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Over/Under on Alec Burks Projections

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franklin

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From BBall-reference.com

Projection
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Per 36 Minutes Shooting
Season Age Lg FG FGA 3P 3PA FT FTA ORB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS FG% 3P% FT% WS/48
2013-14 22 NBA 5.5 12.6 0.9 2.6 3.2 4.4 1.5 5.0 2.8 1.1 0.4 2.2 3.4 15.2 .437 .366 .730 .058
Click to expand...


15.1 points -- Sell, 18.8
34% 3 point -- Sell, he'll shoot closer to 37%.
46% from 2 -- Sell, increased role will decrease his efficiency. 44%
4.4 FTA --Sell, closer to 5.5


*PER 36 MINUTES
 
I think his actual production will be


14ppg
35% 3pt
44% overall
75% from the line @ 5 fta
2 ast
4 reb
 
I don't see it. I think the offensive options will be, in terms of priority:

1. Trey/Hayward pick and roll.
2. Trey (Kanter/Favors) pick and roll.
3. Trey drive and kick to Hayward.
4. Trey drive and dish to Kanter/Favors
5. Trey drive and kick to Alec.
6. Hayward drive/iso.
7. Alec drive/iso.

In all cases, Alec doesn't rise to the top of any offensive options - going to be hard for him to earn that many PPG when he's that low on the priority chart. He'll basically have to be extremely efficient with the opportunities he does get to be more of a priority in Corbin's offensive system.
 
Burke is gonna rest, and we'll have some stiff backup PG in there, but Burks will probably stay in and take a lot of the load / ball handling. Remember how money he was with Kanter at the pick n pop when he got time last season?
 
Sneakers said:
Burke is gonna rest, and we'll have some stiff backup PG in there, but Burks will probably stay in and take a lot of the load / ball handling. Remember how money he was with Kanter at the pick n pop when he got time last season?
Click to expand...

Good point.
 
if Ronnie Brewer can average 12 & 14 ppg, Alec can get that easy. Even if they just replicated the cuts that brewer got it'd be plenty.
 
jope said:
if Ronnie Brewer can average 12 & 14 ppg, Alec can get that easy. Even if they just replicated the cuts that brewer got it'd be plenty.
Click to expand...

Ty Corbin doesn't know what a cut is yet.

"Is that where we throw the ball to Al Jefferson?"
 
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Burks will be good enough this year that we could probably use him to move up in next years draft if we want too. We might have the luck to get two really good picks next year. We will have plenty of assets, and a couple players in burks and rush who might be expendable, and maybe could net us a top small forward in the draft/trade.
 
franklin said:
From BBall-reference.com




15.1 points -- Sell, 18.8
34% 3 point -- Sell, he'll shoot closer to 37%.
46% from 2 -- Sell, increased role will decrease his efficiency. 44%
4.4 FTA --Sell, closer to 5.5


*PER 36 MINUTES
Click to expand...

I'm confused by what you were meaning by saying sell to all of the stats? Shouldn't it go:

Buy
Buy
Sell
Buy
 
Flc said:
I don't see it. I think the offensive options will be, in terms of priority:

1. Trey/Hayward pick and roll.
2. Trey (Kanter/Favors) pick and roll.
3. Trey drive and kick to Hayward.
4. Trey drive and dish to Kanter/Favors
5. Trey drive and kick to Alec.
6. Hayward drive/iso.
7. Alec drive/iso.

In all cases, Alec doesn't rise to the top of any offensive options - going to be hard for him to earn that many PPG when he's that low on the priority chart. He'll basically have to be extremely efficient with the opportunities he does get to be more of a priority in Corbin's offensive system.
Click to expand...

I think if he is coming off the bench, which i think may be the plan, he could be the main attacking weapon on the floor for good stretches.
 
A-Train said:
28-32 mins as a starter and maybe 22-24 mins as a 6th man.



I hope he starts, but watch Corbin start Rush over him.
Click to expand...

I think i read a quote from Lowe on here somewhere today that said he would have the 6th role and he was cool with that. don't hold me to that though, may be misremembering.
 
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