If the Thunder pull into a 2-way or 3-way tie with the Jazz and either the Spurs or Pelicans they'll win that tie-breaker and push us down.
If the Pels, Spurs and Thunder got into a 4-way tie with us, we'd win due to conference record, I believe. This would be challenging though, since the Pels and Spurs play each other. We'd need the Thunder to lose a game, we'd need to the winner of the Spurs/Pels game to lose a game, and we'd need to loser of the Spurs/Pels game to keep pace with a win. Unlikely.
One other scenario that might work for us would be a 3-way tie between Utah, Portland and the Thunder, which would yield Portland the 3rd seed, the Jazz the 4th seed and the Thunder the 5th seed. I'm not thrilled about playing the Thunder in the first round though.
It would be tremendously helpful if Miami would beat OKC for us.