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Tracking the Jazz in the Hollinger Playoff Odds

orangello said:
The Jazz own the tie breaker with the Lakers. How do they lose?
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LunaticWolf said:
It sorts by chance to make the playoffs.

Jazz still make in that scenario.
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If I understand correctly, out of the 5000 simulated seasons, the Lakers ended up making the playoffs more than the Jazz, even though they're both projected to go 42-40. Maybe that means the Jazz had a few more very good seasons than the Lakers but also had more bad ones while the Lakers were more consistent in the simulations.
 
I would like to add that the Jazz have played more games than Portland and yet are only two games ahead of them.

If the Jazz don't close out this month strong I see them missing the playoffs. The games that remain for February are:

H vs OKC
A vs Minnesota
H vs GS
A vs LAC
H vs Boston
H vs Atlanta

That doesn't look promising. I just hope they at least beat GS to help that pick.
 
I just can't see the Jazz winning with Tinsley and Watson. Nobody even has to guard them. It's unheard of. I've never seen a guard in the NBA that you can completely leave wide open and still have that player brick a shot. Never. It's pathetic. I know I'm beating up a dead horse, but I don't think we're getting to the playoffs with dinosaur guards. The Houston game exposed this weakness and I'm very well surprised that we're even close to winning some of these games.
 
Weezur said:
I just can't see the Jazz winning with Tinsley and Watson. Nobody even has to guard them. It's unheard of. I've never seen a guard in the NBA that you can completely leave wide open and still have that player brick a shot. Never. It's pathetic. I know I'm beating up a dead horse, but I don't think we're getting to the playoffs with dinosaur guards. The Houston game exposed this weakness and I'm very well surprised that we're even close to winning some of these games.
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Well, we did have a certain guy named Brewer that the Lakers kept ignoring in the playoffs. And we had a certain $17M SF that you could completely ignore from outside. As for PG's, Jazz believe in the "pass-first" version. You don't need to shoot very well to be a starting PG for Utah...just ask Palacio, Knight, Hart or McLeod.
 
MoTown16 said:
Well, we did have a certain guy named Brewer that the Lakers kept ignoring in the playoffs. And we had a certain $17M SF that you could completely ignore from outside. As for PG's, Jazz believe in the "pass-first" version. You don't need to shoot very well to be a starting PG for Utah...just ask Palacio, Knight, Hart or McLeod.
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Ah ****, can't believe I forgot about Hart and Knight. Good call MoTown. Brewer sucked too, but he was a smart cutter.
EDIT- Those were backup PGs so it wasn't all game that the opponent didn't have to guard the PG position.
 
So I finally thought it might make sense to start including the actual odds of the Jazz making the playoffs besides just following their project and actual records.
 
Catchall said:
Hollinger still thinks we'll go 12 - 16 from here.
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With the Lakers and Portland 4 1/2 back and Dallas 6 back, even an 11-17 finish and 41-41 overall record might be good enough to grab that all-important 8th seed. Finishing 8th is like being one of those sacrificial lambs that face the NCAA big boys early in the year to get them warmed up for the rest of football season.
 
The Norm said:
I'm very pessimistic, but after looking at the remaining schedule even I can't see the Jazz doing as bad as 12-16.
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I've got good news for you then. The Hollinger Playoff Odds now project a 13-15 finish for the Jazz after the break.
 
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