This contest is not a traditional election that generally is focused on the usual worn out issues that both parties have been recycling throughout my lifetime. In fact, one could argue it is far less a partisan election than portrayed. Trump's success to date is surprising every media pundit/expert, the entrenched pathetic Republican leadership, and obviously the democrat power base and their Pavlovian voters.
The mistake being made in analyzing Trump is one of frame of reference. Those I mentioned above are viewing Trump through the lens of everything that he "is" while his supporters are viewing him through the lens of everything that he "is not." Trump is not the Republican candidate, he is the "middle finger" candidate. This is not Clinton vs. Trump, this is the professional/establishment politician vs. the non-professional/anti-establishment politician. Trump's candidacy isn't about policy or positions or agenda's, it is a candidacy of sticking it up the backside to both the entrenched career politicians on both sides.
Against this backdrop there is no foe more fitting than Hillary. The perfect foil. Every disgusting, vile, political establishment stereotype rolled up into on perfect pant suit package. Central casting couldn't have done any better.
It is also a big "middle finger" to the media. Every attack launched that calls Trump a moron, an ego maniac, incompetent, etc. doesn't decrease his chance of getting elected, it increases it. It is like trying to put out a fire on the verge of spreading by throwing gasoline on it. The elites on the left and their media minions are taking the bait hook, line, and sinker.
Trump is Lorne Malvo in Fargo during the Syndicate shooting.
I have zero clue if he can carry this out to November, but he is far from over. There is a lot of low hanging fruit out there once he gets into the debates. Hillary should be polling in a landslide, but Silver has it within the margin of error.
I am guessing, and it is only a guess, that this election will hinge on the amount of closet Trump supporters that are lurking in the shadows. I potentially liken it to the fact that nobody claims to actually shop at Wal-Mart or eat at McDonald's yet the stores are usually vibrant and McDonald's drive through is usually filled with cars. My guess there is quite a large number of voters that don't openly support Trump, but may get in the privacy of the voting booth and pull a level to flip off the establishment. The voting equivalent of Sherlock Holmes's dog that is not barking.
I am just not sure it is enough for victory.
