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    My hot take on what I'd do in the off-season.

    Again, by RPM, Gobert was better than both George and Davis this year. Davis, Kuzma, Green, Caruso, KCP, Howard, Morris is pretty clearly worse than Gobert, Ingles, Clarkson, Conley, Bogey, Bradley. And yet the Lakers won 8 more games.90% of the difference is LeBron vs Mitchell, not 2-8 on...
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    My hot take on what I'd do in the off-season.

    Yes, let’s take a 7 game sample against what was the second worst defense in the NBA after Christmas, a sample driven by unsustainably hot shooting, and decide that’s the “real” Donovan. Not the 60 games prior to that. Not the 2 years of below average TS% and EFG% before this season. Just this...
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    My hot take on what I'd do in the off-season.

    It seems no one wants to admit it, but the reason the Jazz look they're headed for 1st/2nd round purgatory--or worse as Gobert/Bojan/Ingles/Conley age--isn't just Mike Conley. Quite simply, the Jazz's best player, whether you think it's Rudy (which the stats would support) or Donovan (which...
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    1 point from sweeping a series they lost

    Aren't two of these losses to Durant/Westbrook Thunder? And one of them after Memphis, as an 8 seed, had already knocked off the 1-seed Spurs? I think it's more impressive the Grizz took OKC to 7 than it is an indictment of Conley that they lost. I think his other Game 7 loss is vs. Paul and...
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    1 point from sweeping a series they lost

    Wonder if that’s ever happened before.
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    2019-2020 Western Conference Prediction Contest

    1. Hou 2. LAC 3. GSW 4. Uta 5. Den 6. LAL 7. Dal 8. Por 9. NOP 10. Min 11. OKC 12. SAS 13. Sac 14. Pho 15. Mem
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    Paul George and Kawhi to the Clippers

    Jazz now projected 5th in the West.
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    Rate the Jazz Offseason and Discuss

    C- Jazz gave up a lot for potentially only one year of Conley. I think the risk he opts out and the Jazz are forced to either a) lose him or b) sign him to a big 4-year deal is understated. If you assume AD stays in LA, Conley & Draymond look to be the best potential UFAs in the 2020 class. If...
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    Jazz sign Ed Davis

    Anyone else remember spending a lot of time on here debating the merits of Ed Davis vs. Hayward vs. Paul George vs. Xavier Henry vs. Ekpe Udoh prior to the 2010? draft?
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    Jazz sign Bojan

    $18M for a 30 y/o projected for -1.32 PIPM next season.
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    Tobias Harris wants to come to utah

    All of the impact stats--BPM (Favs +4.1 vs. Harris +.5) & RPM (Favs +2.3 vs. Harris +1.63)--say that Favors was the better player last year. That's in a season where Harris had probably the best shooting stretch of his career. The Clippers won at a .545 rate prior to the trade and a .666 rate...
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    Ho Hum, just another national article hyping Joe Ingles. Wait, what?

    His FT% is nowhere near the other guys mentioned in the OP.
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    Dante Exum re-signed

    This is insane, imo, and I apologize to whomever it was I mocked for saying Exum would get $12M. The Jazz are really doubling down on the whole Exum as a legit prospect/cornerstone thing. Hope I'm wrong, but I disagree. Rubio
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    Jazz Free Agency Summer of 2018

    538 projects Klay for fewer WAR than Joe Ingles this upcoming season. Klay will also be 29 at the start of what would be his first year on the max contract, 30 y/o by the time the playoffs begin. I like Klay, but giving a max deal to a 29/30 y/o guy who is good, but not great, is typically a...
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    Jazz Free Agency Summer of 2018

    According to Pelton, last summer 1 WAR cost $2.8M. This year 1 WAR projects to cost between $1.15-$1.75M on the free agent market. The Jazz should really be looking to add one or two quality players for a couple years w/the midlevel this summer. Harris/Middleton/Klay are all good players, but...
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    Jazz Free Agency Summer of 2018

    Giving Exum $12M/yr would be incredibly dumb. In the 538 stats I just posted, he's projected for ~1 WAR. Obviously, those #s aren't perfect, but Dante is much closer to being a sunk cost at this point than a $12M/yr player. Danny Green just opted into $10M for the last year of his contract...
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    538 Projects Donovan for 8th most WAR among current players over next 7 years

    Ingles somehow projects to put up more WAR over the next 7 years than Hayward.
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    538 Projects Donovan for 8th most WAR among current players over next 7 years

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-nba-player-projections-are-ready-for-2018-19/
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    Following Potential 2018 Draftees

    RPM measures production, not production per contract dollar or production relative to draft capital expended to acquire a player. My point is simple. If a guy's upside is equaling the production of one of the least efficient players in the league, perhaps you should consider other options with...
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    Following Potential 2018 Draftees

    Friendly reminder for everyone: Evan Turner, the guy Troy Brown is most often comped to, posted a -3.15 RPM last season.
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