Dude, so crazy. WUT? People sleep? People work for 16hrs and then decide to call it a day?
So weak!
The *official* Election Day Game Thread!
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So weak!
You didn’t answer my question as to whether you’d find that reasonable if the roles were reversed. I’d imagine many people would be saying things like “unprecedented,” “dangerous,” “threat to democracy,” etc.
yes, stopping for the night is reasonable.
Its 1.8 million votes, 70 percent cast by registered democrats. I dont believe these figures are a matter of conjecture, then again i don't require medication to discern reality from fiction.
Miggs
Well-Known Member
Watching **** now. Biden is winning Wiscy but only by like 11,000 votes. I think they said 10% of Milwaukee County which is heavily D has yet to report as have some smaller counties which are heavily R. I wish they’d get even more specific with the math. If there are x people in Milwaukee County and 10% of that is y number of people than based on voting in historically in those specific precincts (or whatever they’re called), we can expect about A Biden votes and B Trump votes thus growing Biden’s lead from 11,000 votes to about 23,000 votes...or whatever...then based on the remaining smaller typically R counties, we can expect...like that. It’s fairly basic math.
The Thriller
Well-Known Member
#pray4Thriller
there’s a lot of mail ins that still need to be counted so this could take a few days. I feel confident that Biden will win Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. That will put him comfortably over the top. I never felt very comfortable with Florida. What surprises me is North Carolina not flipping, how close it’s been in swing states, and the underperformance of Senate candidates. Even after 4 years of acting like a toddler, being impeached, and rolling out one of the worst covid responses on earth, people really want 4 more years of this?
I think There’s a major problem with how people consume information in this country. They have hours to burn watching teevee and Facebook but don’t have a few mins to pick up a damn newspaper.
there’s a lot of mail ins that still need to be counted so this could take a few days. I feel confident that Biden will win Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. That will put him comfortably over the top. I never felt very comfortable with Florida. What surprises me is North Carolina not flipping, how close it’s been in swing states, and the underperformance of Senate candidates. Even after 4 years of acting like a toddler, being impeached, and rolling out one of the worst covid responses on earth, people really want 4 more years of this?
I think There’s a major problem with how people consume information in this country. They have hours to burn watching teevee and Facebook but don’t have a few mins to pick up a damn newspaper.
Miggs
Well-Known Member
lmfao what? You’re confident he’ll win Pennsylvania? Have you been paying attention? He’d have to take about 80% of the 1.4 million votes to be counted there.
I feel confident in Maine, Nevada (winning already and the county with Vegas is mostly D and is left)...that leaves AZ, Wiscy and Michigan.
PA is a loss for Biden.
The Thriller
Well-Known Member
Yes, most of the remaining vote come from Philly and mail ins dominated by Democrats. Here’s what The NY Times says:
The Thriller
Well-Known Member
Biden will remain in control of AZ, will have Wisconsin and Michigan, and will most likely retake Georgia. He’s going to win the EC comfortably in the end once all the mail ins have been counted.
But what will he be able to do if McConnell remains in charge of the senate?
Relax everyone relax. Plenty of mail ins due to the pandemic. Relax Biden will win.
Miggs
Well-Known Member
Trump has a 675,000 vote lead in Pennsylvania. There are 1.4 million mail-in votes remaining to be counted. Biden has to take 75% of those votes to win the state.
I’m not confident in that happening as mail-ins neither sway THAT heavily in that direction nor do such cities, urban or not, I don’t think.
I hope I’m wrong though.
Honestly, it doesn’t matter. Trump will call upon governors, judges, the Postmaster General, the Supreme Court, as well as his own army of lawyers to contest this, and my guess is, he’ll somehow “win” using such shady tactics.
I’m not confident in that happening as mail-ins neither sway THAT heavily in that direction nor do such cities, urban or not, I don’t think.
I hope I’m wrong though.
Honestly, it doesn’t matter. Trump will call upon governors, judges, the Postmaster General, the Supreme Court, as well as his own army of lawyers to contest this, and my guess is, he’ll somehow “win” using such shady tactics.
Avery
Well-Known Member
So likely:
Biden will hold in WI and retake the lead in MI as absentee are counted in D areas
NV is close, but not enough outstanding mail votes to win it for Trump
GA has more to count in Atlanta so this could go either way
PA has a ton left to count and may not matter if WI/MI go to Biden
Overall, you’d rather be in Biden’s position. Polling was still crap though as R’s will gain a few seats and a D senate is extinguished. No landslide here or anything close to it.
Biden will hold in WI and retake the lead in MI as absentee are counted in D areas
NV is close, but not enough outstanding mail votes to win it for Trump
GA has more to count in Atlanta so this could go either way
PA has a ton left to count and may not matter if WI/MI go to Biden
Overall, you’d rather be in Biden’s position. Polling was still crap though as R’s will gain a few seats and a D senate is extinguished. No landslide here or anything close to it.
candrew
Well-Known Member
Someone can check my math but if Biden flips Michigan (which seems more likely) and holds on in Wisconsin and Nevada that brings him to 270 and he doesn't need PA.
candrew
Well-Known Member
Right on queue....according to AP, Biden just pulled ahead in Michigan.
NAOS
Well-Known Member
This is all looking pretty false at the moment.
add this post to the list of premature celebrations
Miggs
Well-Known Member
I’m almost certain you’re right. FWIW, I wasn’t saying Biden didn’t have a chance. Just that I’d hardly use PA as an example of a state that he was going to win.
NAOS
Well-Known Member
Wut?
candrew
Well-Known Member
I'd like to propose something novel - can we get rid of the Electoral College?
This is ****ing ridic....when they finish up the mail-ins and the west coast, Biden is easily going to be +50% with about 5 million more votes than Trump. That's greater than the entire population of most of these fly-over states that are dead red every election.
This is ****ing ridic....when they finish up the mail-ins and the west coast, Biden is easily going to be +50% with about 5 million more votes than Trump. That's greater than the entire population of most of these fly-over states that are dead red every election.
NAOS
Well-Known Member
That the election is closer than many anticipated and they didn’t want to come in here and overreact?