Re-sign `em all - A value-scenario

[Saint Cy of JFC]

Hood will want to start and Hood will want to get paid. I'd love to keep the guy, but those are two truths we cannot avoid. Even if we keep him at a bargain, we will still have to worry about keeping him happy as a bench player. If we can do that, let's keep him. If we can't, I think that's why he is being made available in the first place.

Everyone wants to start. I dont think thats a big issue.

 

[silesian]

Man, how times have changed. From every free agent being able to command near max salaries over the last couple of seasons to almost none this year according to most reports. This recent development puts us in a spot that we could really capitalize on. We have three free agents this summer that all at one time were projected to make major money on their next contract: Favors, Hood and Exum. Now it looks like the market just is not there for them.

Instead of trading any of these three players, we should look to re-sign the bunch of them to long term deals. If we could get these three players for a combined $35 million next year - Favors $15, Hood $12, Exum $8, we would go into next season with a salary bill of $119 million assuming we get pick #16. The luxury tax is projected to be at $123 million. We would be below this and go into next season with 6 expiring contracts - Rubio, Burks, Thabo, Jerebko, Udoh and Neto - that has a combined salary of $41 million. If Favors continues playing well and Hood stays healthy, we would have good players on good deals combined with expiring contracts that will give us the opportunity to either use cap space next summer to recruit our final piece or make a big move.

When you say "I can't believe how times have changed" I assume you mean "since 2 weeks ago, before the 6 game win streak"

This is unsustainable, so let's keep a grasp on reality.

You will not get these guys for the price tags you suggest. Someone will throw >$10mm at Exum, >$14mm at Hood and >$16mm at Favors.

I believe that our FO has the sophistication to make sensible and non-emotional long-term decisions without this sort of immediacy bias.

 

[Hedda Gambler]

When you say "I can't believe how times have changed" I assume you mean "since 2 weeks ago, before the 6 game win streak"

This is unsustainable, so let's keep a grasp on reality.

You will not get these guys for the price tags you suggest. Someone will throw >$10mm at Exum, >$14mm at Hood and >$16mm at Favors.

I believe that our FO has the sophistication to make sensible and non-emotional long-term decisions without this sort of immediacy bias.

No, I am referring to the financial state of the NBA. A year or so ago, nobody would predict that it would be reasonable to offer Rodney Hood a new deal at about $10 million a year. The reality of the NBA, that you want me to keep a grasp on, is that there just aren`t many teams who are able and willing to spend this summer. This is something we have to try to take advantage of.

 

[fishonjazz]

Yes, precisely. It's not the same thing. Rubio is playing better and Gobert is there. The defense is there now. Even when they cool down, they still got the D.

Last night was a decent example of this..... though the opponent was a poor one

 

[silesian]

No, I am referring to the financial state of the NBA. A year or so ago, nobody would predict that it would be reasonable to offer Rodney Hood a new deal at about $10 million a year.

...there just aren`t many teams who are able and willing to spend this summer. This is something we have to try to take advantage of.

The normalization of salaries with the leveling of the cap was well understood and predicted by many. This is the reason why the NBA asked players for a more gradual salary ramp-up instead of the dramatic step-change. The result was that players were dramatically over-paid based on the timing of their free agency. With the explosion of the cap, teams had money to burn. Those who did, got burned with bad contracts. Fortunately, the Jazz were disciplined. Now that the cap has leveled, we are back to the status quo, but with salaries scaled to the new cap values. During the bubble years, this was not the case.

That said, I think there will continue to be money spent on promising players coming off their rookie deals and your estimates for what we could sign Donovan or Rodney for is low. Time will tell.

 

[Hedda Gambler]

Instead of trading any of these three players, we should look to re-sign the bunch of them to long term deals. If we could get these three players for a combined $35 million next year - Favors $15, Hood $12, Exum $8, we would go into next season with a salary bill of $119 million assuming we get pick #16. The luxury tax is projected to be at $123 million. We would be below this and go into next season with 6 expiring contracts - Rubio, Burks, Thabo, Jerebko, Udoh and Neto - that has a combined salary of $41 million. If Favors continues playing well and Hood stays healthy, we would have good players on good deals combined with expiring contracts that will give us the opportunity to either use cap space next summer to recruit our final piece or make a big move.

First and hopefully last time I quote myself, but this turned out to be pretty spot on. We traded Hood for Crowder, but his salary combined with Favors` and Exum`s comes in at just around $35 million, depending on how the new deals for Dante and Derrick are structured.

Well played, DL.