J
JAZZGASM
Guest
The problem is the Forbes value do not take into account the upcoming renegotiation of television contracts. The NBA made over $5B last year up 20% from the year before. I imagine that # increased this year. Right now the LA broadcasters pay the team $18M. It is estimated that the new contract will bring $60M a year. Additionally, the league will be renegotiating the national tv rights as well. Right now each team gets approximately $30M a year from National TV rights. It is estimated to go up at least 50%. This is due to the league becoming more popular and getting a larger share of viewership (and the current rights have been in place for years). The league is about to get paid.
So the the average team is bringing in $166M a year ($5B/30 teams based on last years revenue according to David Stern). Even with revenue sharing, the clippers will be above that being one of the bigger markets. I'd guess their current revenue is 20% higher than the average ($199M). Add in another $55M/year in increased tv rights and that is revenue of $254M per year. Even after expenses that is a pretty good profit. Probably at least 150M per year and will only increase over time as the league becomes more popular. Not sure if the $5B takes into account concessions, which I'm sure are a nice revenue creator as well.
So perhaps $2B was a bit high, but the other two bids were both well over a Billion. Generally an investment group is not going to try and buy such a large asset if they business valuations don't fall within the bidding range.
So the the average team is bringing in $166M a year ($5B/30 teams based on last years revenue according to David Stern). Even with revenue sharing, the clippers will be above that being one of the bigger markets. I'd guess their current revenue is 20% higher than the average ($199M). Add in another $55M/year in increased tv rights and that is revenue of $254M per year. Even after expenses that is a pretty good profit. Probably at least 150M per year and will only increase over time as the league becomes more popular. Not sure if the $5B takes into account concessions, which I'm sure are a nice revenue creator as well.
So perhaps $2B was a bit high, but the other two bids were both well over a Billion. Generally an investment group is not going to try and buy such a large asset if they business valuations don't fall within the bidding range.