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Move On From Hayward?

Overall I agree with that. If they KNOW we have very small chance of keeping him, I'd trade him for the best offer. I just don't agree with the other reasons(i.e. he doesn't deserve max, we can't be contenders with Hayward, etc.), those in my opinion are BS. On the contrary - we can't be a contender, unless we have a secondary playmaker like Hayward. Example - every single contender right now has at least two very talented offensive players.

What? I'm sorry, can someone please say what the hell this guy is talking about. He started off and I felt like a may be stepping into a time machine to happiness, then he stopped in the middle, I don't knnow what the hell is going on with that comment.
 
The argument that letting the market decided what a played is worth is one that rarely works in favor of that team. There's only so much pie to be shared. In this league it's about value. Warriors are who they are because Steph play has obliterated his contract. Cleveland is where they are because it's impossible to pay LeBron what he's worth. The Spurs are who they are because guys take paycuts to provide incredible value. OKC gets great value out of Westbrook and Durant. Raptors got great value out of DeRozan and Lowry.

The question is if you pay Hayward 30+mil a season where is the value of the team coming from moving forward? Exum isn't going to be much the next 3-4 years if at all. Favors is going to need to be paid in two years(probably max) Gobert in two years, then Hood and Exum(if he's even worth a big deal) the year after. Giving Hayward a max ensures that the Jazz will be cap strapped right when they expect to be contenders in the next 3 years. So yeah giving Hayward a max isn't killing the team next year but team building is chess not checkers. Unless Hayward talent level can climb to the heights of Curry, Durant, James, Leonard, George etc or one of the other players under contract where is the team getting the championship level value for the players contracts?
 
I expect haywards decision to be based on winning. If he is half the competitor he claims he is and hates losing. He needs to play somewhere to win regardless of money. Mo and Jefferson just got their ring.

If he wants a ring he needs to leave
 
I expect haywards decision to be based on winning. If he is half the competitor he claims he is and hates losing. He needs to play somewhere to win regardless of money. Mo and Jefferson just got their ring.

do you think that's why he signed the offer sheet from Charlotte?
 
The Exum injury has essentially forced this FO to make a very important decision based on a small sample size. These are the scenarios in which I see this situation unfolding.

#1: We don't trade Hayward & we play well enough to convince him to re-sign on a max contract.

#2: We don't trade Hayward & we don't play well enough/are unable to convince him to re-sign.

#3: We trade Hayward & continue to draft in the lottery while waiting for our young talent to develop.

There are risks involved in all 3 scenarios but IMO it is pivotal for a small-market franchise to maintain as much control over the outcome of a situation as possible, especially when dealing with their most valuable assets (look at the difference in direction UTA & DEN appear to be headed largely based on the handling of their disgruntled superstars).

Not trading Hayward would not only take that control out of our hands, it would create a situation where the best case scenario would be giving a max contract to a player who, despite what the market may dictate, is undeserving of (which could potentially affect our ability to add/retain players in the future). There is also the possibility of Hayward leaving regardless of how well the team performs. IMO the potential risk(s) of keeping & attempting to retain Hayward far outweigh the potential reward.

I understand that there is a reluctancy to trade him & end up on the "treadmill of mediocrity" but IMO there is as much of a chance of that happening if we were to max him (albeit a more successful treadmill of mediocrity) or let him walk for nothing (a less successful treadmill of mediocrity).

Unless we are able to condense several assets (Burks/Hood/Lyles/#12/future 1st's) & acquire an impact player in order to take that next step, I would prefer to control what prospects we acquire in a Hayward trade rather than the alternative of hoping for the opportunity to overpay in order to retain him.

This is an unfortunate situation & I would love to see this team win a championship with Gordon Hayward on it, but as currently constructed, I don't see this roster ever truly contending for a championship (especially with Hayward taking up 25-30% of our cap space).

I know there is concern that this could turn into a "perpetual rebuild" but with all of the young controllable talent, future draft assets, & available cap space that this team has at it's disposal, I believe the turnaround would be an extremely quick one.
 
A well reasoned thought process, but at some point you have to KEEP your top player instead of trading him before he can leave. Otherwise, nobody of merit or value will ever want to play or stay in Utah. Can't keep trading away your top players because you're worried they'll leave. I think it's a mistake to trade Hayward and would rather extend him with the current core group. It's stupid to develop a group of players for as long as the Jazz have had Hayward and Favors, to then get rid of them before that investment has a chance to pay off. Despite how much some people are ready to move on, finding a young two way wing like Gordon Hayward will be extremely hard to do. Everybody keeps bitching about his offensive deficiencies, but it's damn hard to find defensive wings that can match up with an opponent's top scorers like he can. Highly underrated and difficult to find them.
 
The FO doesn't have the balls to move on from Hayward after praising him for all these years. I hope this doesn't end like it did with Sap and Big Al.
 
A well reasoned thought process, but at some point you have to KEEP your top player instead of trading him before he can leave. Otherwise, nobody of merit or value will ever want to play or stay in Utah. Can't keep trading away your top players because you're worried they'll leave. I think it's a mistake to trade Hayward and would rather extend him with the current core group. It's stupid to develop a group of players for as long as the Jazz have had Hayward and Favors, to then get rid of them before that investment has a chance to pay off. Despite how much some people are ready to move on, finding a young two way wing like Gordon Hayward will be extremely hard to do. Everybody keeps bitching about his offensive deficiencies, but it's damn hard to find defensive wings that can match up with an opponent's top scorers like he can. Highly underrated and difficult to find them.

Sorry to say but if Hayward is our top player we're in for mediocrity for years to come, I really think Hayward has reached his ceiling or is very close to it, a borderline all star. I hope that the FO doesn't see him with the same eyes as you do or that Exum tops him at some point.
 
A well reasoned thought process, but at some point you have to KEEP your top player instead of trading him before he can leave. Otherwise, nobody of merit or value will ever want to play or stay in Utah. Can't keep trading away your top players because you're worried they'll leave. I think it's a mistake to trade Hayward and would rather extend him with the current core group. It's stupid to develop a group of players for as long as the Jazz have had Hayward and Favors, to then get rid of them before that investment has a chance to pay off. Despite how much some people are ready to move on, finding a young two way wing like Gordon Hayward will be extremely hard to do. Everybody keeps bitching about his offensive deficiencies, but it's damn hard to find defensive wings that can match up with an opponent's top scorers like he can. Highly underrated and difficult to find them.

Don't get me wrong, I appreciate & recognize just how valuable & rare Gordon Hayward's skillset is. I also agree that there absolutely comes a point in time in which a franchise must commit to it's core, especially when the team allocates as much time & as many resources as we have to this group of players. I just believe that teams, especially small-market franchises such as this one, need to be extremely selective & cautious of who they commit to.

Hayward is a great player &, in this market, demanding of a max contract. I don't think there is any disputing that. The dispute IMO is whether or not a team can win a championship while paying him the max. Unless paired with a generational talent or a superstar on a rookie contract, I believe the answer to that question is clearly no.

As far as damaging our reputation with other players by consistently trading away our best players (Hayward would be the 2nd in recent years), I don't believe that should factor into our decision of whether we should trade or attempt to retain Hayward. Until it creates a constistant winning atmosphere, Utah is (& always will be) near the bottom of the preferred FA destination list. As far as retaining our own star players down the road (IMO) we will need to take the OKC approach by drafting & developing them, surrounding them with equivalent talent, & having sustained success with them.

To commit a significant portion of our payroll to Hayward because A) we've spent 6 years developing him & B) trading him would affect our perception in the eyes of future players would be a mistake. The only reason Gordon Hayward should be signed to a mega-max contract is because we truly believe that he is going to be the leader & star player on a championship caliber team.
 
do you think that's why he signed the offer sheet from Charlotte?

Nope. Different point in his career. He did not control his destiny, Jazz did. That was about money.

This will be the true test if he practices what he preaches.....
 
Not sure why everyone acts like 30 M is a bad deal. If he gets offered that much money he either balled out, Salary cap will remain at about 105, proving himself as a star, or played another fringe all star season, showing that he's reached his peak, meaning that if he gets 30 M, the salary cap will not be a problem as it will still be growing past 110 M. There is no way he gets a Max contract playing like he did this year again, players of the past 2 or 3 years only got max's because the cap has been growing by tons every year, meaning the max is more like 20% of the cap space rather than 25% or so
 
Not sure why everyone acts like 30 M is a bad deal. If he gets offered that much money he either balled out, Salary cap will remain at about 105, proving himself as a star, or played another fringe all star season

I disagree.
The year before his last contract ended was the worst year of his career. He was rewarded with a max contract.

Harrison barnes just finished stinking up the playoffs yet many still think he will get the max.

I believe that Hayward could play crappy next year and still get maxed.

Also, the 5 year max wouldn't be simply 30 million from what I have heard. It would start at 32 and end up at 39 million in his 5th year.
 
I disagree.
The year before his last contract ended was the worst year of his career. He was rewarded with a max contract.

Because everyone saw the salary cap about to jump and threw max contracts at everybody. Hayward's 25% "Max" is worth 17% of our cap this next season. When the cap settles, teams won't be throwing out the max like candy. If he doesn't ball out, and settles in as a fringe all star, he'll only get the max if the salary cap is foresee ably about to jump again. Otherwise, I bet he gets around 25 M, around 5% down from the max he could get. If he balls out and becomes a true star, he'll get the max.

Harrison barnes just finished stinking up the playoffs yet many still think he will get the max.

See above. Salary cap still rising. Giving him the 25% 23.5 Million this year will be worth 22% of the max next year, and it's only growing due to ads and the nike jersey switch. All that said, I think he lost himself the max in the finals, and will get around 19 Mill.
 
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Because everyone saw the salary cap about to jump and threw max contracts at everybody. Hayward's 25% "Max" is worth 17% of our cap this next season. When the cap settles, teams won't be throwing out the max like candy. If he doesn't ball out, and settles in as a fringe all star, he'll only get the max if the salary cap is foresee ably about to jump again. Otherwise, I bet he gets around 25 M, around 5% down from the max he could get. If he balls out and becomes a true star, he'll get the max.



See above. Salary cap still rising. Giving him the 25% 23.5 Million this year will be worth 22% of the max next year, and it's only growing due to ads and the nike jersey switch. All that said, I think he lost himself the max in the finals, and will get around 19 Mill.
It's already been foreseen that the salary cap is going way up. Doesn't matter what Hayward does next season imo... He getting maxed regardless.
 
It's already been foreseen that the salary cap is going way up. Doesn't matter what Hayward does next season imo... He getting maxed regardless.

Which comes to my other point, why does it matter if we give him 30 Mill a year if it ends up being closer to 25% of our cap rather than 30% the next season?

BUT, salary cap will likely not be going way up after the year he is a free agent,so it's likely that unless he's a top 15 or so player in the league, that he doesn't get the 30M max, and rather gets around 25M

NBA teams were informed Thursday of the latest salary-cap forecasts as well as ‎projected jumps in the luxury tax threshold from its current figure of $76.8 million to $81.6 million next season, $108 million in 2016-17 and $127 million in 2017-18, sources said.

In subsequent years, sources said, league officials are projecting a slight decrease in the cap, down to $100 million in 2018-19 (with ‎a $121 million tax line), $102 million in 2019-20 (with a $124 million tax line) and $107 million in 2020-21 with a $130 million tax line.

https://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/12711616/teams-told-nba-salary-cap-hit-100m-2017-18-season
 
So here's my question, since it seems a lot of people want to move guys to get a potential star.

In my mind, the chances of us winning a championship with LeBron, Curry, Durant, Davis and eventually KAT around are pretty slim. So do we keep on selling players, hoping to get that next star and perennially being in the late lottery to 7-8th seed range, or do we try to go the Memphis route? If we're honest, Memphis never had more than a minuscule shot, but they were still a really good team.

I think I lean towards the Memphis route...cause honestly, unless Exum becomes a star, we're not a championship team. But we're still a damn good team. Is that good enough?
 
So here's my question, since it seems a lot of people want to move guys to get a potential star.

In my mind, the chances of us winning a championship with LeBron, Curry, Durant, Davis and eventually KAT around are pretty slim. So do we keep on selling players, hoping to get that next star and perennially being in the late lottery to 7-8th seed range, or do we try to go the Memphis route? If we're honest, Memphis never had more than a minuscule shot, but they were still a really good team.

I think I lean towards the Memphis route...cause honestly, unless Exum becomes a star, we're not a championship team. But we're still a damn good team. Is that good enough?
The memphis route even had players better than Hayward doe. So even if we go the Memphis route I think we trade Hayward for another shot at a player better than Hayward. Unless we want to be a poor mans version of memphis. I also don't think (But could be wrong) that any of memphis guys made as much as Hayward is likely to make on his next deal.


I don't think it's very likely at all that we ever draft a player as good as curry, lebron, or durant. (Definitely possible, but unlikely)

My argument has always been that Hayward is really good, but not good enough, so we should try to get someone better than Hayward. Not a top 3 guy necessarily but someone better than Hayward if we are going to give them that 5 year insane contact.
I think the likelihood of us getting a player who is better than Hayward is high. (Hell, we might already have one or two on the current roster when they reach their peak. I hope we will be able to play them with Hayward making 30 + million per year)

I think part of the issue in this discussion though is how good each person thinks Hayward is. I think he is a really good player but if he were to be traded or even walk next year our win/loss total wouldn't be that different.
He has been here for many years now. I have looked at his numbers often and watched him play every game of his career. My assessment after that is that he isn't as great as a lot of jazz fanz think he is and definitely would be a mistake to pay him the 5 year max. He just isn't an efficient enough and good enough scorer to be the best player on the team imo. And while he is a good defender I don't think he is a good enough defender to warrant that contract.
I mean he has no nba accolades at this point in his career (6 full seasons) whether offensively, defensively, or all around.
And yes he has some good all around numbers. He plays the most minutes on the team and has the biggest role and most opportunities. Someone has to get numbers on the team. This team is set up for Hayward to be that guy.
If you look at his per 36 stats you find that last season his points, rebounds, assists, 3 point%, and field goal% all went down from the year before. I think he has peaked. This is as good as he is going to get (a pretty good player)

His field goal percentage as a rookie was 48%... After that year it goes 46, 43, 41, 44, 43.
His 3 point percentage was 47 his rookie year (fantastic).... Then it goes 34, 41, 30, 36, 35.

Maybe with a better point guard his percentages will go up. They need to imo.

I just don't Hayward puts fear into opposing teams. I doubt that when we play other teams they are super worried about how in the world to stop Hayward from going off for 40 or 50 in a game. (I don't think he has ever scored 40 in his six seasons.) I don't think he has that in him.

I saw cy saying that he thinks Thompson and Hayward are on the same level (iirc he said he would rather have Hayward)
Someone else was brought up kyrie irving in the Hayward discussion in the context of asking me if I would want a player like him who is a ball hog with no defense who isn't good enough.

If people think Hayward is similar in value to klay and kyrie then the difference in Haywards perceived value is way too far apart for me to ever see eye to eye with the other side of the discussion.
 
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Of course no one made as much as Hayward is going to make. The cap is going up!!

That's like saying that Jordan didn't make as much money as LeBron, so you shouldn't pay LeBron that much. Inflation is real.

And Gasol was better than Hayward is now, yes. But we're still young and improving, obviously, and I never said I don't want to add more free agents. But you're avoiding the question pretty deliberately. Granted, you also think we would better next year without Hayward, sooooo....
 
Of course no one made as much as Hayward is going to make. The cap is going up!!

That's like saying that Jordan didn't make as much money as LeBron, so you shouldn't pay LeBron that much. Inflation is real.

And Gasol was better than Hayward is now, yes. But we're still young and improving, obviously, and I never said I don't want to add more free agents. But you're avoiding the question pretty deliberately. Granted, you also think we would better next year without Hayward, sooooo....

Jordan made more than Lebron. In 97-98 Jordan made 33 million. This year James made 22 million.
 
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