I think he could shoot 55-60% in two or three games.... which is enough to swing the series.
He’s going to dictate the terms in the midrange. There are two reasons for that:
1. He’s very good in the midrange and we aren’t stocked with perimeter defenders.
2. Our entire system—and all the habits it has engendered in our players—surrenders the midrange. As I’ve said in my previous posts today, I think Kawhi will have very little problem getting to his preferred midrange location on any given play. Our guys will have to prove their resistance to this style to me, because I don’t just believe they can reinvent themselves or retrain their habits.
For the record, I understand the analytics with midrange shot. I think the key to beating people is getting them to take those shots instead of 3s and dunks/layups. But we’ve been particularly inept at slowing down midrange attacks. That’s why I’ve feared the Clips and the Suns more than anyone else... They’re ****ing good at it.