There is actually this thing called the lottery. Every loss could get us a better chance at winning it. Every win hurts our chances at getting wiggins or parker.
If we get gordon. Fine. But this win could have been the difference between getting gordon and getting wiggins/jabari.
nah, we ain't getting wiggins/parker. even if we lose out including last night's game, we still most likely will get #3 pick. i just think because of embiid's back, those 2 will be gone in top 2 picks.
and honestly after wiggins/parker, not much separate from #3 to #8. i don't want embiid because i'm weary about his health. i don't like big guys with back problems. if we draft embiid and he turns to greg oden, then it will be 10 times more devastating picking a bust at #5.
so basically it comes down to who do we really want - exum, smart, randle, gordon, and vonleh. honestly, i would just flip a coin. no 1 player really stand out. all have pros and cons. i'm actually pretty high on vonleh. i'll be much more high on him if he comes in big and athletic in predraft.
at the end of the day, we are going to have 15.6% chance of landing a #1 pick as #3 pick overall at our absolute best(tanking out). say adios to wiggins. and i bet it's 50/50 for parker to stay at duke. he can at least taste the final four with Okafor. and he is a type of cat who hates losing. did you watch his interview? he was in a shock.
i've been staring at this and i just don't see it.
1. 250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
2. 199 combinations, 19.9% chance
3. 156 combinations, 15.6% chance
4. 119 combinations, 11.9% chance
5. 88 combinations, 8.8% chance
6. 63 combinations, 6.3% chance
7. 43 combinations, 4.3% chance
8. 28 combinations, 2.8% chance
9. 17 combinations, 1.7% chance
10. 11 combinations, 1.1% chance
maybe we will get exum and let him be our dynamic combo guard at #4.
realistically i see us being #5 pick. and we will get a damn good player at #5.
Last edited: