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Just played the ESPN lottery 5 times.

CAKAR said:
I love to play with some numbers. I played it around 100 times... The result was...

1= IIIIIIIIIIII (12)
2= IIIIIIII (8)
3 = IIIIIIIIIIIIII (13)
4= (0)
5 = IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII (34)
6 = IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII (25)
7= IIIIIIII (8)

Total = 100

So we are…
- Never got the 4th ALL around pick
- Drafted Wiggins at the 88th attempt
- We almost always drafted Randle
- We got 33 times TOP 3, 67 times TOP 5-7 pick

CAKAR´S Masterplan = Getting first over all pick, drafting Jabari Parker, packing Jabari Parker with Gordon Hayward and Enes Kanter, trading them for BIG-AL. :)
Click to expand...

Since the draft machine slated the Jazz at 5th there's no way the Jazz could pick 4th. Can only move up to top 3. or fall back from 5 to 8. 4 is impossible unless they're slated 4th.

I sure hope, like everyone else, Jazz win out over Boston for the 4th spot. I put Wiggins, Jabari, Embiid, and Exum in the top tier.
 
Core4 said:
Hope you don't have a Vegas trip planned. You have lousy luck. I played it 10 times and the jazz got the #1 pick three times and the #2 pick a couple of times. Parker was the choice. Looks like just about every team EXCEPT Utah has Wiggins #1 and then several have Embiid #2.
Click to expand...

Oh, I know. I've played 5 bucks once, lost it all very quickly. Never again.
 
I also did it 100 times.

1 - 13 times
2 - 14
3 - 20
4 - 0
5 - 17
6 - 27
7 - 2
8 - 1

The players were

Parker-33 times
Smart-28
Randle-19
Embiid-13
Gordon-3
Exum-2
Ennis-1
Wiggins-1

Top 3 pick 47% of the time.
Most picked player - Parker (1-3) 33%
Most picked from position - 6.
Wiggins was my 80th pick because Cleveland took Parker #1

Hottest streak - 5,1,1,1,1
Coldest streak - 7,6,6,7,6
 
I should have stopped at 5 times.

#2 - Wiggins
#1 - Parker
#3 - Parker
#3 - Embiid
#7 - Smart
#6 - Smart
#2 - Parker
#6- Smart
#1 - Parker
#6 - Smart
 
Parker, Parker, Smart, Parker, Embiid, Parker, Embiid, Randle, Parker, Randle, Parker, Smart.

Not a bad rebuilding year, huh? Where are those whiny bitches now, complaining about not being bad enough?
 
jjscap said:
Parker, Parker, Smart, Parker, Embiid, Parker, Embiid, Randle, Parker, Randle, Parker, Smart.

Not a bad rebuilding year, huh? Where are those whiny bitches now, complaining about not being bad enough?
Click to expand...

hahaha.
 
I ran the machine 10 times. We got #1 twice. We moved up to #3 once, and we moved down to 5-6-7 every other time.
 
[TABLE="width: 270"]
[TR]
[TD]Pick[/TD]
[TD]Odds[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Player[/TD]
[TD]Odds[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.5%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Smart[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.3%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Randle[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]27.1%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.6%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Parker[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]23.3%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]24.6%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Embiid[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31.5%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Gordon[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.4%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.5%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Exum[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Grand Total[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100.0%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Grand Total[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

130 times.

Get ready for Smart at the 6th pick.
 
Maktub said:
[TABLE="width: 270"]
[TR]
[TD]Pick[/TD]
[TD]Odds[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Player[/TD]
[TD]Odds[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.5%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Smart[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.3%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Randle[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]27.1%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.6%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Parker[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]23.3%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]24.6%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Embiid[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31.5%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Gordon[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.4%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.5%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Exum[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Grand Total[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100.0%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Grand Total[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

130 times.

Get ready for Smart at the 6th pick.
Click to expand...

Lol, 31% trumps everything...
 
Maktub said:
It is the most common outcome, is it not? Which is different than saying it is likely.
Click to expand...

Still low enough that I am willing to take my chances and am not resigned to picking smart at 6.
 
So I just played it 10 more times since they updated it after the coin flip.

1st pick once
3rd pick 4 times
5th pick 5 times

Randle was picked 5 times, Embiid 3 times and Parker twice.
 
Winning the tie-breaker greatly increases our odds of landing Randle, Embiid or Exum. No effect on Parker or Wiggins and greatly reduces the odds of us drafting Smart.
 
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