sarr since they were in primary school. No guarantee it translates to the NBA, but just some food for thought. And yet another sign about the quality of this draft.
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One thing you can be confident about Gleague Ignite last year: No one was setting up bigs, or moving the ball in any consistent or coherent way.
 
KqWIN said:
With the roster we have and picking at #10, I think by far and away the biggest concern is getting the guy who we think is the best player. No positional or fit concerns for me at all. I could see a world where you believe Sexton is good enough to start changing your decision making, but I don't think we live in a world where the FO feels that way.

Now, you could say Dilly/Topic is a worse player/prospect because of his fit with any team in the NBA. I wouldn't necessarily disagree with that. I've soured on Dilly/Topic a bit, I'm not sure they are a better pick than the theoretical long wings (Holland/Williams/Salaun), the older guys (Carter/Knecht), or even some of the other wildcard picks like Collier/Walter. Out of this group, I think Dilly/Topic probably have the highest chance of getting a "hit". I wouldn't mind taking them, but I don't feels strongly over the rest of the pack.
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I'm probably not explaining myself well enough... but agree with your thoughts here.

Maybe to put it differently... lets say player X has a 5% at being an all-star in your evaluation but a 10% at being a starter quality player and 85% at being a scrub. Player Y has a 2% chance at being a star 40% at being a starter and 58% at being a scrub. It seems like everyone is like "you have to take Player X as he has a higher chance at being a star... that's what happened in 2013". I'm just not sure that is what I want to do... and I know there are like a bunch more in between outcomes that factor in too.
 
stitches said:
Topic continues too look super goofy to me with the way he moves... not even sure this should be any sort of consideration... I just can't shake that off when I watch him.
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I am ignorant with regard to non-US leagues. So I don't know if his ability to create and score at the rim is partially bullying smaller dudes and weaker competition... being mid in the bigger league with a small sample is my concern. I think I buy into some star upside potential there but I'm not sure its a bet I'd make.
 
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