Handlogten's Heros
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Lets say the trade is Hughes for Dunn... with no draft compensation going either place (I think we could get a second rounder in the deal).
It comes down to the difference of would you rather pay $20M ish for Dunn or $8M ish for Hughes. You could also cut some money elsewhere if you made this type of deal... but we could do that either way by waiving Oni and Brantley and carrying 13 guys for the maximum allotted time during the season. You churn 10 day guys in this case and get to mine for gold a bit.
$12M is a lot... but the mega markets are paying six figure tax bills to win a title. We have about as good of a shot at a title as we will ever have... I would likely do it. I think you can find 10 minutes in the regular rotation by cutting a few minutes from Ingles, Mike, and Royce... then you can find even more when one of those guys are load managed. If it isn't having any effect you abandon a $12M experiment. If it works well you have some optionality to move on from JC and get yourself something different and maybe get some salary flexibility in the process.
I love Butler and would like to see him out there some... the Dunn deal has some upside though that is tantalizing and relying on rookies is a dangerous game. If Dunn comes in healthy and gets on the floor for Boston he quickly becomes an asset at his price and contract duration. I have a hard time seeing us do any better with our TPE than Dunn.
In either case I would cut Brantley and look to dump Hughes and sign someone else to a minimum. I'd consider waiving Oni if you couldn't dump Hughes. I just don't see any upside to having those guys on one year deals with what they have shown thus far. I'd rather get solid vets on 1+1 deals like Darius Miller or take a flier on Frankie Smokes... but I definitely get a team option on the second year if I go this route.
It comes down to the difference of would you rather pay $20M ish for Dunn or $8M ish for Hughes. You could also cut some money elsewhere if you made this type of deal... but we could do that either way by waiving Oni and Brantley and carrying 13 guys for the maximum allotted time during the season. You churn 10 day guys in this case and get to mine for gold a bit.
$12M is a lot... but the mega markets are paying six figure tax bills to win a title. We have about as good of a shot at a title as we will ever have... I would likely do it. I think you can find 10 minutes in the regular rotation by cutting a few minutes from Ingles, Mike, and Royce... then you can find even more when one of those guys are load managed. If it isn't having any effect you abandon a $12M experiment. If it works well you have some optionality to move on from JC and get yourself something different and maybe get some salary flexibility in the process.
I love Butler and would like to see him out there some... the Dunn deal has some upside though that is tantalizing and relying on rookies is a dangerous game. If Dunn comes in healthy and gets on the floor for Boston he quickly becomes an asset at his price and contract duration. I have a hard time seeing us do any better with our TPE than Dunn.
In either case I would cut Brantley and look to dump Hughes and sign someone else to a minimum. I'd consider waiving Oni if you couldn't dump Hughes. I just don't see any upside to having those guys on one year deals with what they have shown thus far. I'd rather get solid vets on 1+1 deals like Darius Miller or take a flier on Frankie Smokes... but I definitely get a team option on the second year if I go this route.