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Which teams are gonna melt down in the face of upcoming tax hikes? What can we take from them?

The Pacers are fine.

The only teams that will be working to shed salary are teams over the tax or under the cap in the offseason and looking to get more. Enter Dallas and Shawn Marion and something nice (Beaubois, Collison [not sure how QO/RFAs work]? Crowder? Pick?).

That Marvin Williams trade looks uglier by the day, doesn't it?
 
What I find Crazy is the Nets are the team with the highest guaranteed salary in 14 and 15. They are absolutely screwed with Deron, Joe, and Lopez. Considering they are good but not great the Nets may blow that entire build up. I wouldn't be surprised if Deron is traded for cap/being a bitch reasons.

It's not as though they couldn't see problems coming since everyone else could. Their owner is boorish enough and has said as much to suggest that he's not scared to spend money. We'll see if he's good on that threat. But if they move anyone, keep an eye out for Humphries and whatever crap asset they have left.
 
Teams that as of right now are on track to be in luxury tax territory (in some cases dependant on ETO's not being exercised, likely qualifying offers, ect) without factoring in extensions/new contracts (such as the Clippers w/CP3+Bledsoe):
-Heat (Wade $18.7 mil 2013-14 salary, Bosh $19.1mil 13-14 salary, Mike Miller 2yrs $12.8mil remaining, Haslem 2yrs $9mil remaining)
-Knicks (Amare w/2 yrs ~$45mil remaining)
-Lakers (Gasol $19.3mil expiring)
-Warriors have a few players w/player-options but will likely be flirting with the luxury tax (Bogut $14mil expiring, Richard Jefferson $11 mil expiring, Biedrins $9mil expiring).
 
GoJazz thinks he's the first person to realize the Lakers have a large payroll and is really mad I stole his intellectual property. Smart chap.
 
Teams that as of right now are on track to be in luxury tax territory:

-Lakers (Gasol $19.3mil expiring)

I hate to be the one to break this to you, but you're going to have to pay GoJazz for the rights to this idea or you will get neg repped. Consider yourself warned.
 
-Warriors have a few players w/player-options but will likely be flirting with the luxury tax (Bogut $14mil expiring, Richard Jefferson $11 mil expiring, Biedrins $9mil expiring).

Was going to touch on this specifically but got sidetracked with a pant-pisser. Getting to that, GSW have never paid the tax and are almost certain to start the season above the threshold (they'll be several million over if everyone opts in without signing anyone new). They got a ton of dead weight on expirings (Bogut [if the trend continues], Biedrins [lock], and Jefferson [lock]). They're going to do something, I'm just not sure what it is.
 
GSW have never paid the tax and are almost certain to pay the tax (they'll be several million over if everyone opts in without signing anyone new). They got a ton of dead weight on expirings (Bogut [if the trend continues], Biedrins [lock], and Jefferson [lock]). They're going to do something, I'm just not sure what it is.
Agreed. Ultimately the Jazz will have to pay someone in 2013-14 and heck, the Jazz paid a decrepit Tom Gugliotta for 25 games in 2004 and ended up with Gordon Hayward for it.

I don't really like Jefferson, Bogut or Biedrins as players, but if they wanna throw in a 2014 1st-round pick I'd seriously consider taking one of them on if I knew Utah's bigname FA options were slim (good chance they will be) and I knew Corbin wouldn't do something crazy like start Biedrins ahead of Favors&Kanter or Richard Jefferson ahead of Hayward (who knows?).
 
I don't really like Jefferson, Bogut or Biedrins as players, but if they wanna throw in a 2014 1st-round pick I'd seriously consider taking one of them on if I knew Utah's bigname FA options were slim (good chance they will be) and I knew Corbin wouldn't do something crazy like start Biedrins ahead of Favors&Kanter or Richard Jefferson ahead of Hayward (who knows?).

He's kept me guessing until now, so I'd say nothing is safe.
 
I hope the Jazz can swing a deal that includes getting rid of Marvin, picks and a short term (1 year) for a vet that will not play over the young guys. I hope the Jazz are smart enough to not overpay and sign good but not great vets to long term deals. If they do then say good bye to two of the core 4.
 
Here's the kind of deal I'm looking for:

*Team X needs to shed salary at the deadline to avoid a whopping bill from the league.
*We offer to take an expiring deal from them + a guaranteed first and/or a nice player on his rookie contract.
*If we take a longer-term contract, then it better come with a better player and/or a pick.
*In other words, I want to use that space, but still end up with flexibility and space by next year's end. Yes? eh?

Huh. Too bad there wasn't a rumored deal like this floating around...say Bledsoe and Butler....

Don't get your hopes up.
 
Teams that as of right now are on track to be in luxury tax territory (in some cases dependant on ETO's not being exercised, likely qualifying offers, ect) without factoring in extensions/new contracts (such as the Clippers w/CP3+Bledsoe):
-Heat (Wade $18.7 mil 2013-14 salary, Bosh $19.1mil 13-14 salary, Mike Miller 2yrs $12.8mil remaining, Haslem 2yrs $9mil remaining)
-Knicks (Amare w/2 yrs ~$45mil remaining)
-Lakers (Gasol $19.3mil expiring)
-Warriors have a few players w/player-options but will likely be flirting with the luxury tax (Bogut $14mil expiring, Richard Jefferson $11 mil expiring, Biedrins $9mil expiring).


Nice sketch. Repped.

I hope we put ourselves in a position to do a Googs type of deal with two teams. Loading up on 2014 picks sounds pretty great.
 
Teams that as of right now are on track to be in luxury tax territory (in some cases dependant on ETO's not being exercised, likely qualifying offers, ect) without factoring in extensions/new contracts (such as the Clippers w/CP3+Bledsoe):
-Heat (Wade $18.7 mil 2013-14 salary, Bosh $19.1mil 13-14 salary, Mike Miller 2yrs $12.8mil remaining, Haslem 2yrs $9mil remaining)
-Knicks (Amare w/2 yrs ~$45mil remaining)
-Lakers (Gasol $19.3mil expiring)
-Warriors have a few players w/player-options but will likely be flirting with the luxury tax (Bogut $14mil expiring, Richard Jefferson $11 mil expiring, Biedrins $9mil expiring).
Boston, Brooklyn, Chicago and Toronto will also likely be over without amnestying players.
 
Numberica copies entire posts to get his post count up. Congrats dude you win at Jazzfanz.com
 
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