I am going to cry 'foul play' on the lottery.
Let's take a closer look at the #1 picks for the last 10+ years and see the trends of the first pick:
2012 - Hornets have a crazy year, screwed by the NBA in the Paul Trade, but the lottery Gods fixed it.
2011 - Cavs lose Lebron. Jersey's are burning in the streets. 2 months later beat all odds to get the 1st pick with <3.5% chance of getting it + they keep the 4rth slot
2010 - Gilbert Arenas pulls out a gun in the locker room and goes to court, the whole team falls apart from flirting with playoffs to bottom dweller... 1st pick and John Wall
2009 - Clippers? Just a bad team. End up with Blake Griffin and there isn't a Story Line behind it that is compelling
2008 - Chicago beats all odds (9th place) to get their own home grown, Chicago native Derrick Rose and they are right back into beast in the east 1 year later
2007 - Portland jumps from 6th to 1st to get Greg Oden... good thing it turned into a bust. Portland has just evacuated the last of the THUG class and are turning the corner when the next T. Duncan falls to them? Not as compelling.
2006 & 2005 - Weaker drafts and Mil. and Toronto get the picks both jumping up 4 and 5 spots to do it
2004 - No odds beaten - get Dwight Howard - next best thing since Shaq who defined the culture of the team (not as compelling)
2003 - Bron Bron is coming into the league. Ohio native. Ohio born. Ohio raised. So who gets the pick? Cleveland. By the way, Cleveland is in Ohio. Alone, meh. Combine it with the D Rose story and it looks like D. Rose was the second coming of home town hero.
Other notables, Spurs Robinson is replaced by Duncan
Yao goes to one of the few cities that the Chinese will allow (Houston) - move up 4 spots
Bulls jump 6 spots to get Elton Brand... replacing Jordan?
Orlando gets the pick 2 years in a row... Shaq and Webber (they jumped 10 spots to get the second boost to the roster)
1985 - Watch the folded corner on the envelope and Stern take a DEEP, Long breath before he picks out the pick. ("I have to find the envelope with the folded corner? What if I cannot find it" - runs through his head) -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bX1kMlG8c7Y
The first pick overall follows a the biggest story line of the year 3 years running. 2 years the hometown hero goes home. This pick changes franchises in key years.
Given the trend, I am shocked that the Pacers post Artest/Jackson/O'Neal fight the audience didn't get a pick... but then again, you have to wait until the team is de-thugged before re-energizing the city and I think that they were in the playoffs that year anyways. And it's Indiana.
Before the lottery one of the panelists said, 'my gut feel is that New Orleans is going to get the pick' and all of the analysts turned to him and said 'Ohhh... well... that would stir the controversy about the draft... and... ummm... Eric Gordon combined with Anthony Davis would be a good thing for poor New Orleans.' It seemed like the commentator stepped over a line that the other commentators wouldn't step over and it caught the rest of them off guard that he would go there.
True to form... Hornets get the #1 pick...
Let's see if we can guess next year's amazing beat the odds pick for next year. If there is a team that bottoms out with some amazing story behind it... I will be watching with anticipation. About 50% of these drafts seem to be tampered with. I am NOT typically into conspiracies, but I see MOTIVE, MEANS, and a terribly shady example that turned the NY Knicks franchise around.
The solution...
I am officially over the David Stern era. I am going to start sporting a can of Stern-be-gone. B E G O N E Commish! B E G O N E...