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So at this point, the top 5 picks are still likely to include: Ayton, Bagley, Bamba, Doncic and Jackson Jr.
The next 5 picks are likely to include: Porter Jr., Carter, Young, Mikal Bridges and lets say Miles Bridges for now.
The guys expected to go 11 - 15 would then include: Walker, Sexton, Knox, Williams and SGA (though one of these guys could drop a few spots).
So the next group of guys would be expected to include: Zhaire Smith, Troy Brown Jr., Keita Bates-Diop, Elie Okobo, Kevin Huerter and lets say Chandler Hutchison. I'd say the Jazz are 90% likely to end up with one of theses guys if they stay at #21, or even if they move up a few spots.
Sleeper picks that could sneak into that group would be Melvin Frazier, Dzanan Musa, Anfernee Simons, Jerome Robinson and Mitchell Robinson. I'm not sure about Okogie. I'm doubting it somehow.
I'd be surprised if Donte Divincenzo or Grayson Allen are quite in this last group, but I guess stranger things have happened. I think Landry Shamet, Khyri Thomas, Deanthony Melton and Gary Trent Jr. might also be considered on par with Donte and Grayson, but I'm just speculating. Jacob Evans should be in that next group as well.
I think we see one surprise in the 11-15 group and 16-20 group. Like an Okogie, Bruce Brown, or Alkins jump in there.