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Washington Post Poll - Trump Leads 46 - 45

The author has been the most respected and accurate poll aggregator for the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections. He has put himself out on a limb with his near certainty of a Clinton win and much of that certainty is based on his polarization hypothesis. It would be interesting to hear any thoughtful replies and criticism of his theory.

lol - went over your head.
 
Not even close.

It's not so much that she had classified emails on an unclassified system, although that's bad. It's how she and her team have responded since that was uncovered--repeatedly lying to the public, probably to the FBI, ignoring subpoenas, deliberately destroying evidence, and so forth. As usual, it's the cover up that's worse than the crime.
The Clinton’s are masters of obfuscation. Parsing their language and actions into a cloudy maze of deniability that drives their opponents close to madness. It’s how they’ve survived and prospered for thirty years in politics and they’re not about to change. When Hillary is elected (still the most likely possibility) we’ll see four years of investigations, hearings and calls for impeachment. This inevitability has been my main objection to her candidacy from the beginning. Still, acknowledging all this, a Clinton presidency will be a massive relief and infinitely preferable to the despotic demagoguery of Trump.
 
The Clinton’s are masters of obfuscation. Parsing their language and actions into a cloudy maze of deniability that drives their opponents close to madness. It’s how they’ve survived and prospered for thirty years in politics and they’re not about to change. When Hillary is elected (still the most likely possibility) we’ll see four years of investigations, hearings and calls for impeachment. This inevitability has been my main objection to her candidacy from the beginning. Still, acknowledging all this, a Clinton presidency will be a massive relief and infinitely preferable to the despotic demagoguery of Trump.

Great post. Her presidency will be a total nightmare and our rift as a nation will become a chasm. But Trump would be armageddon. I'm pissed that the republican party is so ****ed up that they couldn't rally around any one of the other candidates besides Trump. I blame the republican leaders 100% for not shunning Trump from the start. Kasich would have been eminently reasonable but reasonable is too sane for the R's current base. Right wing radio has made it so that a Reagan conservative doesn't stand a chance.
 
The Clinton’s are masters of obfuscation. Parsing their language and actions into a cloudy maze of deniability that drives their opponents close to madness. It’s how they’ve survived and prospered for thirty years in politics and they’re not about to change. When Hillary is elected (still the most likely possibility) we’ll see four years of investigations, hearings and calls for impeachment. This inevitability has been my main objection to her candidacy from the beginning. Still, acknowledging all this, a Clinton presidency will be a massive relief and infinitely preferable to the despotic demagoguery of Trump.

Great post. Her presidency will be a total nightmare and our rift as a nation will become a chasm. But Trump would be armageddon. I'm pissed that the republican party is so ****ed up that they couldn't rally around any one of the other candidates besides Trump. I blame the republican leaders 100% for not shunning Trump from the start. Kasich would have been eminently reasonable but reasonable is too sane for the R's current base. Right wing radio has made it so that a Reagan conservative doesn't stand a chance.

Great post. Clintons are serial narscistic liars an that is somehow worse than Trump. Great point An thank you.
 
The author has been the most respected and accurate poll aggregator for the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections. He has put himself out on a limb with his near certainty of a Clinton win and much of that certainty is based on his polarization hypothesis. It would be interesting to hear any thoughtful replies and criticism of his theory.

I believe Dr. Jones is pointing to the fact that Sam WANG is a distant cousin of Anthony WIENER. On a serious note, thanks so much for your contributions. Keeping the electoral math in mind has allowed me to calm down a little.
 
I believe Dr. Jones is pointing to the fact that Sam WANG is a distant cousin of Anthony WIENER. On a serious note, thanks so much for your contributions. Keeping the electoral math in mind has allowed me to calm down a little.

Yeah, can't wait until this election is over so you can make posting great again.
 
Great post. Her presidency will be a total nightmare and our rift as a nation will become a chasm. But Trump would be armageddon. I'm pissed that the republican party is so ****ed up that they couldn't rally around any one of the other candidates besides Trump. I blame the republican leaders 100% for not shunning Trump from the start. Kasich would have been eminently reasonable but reasonable is too sane for the R's current base. Right wing radio has made it so that a Reagan conservative doesn't stand a chance.

Lol. Wut?

Literally the exact same thing can be said about the Democrats and Hillary Clinton. Oh wait, the Dems tried, but Hillary rigged the primaries and screwed over the real nominee in Bernie Sanders.

Its actually Hillaryious that she she is having trouble beating the mess that is Donald Trump. That just says how awful she is. A ham sandwhich would be doing better than her.
 
Great post. Her presidency will be a total nightmare and our rift as a nation will become a chasm. But Trump would be armageddon. I'm pissed that the republican party is so ****ed up that they couldn't rally around any one of the other candidates besides Trump. I blame the republican leaders 100% for not shunning Trump from the start. Kasich would have been eminently reasonable but reasonable is too sane for the R's current base. Right wing radio has made it so that a Reagan conservative doesn't stand a chance.

When a 40-year old Evan McMullin, virtually unknown up to this point, blows most of the Republican candidates out of the water, something's wrong. George Bush/Quayle, Palin, Romney, Trump. Romney would have been unbelievably amazing, methinks. Outside of his bid, it's gone from bad to the worst ever. I've tried to be independent, but the Republicans aren't even giving sane people a chance.
 
When a 40-year old Evan McMullin, virtually unknown up to this point, blows most of the Republican candidates out of the water, something's wrong. George Bush/Quayle, Palin, Romney, Trump. Romney would have been unbelievably amazing, methinks. Outside of his bid, it's gone from bad to the worst ever. I've tried to be independent, but the Republicans aren't even giving sane people a chance.

Romney is the only candidate I've liked in like 20 years.
And I'm not even Mormon!
 
Romney is the only candidate I've liked in like 20 years.
And I'm not even Mormon!
Dude couldn't stop lying to save his life to the public but I did like some of his policies especially before his presidential run when he shifted more right. I preferred Huntsman but he never gained serious traction.
 
Dude couldn't stop lying to save his life to the public but I did like some of his policies especially before his presidential run when he shifted more right. I preferred Huntsman but he never gained serious traction.

Can you also go over the part where his Dad instilled in him that he was too important to be drafted?
 
Polls show it is not that cut and dry. It is close, even in the EC. Close according to polls at least.

If the average of polls is right it sits at 273-265 Ds.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...ctions_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html

Clinton has already basically locked down 270 electors. She doesn't need to do anymore than that to win the presidency but she likely will. She is within striking distance in NV, NC, FL, and AZ. Trump is within striking distance in Maine. Even if he picks up a couple of Maine's electors(Maine splits their electors) Clinton would still win.
 
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