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Following Potential 2025 Draftees

This year feels like the most interesting to date a far as this goes.

I really wonder what number of prospects will stay in and feel “normal”. Like if you’re drafting 25th, is that actually the 40th guy had NIL and transfer portal not been an option?

I think it’s safe the top 15 mostly guys will be unaffected….how much further until we get to the part of the draft where college is seen as the better option? Does the 20th guy (or guy who thinks he 20th) even stay in the draft without a good promise from a franchise he wants to go to?

It will be fascinating to see how it plays out, but our Twolves pick might be weaker than normal.
 
Maybe the top 15 isn’t even safe. Like I wonder how much a school would be willing to pay for CMB. If CMB went back to powerhouse he’d have to be favorite for POY right?
 
I really wonder what number of prospects will stay in and feel “normal”. Like if you’re drafting 25th, is that actually the 40th guy had NIL and transfer portal not been an option?

I think it’s safe the top 15 mostly guys will be unaffected….how much further until we get to the part of the draft where college is seen as the better option? Does the 20th guy (or guy who thinks he 20th) even stay in the draft without a good promise from a franchise he wants to go to?

It will be fascinating to see how it plays out, but our Twolves pick might be weaker than normal.

I still think anyone guaranteed to go first round will mostly stay, so that's probably at least top 20, maybe top 25. It gets mentioned a lot, but it's not just about getting your first contract, but about getting to your second contract sooner.

I still think guys projected below the first round will stay in the draft, but it will be a much lower number than ever before.
 
Something that would help to make things a little better with guys staying because of NIL is to get rid of everyone getting 5+ years of eligibility.
 
I still think anyone guaranteed to go first round will mostly stay, so that's probably at least top 20, maybe top 25. It gets mentioned a lot, but it's not just about getting your first contract, but about getting to your second contract sooner.

I still think guys projected below the first round will stay in the draft, but it will be a much lower number than ever before.

I think you’re tight about the guaranteed first rounders. There will be some exceptions (like maybe Demin returns), but for the most part anyone who is certain to go first rounders will probably take that guaranteed money and opportunity. Having said that, how many guys are actually guaranteed a first round spot? If they are on the bubble, they might just take the guaranteed NIL money instead. There are what, 20ish green room invites a year? That’s probably a good starting point to think of when talking about guaranteed first rounders.

I think what we’ll see is a lot of picks 20 and beyond promised to players. To stay in the draft they will need a draft promise in the first round or a contract like Flip’s contract promised in the second round.
 
I think you’re tight about the guaranteed first rounders. There will be some exceptions (like maybe Demin returns), but for the most part anyone who is certain to go first rounders will probably take that guaranteed money and opportunity. Having said that, how many guys are actually guaranteed a first round spot? If they are on the bubble, they might just take the guaranteed NIL money instead. There are what, 20ish green room invites a year? That’s probably a good starting point to think of when talking about guaranteed first rounders.

I think what we’ll see is a lot of picks 20 and beyond promised to players. To stay in the draft they will need a draft promise in the first round or a contract like Flip’s contract promised in the second round.

The majority of top 40 picks end up with a real NBA contract. I looked in to this earlier and there are maybe 2 or 3 guys in the past 5 years that did not get an NBA contract.
 
Kind of weird to me Haugh didn't play more in the first. He just makes stuff happen. Even if he isn't playing well, he's always got potential to make big plays on both ends just on his hustle/iq.
 
I'm impressed that Clayton was able to impact the game as much as he did even with his shot not falling.

That last play by Houston was brutal.
 
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