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**Race to embrace the 8th. Jazz have the most difficult sched. compared to Hou and Dal

Lakers_Slapper

Lakers_Slapper

Well-Known Member
There are 3 teams and only 2 spots available. Dallas, Utah, & Houston. One will be left out of the playoffs while the other 2 advance. Looking at all 3 teams remaining schedules, Utah has got one of the most difficult schedules having more games than the other 2 teams. Dalas has the most against 50%+. The Jazz are going to have to start playing playoff basketball much earlier than the playoffs if they are going to want to compete for the 7th or 8th seed. What do you think are going to be the results?

Dallas:
April 1st: Dal @ Det (53% opp W%)
April 3rd: Dal @ Min (33% opp W%)
April 6th: Hou @ Dal (49% opp W%)
April 8th: Mem @ Dal (55% opp W%)
April 10th: Dal @ LAC (63% opp W%)
April 11th: Dal @ Utah(49% opp W%)
April 13th: SAS @ Dal (84% opp W%)

4 away, 3 home, 1 back to back, 4 games against teams 50% or better

Houston:
April 3rd: OKC @ Hou (70% opp W%)
April 6th: Hou @ Dal (49% opp W%)
April 7th: Pho @ Hou (27% opp W%)
April 10th: LAL @ Hou (21% opp W%)
April 11th: Hou @ Min (33% opp W%)
April 13th: Sac @ Hou (40% opp W%)

2 away, 4 home, 2 back to back, 1 game against teams 50% or better

Utah:
April 1st: Uta @ Min (33% opp W%)
April 3rd: Uta @ Pho (27% opp W%)
April 5th: Uta @ SA (84% opp W%)
April 8th: LAC @ Uta (63% opp W%)
April 10th: Uta @ Den (42% opp W%)
April 11th: Dal @ Uta (49% opp W%)
April 13th: Uta @ LAL (21% opp W%)

5 away, 2 home, 1 back to back, 2 games against teams 50% or better
 
Likely comes down to a couple of key matchups:

Houston @ Dallas
Dallas @ Utah

Houston picking up a win at Cleveland was HUGE. With them owning the tiebreaker over Utah, probably have to cheer for them to win against Dallas and get the 7th seed, with Utah defeating Dallas and ending up 8th.

Utah has to go 5-2, with the losses coming against SA and LAC. Dallas needs to lose to Houston, @LAC, @Utah or drop one of their other road games against Detroit or Minnesota. Houston could very well lose to OKC and then win out after that.
 
Mavs schedule looks way more difficult.

If the Jazz lose more than two more games I'll be disappointed. I'm honestly not worried at all about making the playoffs. Maybe I'll eat crow, but I'm almost positive we will make it.
 
Biggs said:
Jazz have 4 home game and 3 away games. Your info is wrong
Click to expand...
I don't know how wrong is info is, but yes it's definitely wrong.

I know the spurs play here in salt lake city. So that's at least one he has wrong.

He probably trolling.
 
Bawse Dawg said:
I'm honestly not worried at all about making the playoffs.
Click to expand...

I agree. I wish my bet was making the playoffs or not rather than 42 games
 
Looking at these schedules by the teams that care (playoff seeding):

Dallas has @DET, HOU,MEM,@UTA. SAS will rest of last game of season
Houston has OKC,@DAL. I don't think okc will rest yet.
Utah has @SAS, LAC?,DAL. SAS is too early to rest. LAC might rest, or at least not care enough- depends if lac hates jazz or HOU, or Dallas more...

Currently:
DAL. 37-38
UTA. 37-38
HOU. 37-39

As noted above, Houston beating Dallas puts the playoff fate into jazz's own hands.
 
You are using bad data home versus away. And the Jazz and Mavs back to back is irrelevant, since they play each other in the B2B, neither has an advantage.

Dallas has by far the most difficult schedule. Their average win probability is 40%. The Jazz are 62%. The Rockets are 64%. Jazz are predicted to go 5-2, Dallas 3-4, Houston 4-2.
 
I have no idea if The Jazz are going to make it but right now the schedules are a secondary importance. I feel good about our chances simply because Utah is playing better basketball than Houston and Dallas.
 
Like someone said earlier, OP has dates wrong for the Jazz. We play at home tonight and vs the Spurs.
 
Favors is out tonight
 
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