You think he's magically going to become an efficient offensive player after 7 years of roughly league average true shooting (this season he was easily below league average at .528)? He's going to learn to run the floor, make effective passes out of double teams (not just passes that lead to desperation heaves or resetting the offense with little time on the shot clock) and draw fouls?
Why do people think Big Al is going to make such a tremendous jump next season?
So your plan is to:
1. Hold on to the overpaid, under-performing Jazz players.
2. Jettison hard-working, underpaid team players.
3. Find better complements to the overpaid junk.
Just brilliant.
You think he's magically going to become an efficient offensive player after 7 years of roughly league average true shooting (this season he was easily below league average at .528)? He's going to learn to run the floor, make effective passes out of double teams (not just passes that lead to desperation heaves or resetting the offense with little time on the shot clock) and draw fouls?
Why do people think Big Al is going to make such a tremendous jump next season?
For 6 years, he played in a system that was literally designed for him to go one on one. So his stats are going to reflect that. This season, he struggled a lot trying to learn our offense the first few months. He was dynamite in February and March. I weight the second half of his season much more heavily in my estimation of him. And I think he can roll that forward into next year.
But the big question is this summer. He absolutely needs to take his body to the next level, and the Jazz have to figure out ways to help him as a passer. He's not going to be Tim Duncan. But he's not a finished product. And playing with a much better cast than he's ever had going into next year should help him, not hurt him.
And yet, even when only considering his best stretch, his true shooting came in at .546, which is poor for an offensive big (Paul Millsap shot .578 TS for the season). I'm just not seeing it.For 6 years, he played in a system that was literally designed for him to go one on one. So his stats are going to reflect that. This season, he struggled a lot trying to learn our offense the first few months. He was dynamite in February and March. I weight the second half of his season much more heavily in my estimation of him. And I think he can roll that forward into next year.
I agree. However, I believe what GVC's said to ring true and if Jefferson hasn't shown noticeable improvement in his body and passing, he needs to be traded next season...especially if we net someone like Bimbo out of this draft.
And yet, even when only considering his best stretch, his true shooting came in at .546, which is poor for an offensive big (Paul Millsap shot .578 TS for the season). I'm just not seeing it.
Plenty of bigs have a much better TS without shooting 3s. There are few bigs counted on for scoring with a worse TS% than Big Al. The dude isn't a defensive anchor or much of a team player AND he's an inefficient scorer. What is there to like?His TS might be preventing him from being a superstar, but you're overvaluing TS. Here's the Top 10 of listed 4's in TS:
Cardinal, Bonner, Nowitski, Johnson, McRoberts, Collison, Gallinari, Love, Smith, Anderson.
Here's the next 10: Odom, Gasol, Brown, Wilcox, Davis, Warrick, Ibaka, Millsap, Garnett, Monroe.
Al's TS will never be great since he'll never shoot a 3. He definitely needs to get to the line more and shoot a higher percentage. I think he can do both.
But if the Jazz can move Big Al for "good value" wouldn't that be preferable? Why is that not being discussed?
It's defending the 3 adequately that's the problem. He's not an adequate defender at the 3. Sap can play some 3 in the right matchups. Starting at the 3 is wishful thinking.
People have fallen in love with him since he moved into the top 2-3 scorers in the league over the last few months(since the break). I definitely agree that Al should be moved for the right deal, but I'm not sure that deal is out there.
That might be true, but he also has matchup problems at the 4 with bigger players. I'm not so sure matchup problems would be that much worse at the 3 than the 4. I don't see Utah sending him to the bench to start Favors. I like the idea, but I think he would see it as a slap in the face.
And that's the point. Having a guy with great post moves is a waste if he doesn't shoot a good percentage, get to the line OR create opportunities for his teammates when double teamed.
And all that for $29mil over the next 2 seasons...
Everything Paul Millsap has been asked to do or improve on during the off-season, he's done a wonderful job on adapting, changing, and improving to meet the needs of the Jazz. Nothing leads me to believe he can't play some small forward if asked. Is it the best situation? Who knows?