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Ricky Rubio will break out this season

ghsartin said:
Although I admit to being surprised by Rubio's good (but not great) outside shooting last year and expect him to improve a little, I think some of you guys are predicting waaay too many points for him. First of all, for him to average between 17 and 19 he would have to take between 14 an 16 shots per game (in contrast to the 10.7 that he took last season). Who is going to shoot less so he can increase his number of shots? Or is he simply going to play more minutes? I remember that there was some concerning about his body holding up during last season, so I don't think Snyder will allow him to play more than, let's say, 32 mpg (in contrast to 29.3 last season). Also, everybody is expecting Mitchell to take a slightly bigger offensive role next season, which makes it even more difficult for Rubio to have an increased role as well. I expect about the same 13 points per game from him in about the same 29 minutes per game, taking slightly less shots per game and hitting slightly better percentages both from the field and from 3 point range. I think his assists may increase a little, though, to around 6.5 per game.
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Agreed. I think RR will be solid this year and it will be his best season in the league. What we need from him is to not have stretches where he is a liability because of his poor shooting. I optimistically think that is behind him. Fingers crossed. Glad to him him running the offense.
 
ghsartin said:
Although I admit to being surprised by Rubio's good (but not great) outside shooting last year and expect him to improve a little, I think some of you guys are predicting waaay too many points for him. First of all, for him to average between 17 and 19 he would have to take between 14 an 16 shots per game (in contrast to the 10.7 that he took last season). Who is going to shoot less so he can increase his number of shots? Or is he simply going to play more minutes? I remember that there was some concerning about his body holding up during last season, so I don't think Snyder will allow him to play more than, let's say, 32 mpg (in contrast to 29.3 last season). Also, everybody is expecting Mitchell to take a slightly bigger offensive role next season, which makes it even more difficult for Rubio to have an increased role as well. I expect about the same 13 points per game from him in about the same 29 minutes per game, taking slightly less shots per game and hitting slightly better percentages both from the field and from 3 point range. I think his assists may increase a little, though, to around 6.5 per game.
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Some of this is misleading. He took about 11.5 FGA after the All-star Break and averaged 15.1 in that time while doing 43.6 FG%, 40.9 3p%, and 87.5 FT%. This included 17 ppg with a stupidly efficient 10.5 FGA per contest in April We're assuming he's going to return at that better overall clip next year (remember, he did five months over 40% FG and 35% 3p last year). If he can score 19 with those efficiencies, I will take that any day of the week. So it's is really no stretch to think he can do it. You also need to remember that as certain players get more efficient with their shot, like Donovan or Jae, that's enough to give Rubio his touches without compromising our offense. That Jazz win when Rubio is scoring, simple as that.
 
ghsartin said:
Although I admit to being surprised by Rubio's good (but not great) outside shooting last year and expect him to improve a little, I think some of you guys are predicting waaay too many points for him. First of all, for him to average between 17 and 19 he would have to take between 14 an 16 shots per game (in contrast to the 10.7 that he took last season). Who is going to shoot less so he can increase his number of shots? Or is he simply going to play more minutes? I remember that there was some concerning about his body holding up during last season, so I don't think Snyder will allow him to play more than, let's say, 32 mpg (in contrast to 29.3 last season). Also, everybody is expecting Mitchell to take a slightly bigger offensive role next season, which makes it even more difficult for Rubio to have an increased role as well. I expect about the same 13 points per game from him in about the same 29 minutes per game, taking slightly less shots per game and hitting slightly better percentages both from the field and from 3 point range. I think his assists may increase a little, though, to around 6.5 per game.
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Good post.

I think people are counting on post All Star Rubio to show up all season. He was worth 15 ppg.

After the break he took 11.6 shots per game @ .566 ts%. Last season as a whole, he had career highs in 2pt % and 3pt %. Expecting even better shooting after that is reaching a bit, but if he can maintain 38% from 3 (.41 post AS) and his 2% by 2%, increase FTA by 0.2/game, and shoot 1 more shot per game (.5 @ 3 and .5 @ 2) then he is at 16+. That's not too far of a leap, considering you can always find more shots for a .57% ts% player.
 
I do not expect Rubio to up his scoring that much. I think we see him at a solid 15 ppg, maybe even 14, but I think his efficiency will just go up. He has a year under his belt now, he knows how this team plays, they know how he plays, it will give him a very solid base. I sincerely believe that Mitchell is a 25 ppg scorer this next season, which will take some points from other players, unless the entire team increases their scoring which I do not think will represent a big jump.
 
LogGrad98 said:
I do not expect Rubio to up his scoring that much. I think we see him at a solid 15 ppg, maybe even 14, but I think his efficiency will just go up. He has a year under his belt now, he knows how this team plays, they know how he plays, it will give him a very solid base. I sincerely believe that Mitchell is a 25 ppg scorer this next season, which will take some points from other players, unless the entire team increases their scoring which I do not think will represent a big jump.
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If Mitchell becomes a 25 point scorer it will be because of better efficiency. He won’t take scoring opportunities from Rubio


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Thee jazz fan said:
If Mitchell becomes a 25 point scorer it will be because of better efficiency. He won’t take scoring opportunities from Rubio


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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So you are saying the Jazz will score more this next season than they did last season? Could be.
 
Surprised I never commented in here. Loved him this year. I’ll admit it. And eat crow.

He’s stunk.
 
Thee jazz fan said:
Bout time we got a Rubio thread. He sometimes gets overlooked. He got out of timberpups land and immediately had his best season, I would even dare say he played at at an allstar level for most of the second half of the season.

He makes our starting lineup pretty insane, and don’t see why we can’t win a chip this year, there are no real weaknesses in our lineup and everyone in it plays rock solid defense, Rubio just adds to that, and I can definitely see him average 17/4/8/2 (pts. Reb. Ast. Stl.)
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Im with ya Thee.

To the championship!!!. Woop woop.

Lead us Ricky!
 
If Rubio keeps pushing his man to the basket by over playing him, he can get help from our big front line players who play excellent defense to begin with. IF we cherish EVERY possession and try not to make ESPN highlight films we are a solid defensive team!
 
elan_prodigy said:
I agree. The fact Rubio has acknowledged his mindset has changed since coming to Utah makes me beleive we will see him reach yet another level this season.

My prediction is he puts up:
19/5/5/1.5 while shooting 39% from 3. His TOs will also reduce and his chenistry with Rudy will increase significantly. He will be in discussion for Allstar and 3rd team All-NBA.
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Complete disappointment from someone given as much opportunity as Rubio has been given.

13/6/4/1
32% from 3
Lack of chemistry with Rudy contributed to Rudy being snubbed for Allstar game.
3rd Team All-NBA, please...
 
elan_prodigy said:
Complete disappointment from someone given as much opportunity as Rubio has been given.

13/6/4/1
32% from 3
Lack of chemistry with Rudy contributed to Rudy being snubbed for Allstar game.
3rd Team All-NBA, please...
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Lol at Rudy not making the Allstar game because of Ricky.
 
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