My sister mentioned to me yesterday, she could not remember where she read it, but the more I thought about it the more I saw the potential merit: “Which ever party nominates someone different, will win the election”. This belief would derive from this fact: many Americans do not want to see another Biden-Trump race. Nominate someone younger, put together a new ticket, and the Democrats could gain momentum, not lose the 2024 election. Even with such a short time to campaign an all new ticket, the excitement could work, and work well, in this most unusual election cycle:
As voters look for an option other than Biden or Trump, alternative Democratic leaders poll similarly or even better than Biden.
theintercept.com
From the Intercept article:
“Since the poll results come without any concentrated campaign by any of the officials, they can be read as a reflection of floors rather than ceilings for each of the alternative Democrats. Given mass voter discontent with the choice between Trump and Biden, the polling suggests that voters could readily get behind someone else.
A
Reuters poll conducted as far back as January found that about half of Democrats and 75 percent of independents thought Biden should not run for president again; it also found that 31 percent of Republicans and 63 percent of independents said Trump shouldn’t run again. A
NewsNation poll conducted around the same time found that 59 percent of Americans wouldn’t be enthusiastic about a Biden-Trump rematch. The trend has continued in recent polling: A post-debate
USA Today poll found that 41 percent of Democrats and 64 percent of independents wanted Biden replaced, with 63 percent of independents wanting Trump replaced. A
CBS poll similarly found nearly half of Democrats want Biden to step aside.
In the aftermath of the debate, a CNN poll
found 75 percent of all voters thought Democrats would have a better chance at winning the election with someone other than Biden at the top of the ticket. It suggested Whitmer, California Gov. Gavin Newsom, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg were all doing slightly better than the presiden, with Harris within the margin of error of Trump. (Harris’s net-approval rating
average is also 9 points better than
Biden’s).
This polling suggests there are substantial numbers of disenchanted Democrats, independents, and even Republicans who could be enthused by an alternative, while those still standing by Biden are just as likely to support any Democratic alternative to Trump. A Democratic presidential campaign that’s been shedding support could instead be one that’s gaining momentum”.
Democratic operative Carville feels the same way:
The longtime Democratic strategist reportedly warned donors what he’d do if “we don’t do something about this.”
www.huffpost.com
Kamala Harris’ massive edge for nomination:
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So, the argument is: what seems like a massive advantage for Trump post Biden debate debacle could be an advantage Democrats, if the “we don’t want Trump or Biden” motivates the electorate that much. The Republican convention will nominate Trump. Beginning in August, the Dems have a chance to galvanize the electorate if the electorate(other than the Trump cult)really want to see youth and enthusiasm for the future, rather than Trump’s dystopian message.