♪alt13
Well-Known Member
I’m not clear on the minutiae of the rules for third party admittance to the presidential debates.
The stated criteria of "a level of support of at least 15 percent of the national electorate as determined by five selected national public opinion polling organizations, using the average of those organizations' most recently publicly-reported results at the time of the determination,” is clear enough in the abstract but when exactly is that determination made and is it subject to change?
For example, the first debate is scheduled for September 26 while the last is not until October 19. If Johnson were to fall short of 15 percent in September polling but exceed 15 percent by October, would he be excluded from the first debate and then allowed to participate in the final debate?
My expectation is that Trump would fail miserably in a first one-on-one debate with Clinton and that, as a result, Johnson’s poll numbers could rise enough to put him over the 15 percent threshold and, theoretically at least, make him eligible for the last debate.
I'm not a hundred percent certain butt I'm pretty sure that it's not an average. He needs to get at least 15% N5 Nationwide polls selected by the commission on presidential debates. It is my understanding that they do not reveal which polls they will be using until after Labor Day or something.