He seeded clouds over Texas. Then came the conspiracy theories.
Cloud seeding couldn’t have caused the floods that killed more than 100 people, experts say. But rumormongers suggested a link to one company’s work.
Augustus Doricko knew when he founded a cloud-seeding start-up in 2023 that he’d have to contend with misunderstandings and conspiracy theories surrounding the technology. Still, he wasn’t quite prepared for the sheer volume of online fury he has faced in the wake of the
catastrophic Texas floods that have killed more than 100 people, with almost twice that many missing.
“It has been nonstop pandemonium,” Doricko said in a phone interview Wednesday.
Doricko and his company, Rainmaker, have become a focal point of posts spiraling across social media that suggest the floods in Kerr County were a human-made disaster. An array of influencers, media personalities, elected officials and other prominent figures — including Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Georgia) and former Trump adviser Michael Flynn — have publicly raised the possibility that cloud-seeding operations like Rainmaker’s might have caused or at least exacerbated the historic deluge.
That’s impossible, atmospheric scientists say.
Cloud seeding, in which planes scatter dust particles through clouds to trigger rain and snow, remains a fledgling technology, the effects of which are too limited and localized to produce anything remotely like the
15 inches of rain that drowned swaths of South Central Texas over the Fourth of July weekend.
“The amount of energy involved in making storms like that is astronomical compared to anything you can do with cloud seeding,” said Bob Rauber, an emeritus professor in atmoshpheric science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign who has studied the technology. “We’re talking about a very small increase on a natural process at best.”
That hasn’t stopped conspiracy theorists from latching onto cloud seeding as an incendiary explanation for natural disasters. The search for a scapegoat has turned a spotlight on a controversial technology that has drawn interest from drought-stricken Western states and dozens of countries trying to replenish reservoirs, despite limited evidence that it works and broader social and environmental concerns about altering the weather. And it underscores how conspiracy theories can flourish in the aftermath of natural disasters as people seek information — and the clout that can come from providing sensational answers.
This much is true: On the afternoon of July 2, a single-engine plane operated by the El Segundo, California-based start-up Rainmaker flew on a cloud-seeding job over Runge, Texas, more than 100 miles southeast of Kerr County. Over the course of about 20 minutes, it released about 70 grams of silver iodide into a pair of clouds; the mission was followed by a modest drizzle that dropped less than half a centimeter of rain over the parched farms below, Doricko said.
The run was part of a contract that Rainmaker had entered this spring with the South Texas Weather Modification Association, a nonprofit funded by local water management districts to refill reservoirs and boost rainfall over cropland.
Soon after, Doricko said, his company’s meteorologists saw a storm front approaching and called off their operations in the area. By the morning of July 4, the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry had dumped up to 15 inches of rain over parts of Kerr County.
But online sleuths steeped in conspiracy theories seized upon the coincidence.
On July 5, as the toll of dead and missing mounted, verified accounts on social media platform X demanded “accountability” as they circulated documents showing Rainmaker’s registration to perform weather modification projects in Texas.
I’d love to see the response,” Flynn responded in a
post that was viewed 1 million times.
Greene, who
drew widespread rebukes last year when she implied that Hurricane Helene may have been engineered,
said Saturday on X that she was introducing a bill that would make attempts to alter the weather “a felony offense.” Her post drew 18 million views.
TikTok influencers posted clips from a recent interview on a podcast hosted by former Navy SEAL Shawn Ryan, with whom Doricko described his company’s work and discussed who would be held responsible if it went awry. Some videos juxtaposed Doricko’s words with footage of the devastation in Texas or spliced them with an ominous cinematic score.
Doricko felt an air of inevitability as his mentions in recent days piled up with questions, accusations and threats. “I always anticipated that a moment like this would happen,” he said in an interview. “Basically every time there’s been severe weather somewhere in the world, people have blamed weather modification.”
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A climate change denier posted this Rogan tweet, as a reply to me. I left a thank you, because, although the poster likely considered it a critique of my remarks regarding conspiracism, it’s actually a compliment to those of us not persuaded by conspiracism. I don’t follow or listen to Rogan at all, but have noticed he’s been more upset by some of Trump’s decisions lately.
View: https://x.com/MrEncouragement/status/1942912039166312618