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Betting Thread

Won Spurs bet, only down $140 for the night. Come on GSW and Memphis!
 
GSW did it. I cut my losses for the night in half alread. Now I just want Memphis to win. I put another $10 on them just now, at +350.
 
I'm conflicted about contributing here. I wouldn't want to give certain assholes in this thread high-quality free picks, so I guess I'll do some monday morning QB'ing instead.

If people were friendly around here, I'd easily flex the muscle and demonstrate the skills, while explaining myself -- I make this **** look easy and seem to get more accurate every season..

Anyways - Tonight the Chicago game was obviously going to be a blowout- I was going to sound the alarm here but chose not to. If you were focused elsewhere, you should probably re-think that. I pulled all my bets and dumped everything on Chicago once Nerlens was ruled out.
 
PG_AB said:
I'm conflicted about contributing here. I wouldn't want to give certain assholes in this thread high-quality free picks, so I guess I'll do some monday morning QB'ing instead.

If people were friendly around here, I'd easily flex the muscle and demonstrate the skills, while explaining myself -- I make this **** look easy and seem to get more accurate every season..

Anyways - Tonight the Chicago game was obviously going to be a blowout- I was going to sound the alarm here but chose not to. If you were focused elsewhere, you should probably re-think that. I pulled all my bets and dumped everything on Chicago once Nerlens was ruled out.
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I remember about 10 years ago, Jason had a pretty cool set up on Jazzfanz where you would predict whether The Jazz win or lose and the point differential. I came in second one year - I think it was the 2003-04 season. Blew it on the last game of the season. Then he got rid of it the year before they got DWILL - The Jazz won like 25games. I guess no one was playing.

Would be interesting to get that up and running again.
 
PG_AB said:
I'm conflicted about contributing here. I wouldn't want to give certain assholes in this thread high-quality free picks, so I guess I'll do some monday morning QB'ing instead.

If people were friendly around here, I'd easily flex the muscle and demonstrate the skills, while explaining myself -- I make this **** look easy and seem to get more accurate every season..

Anyways - Tonight the Chicago game was obviously going to be a blowout- I was going to sound the alarm here but chose not to. If you were focused elsewhere, you should probably re-think that. I pulled all my bets and dumped everything on Chicago once Nerlens was ruled out.
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Tool.
 
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/daily-fantasy-sport-sites-told-to-halt-activity-in-new-york/ar-CCdBqa?li=AAa0dzB&ocid=DELLDHP

Get ready, this is probably just the beginning. I can see Congress getting on this bandwagon within the next year or so. The perfect issue to make it appear like they're actually doing something.

The New York State attorney general on Tuesday ordered the two biggest daily fantasy sports companies, DraftKings and FanDuel, to stop accepting bets in New York, saying that their games constituted illegal gambling under state law, according to people with knowledge of his investigation.

The cease-and-desist order by the attorney general, Eric T. Schneiderman, is a major blow to a multibillion-dollar industry that introduced sports betting to legions of young sports fans and has formed partnerships with many of the nation’s professional sports teams. Given the New York attorney general’s historic role as a consumer-protection advocate, legal experts say the action will most likely reverberate in other states where legislators and investigators are increasingly questioning whether the industry should operate unfettered by regulations that govern legalized gambling.
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candrew said:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/daily-fantasy-sport-sites-told-to-halt-activity-in-new-york/ar-CCdBqa?li=AAa0dzB&ocid=DELLDHP

Get ready, this is probably just the beginning. I can see Congress getting on this bandwagon within the next year or so. The perfect issue to make it appear like they're actually doing something.
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It's crazy how these sites have been around for years, but have just recently brought all this attention on themselves through their excessive advertising. I wonder if the added revenue they got in the short-run is ultimately worth it.
 
Losing fanduel will be sad, literally have turned it into a seasonal part-time job....one guy is going to end up ruining it for everybody
 
I'm only up a few dollars for the night. I just put $5 on Wolves come back at +1000.
 
King Cy said:
It's crazy how these sites have been around for years, but have just recently brought all this attention on themselves through their excessive advertising. I wonder if the added revenue they got in the short-run is ultimately worth it.
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Sounds like pump and dump 101 with IPO money as the endgame. They were hoping to get some overvaluation based on hype that would have easily made up for bleeding money in the present.
 
Duck Rodgers said:
Sounds like pump and dump 101 with IPO money as the endgame. They were hoping to get some overvaluation based on hype that would have easily made up for bleeding money in the present.
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One of them, I believe FanDuel, was looking to go public next year.
 
candrew said:
One of them, I believe FanDuel, was looking to go public next year.
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And the reason they probably didn't care if they even got to IPO or not, is just floating the idea of an IPO sucks in all these sports orgs and sports channels to invest so the founders can take some skin out of the game pre-IPO.....in case it never even gets there.

I don't know, I'm sure all parties involved were aware the hammer was coming eventually so maybe they had some stipulations on their investments. And maybe it's not a hammer. Maybe they find some way around it....some way to change laws. Shoot, if some of these sites have the stats that say....they give the NFL a 10%, 20%, whatever percent audience boost. The NFL could probably justify setting up some kind of big $$$$ prize system that might be able to keep the userbase interested even if no gambling is involved.
 
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So i have been horrible at this. Started with $100 and was doing $20 for my first few bets and lost them all. So then i thought i better start doing smaller bets and started doing $5 dollar bets. Still getting my *** kicked.

Then yesterday i bet everything that was left in my account and got really lucky in a really wierd way.
I put 5 on the jazz to win (lost that) and then for the nfl game last night (jets vs bills) I bet 5 dollars that neither team would score 3 times unanswered (lost that one. the bills did), bet 5 dollars that mccoy would rush for over 55 yards (win), 5 dollars that mccoy would get more than 3 catches (win), 5 dollars that fitzpatrick would thow a pick (win), and 5 dollars that neither team would score from inside the 2 yardline (win).

Here is the kicker though and why i was wierdly lucky. I somehow accidentally did all of those football bets twice. So instead of making 5 bets on that game and winning 4 of the 5, i accidentally make 10 bets on that game and won 8 of 10.

I made similar bets on the monday night game too and did pretty well (rivers would throw for less than 309 yards, no team would score 3 times unanswered, etc)

Nba basketball has been killing me. And both times i bet on the jazz they beat the spread but i picked them to win outright.
Now im pondering whether to bet on them again tonight.
 
fishonjazz said:
So i have been horrible at this. Started with $100 and was doing $20 for my first few bets and lost them all. So then i thought i better start doing smaller bets and started doing $5 dollar bets. Still getting my *** kicked.

Then yesterday i bet everything that was left in my account and got really lucky in a really wierd way.
I put 5 on the jazz to win (lost that) and then for the nfl game last night (jets vs bills) I bet 5 dollars that neither team would score 3 times unanswered (lost that one. the bills did), bet 5 dollars that mccoy would rush for over 55 yards (win), 5 dollars that mccoy would get more than 3 catches (win), 5 dollars that fitzpatrick would thow a pick (win), and 5 dollars that neither team would score from inside the 2 yardline (win).

Here is the kicker though and why i was wierdly lucky. I somehow accidentally did all of those football bets twice. So instead of making 5 bets on that game and winning 4 of the 5, i accidentally make 10 bets on that game and won 8 of 10.

I made similar bets on the monday night game too and did pretty well (rivers would throw for less than 309 yards, no team would score 3 times unanswered, etc)

Nba basketball has been killing me. And both times i bet on the jazz they beat the spread but i picked them to win outright.
Now im pondering whether to bet on them again tonight.
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Usually your going to want to vary your bets by half or double whatever unit your comfortable with risking(as sort of a simplified general rule on 'bankroll control'), it's quite the uphill battle once you cut your bets in a quarter, so your mistake was actually much closer to what you should've done. Good Job!! if you want to research the long-version on why check out the 'Kelly Criterion'..

I'd also say stick with betting the spreads, when you jump around all type of different bets, it's really hard to gauge that accuracy over the long run. I'm not sure what your aim is though with the bets. I bet to win over time, strictly. I believe the saying is; Find your niches, find your riches. So if you wanna bet those prop type bets and they're working, stick with them and let it ride..
 
PG_AB said:
Usually your going to want to vary your bets by half or double whatever unit your comfortable with risking(as sort of a simplified general rule on 'bankroll control'), it's quite the uphill battle once you cut your bets in a quarter, so your mistake was actually much closer to what you should've done. Good Job!! if you want to research the long-version on why check out the 'Kelly Criterion'..

I'd also say stick with betting the spreads, when you jump around all type of different bets, it's really hard to gauge that accuracy over the long run. I'm not sure what your aim is though with the bets. I bet to win over time, strictly. I believe the saying is; Find your niches, find your riches. So if you wanna bet those prop type bets and they're working, stick with them and let it ride..
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Good advice.
must spread the rep
 
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