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2025-2026 Tank Race Prediction Contest and Current Results Thread

Their level of tanking is really, really embarrassing. They will likely lose tonight despite being up 17 in the 4th.
They have a way of losing close games. Just saying.
 

They lumped the Wiz in with us... so that is at least a start. This is why you rest Lauri in the B2B game instead of the other one... its a way better fact pattern. Also, try not to lose by 55 lol.

I just wish they had mentioned that we won the close one vs Dallas and played Key/Lauri an enormous amount of minutes on a B2B. We are like someone afraid of getting a ticket so they drive the speed limit... then they go 95 past a visible speed trap. We gotta be more sneaky lol.
 
They lumped the Wiz in with us... so that is at least a start. This is why you rest Lauri in the B2B game instead of the other one... its a way better fact pattern. Also, try not to lose by 55 lol.

I just wish they had mentioned that we won the close one vs Dallas and played Key/Lauri an enormous amount of minutes on a B2B. We are like someone afraid of getting a ticket so they drive the speed limit... then they go 95 past a visible speed trap. We gotta be more sneaky lol.

I can kind of see what they were thinking, that we had a better chance of losing to Dallas on a B2B than Charlotte with rest, but yeah it definitely back fired on us.
 
What's funny to me is that the Jazz are at the center of the tanking discourse despite really only tanking one year. Yes we are tanking this year, but when people talk about the horrors of tanking they're usually not talking about teams around the 6-8 range. The Jazz have only had one year of truly tanking but it's like we're getting the penalty of tanking for for years. Meanwhile, teams like DET are being applauded for doing things the right way when they actually tanked for that long. I really think this is something that we will not care about in a couple of years because nobody has ever cared about a team after they stop.
 
The good news on the tanking front is that LAC looks like they are probably in our review window. I don't think we need to worry about them anymore. I also don't think Charlotte will be as aggressive at tanking as us, so I think we are kind of safe there. Dallas is by far the most likely team to pass us in the tank standings, so we really need to figure out how to lose these next two games against them.

The bad news, I'm not sure we can catch any of the teams ahead of us. Besides NOP who might just be way too far ahead of us, I think all of those teams will make sure they stay ahead of us in the tank race.
 
The good news on the tanking front is that LAC looks like they are probably in our review window. I don't think we need to worry about them anymore. I also don't think Charlotte will be as aggressive at tanking as us, so I think we are kind of safe there. Dallas is by far the most likely team to pass us in the tank standings, so we really need to figure out how to lose these next two games against them.

The bad news, I'm not sure we can catch any of the teams ahead of us. Besides NOP who might just be way too far ahead of us, I think all of those teams will make sure they stay ahead of us in the tank race.

It will be interesting to see how things go in the second half of the season. Are teams going to be able to plug without scrutiny? Or just the Jazz getting flamed on podcasts?
 
What's funny to me is that the Jazz are at the center of the tanking discourse despite really only tanking one year. Yes we are tanking this year, but when people talk about the horrors of tanking they're usually not talking about teams around the 6-8 range. The Jazz have only had one year of truly tanking but it's like we're getting the penalty of tanking for for years. Meanwhile, teams like DET are being applauded for doing things the right way when they actually tanked for that long. I really think this is something that we will not care about in a couple of years because nobody has ever cared about a team after they stop.
And I don't think Det tanked much after the Cade draft... I think they sucked but like could have tried harder... so is that a scourge too? Do we need to keep adjusting until every team can go 41-41?

Its just teams leaning into cycles. Let them do it or completely change the incentives. I see no reason to differentiate between teams that offload their good players to tank and those that mothball them occasionally so long as those players are okay with the arrangement. We want to be good next year so why do we have to play Lauri and hurt our long-term benefit... or we can trade him and have a longer time at the bottom. Again, as long as he is okay with it.
 
The good news on the tanking front is that LAC looks like they are probably in our review window. I don't think we need to worry about them anymore. I also don't think Charlotte will be as aggressive at tanking as us, so I think we are kind of safe there. Dallas is by far the most likely team to pass us in the tank standings, so we really need to figure out how to lose these next two games against them.

The bad news, I'm not sure we can catch any of the teams ahead of us. Besides NOP who might just be way too far ahead of us, I think all of those teams will make sure they stay ahead of us in the tank race.
NOP have incentive to win but they have the perfect tank tandem in Fears and Queen. They are good enough they need the reps but Fears will murder your offense and Queen will murder your defense. They may pass us but I don't think its likely.

Dallas may have the worst record from here on out. They have the 3rd hardest schedule and are genuinely awful without AD, Lively, and Kyrie the rest of the year. A coach that feels checked out... an ownership group that is dumb... no FO leader.
 
DAL is in the IND zone where even if you line up the rosters and think they're better it doesn't matter because those teams have given up entirely. If they had traded AD I think we'd be in the clear and that's what I was expecting, but that's a lost cause at this point.
 
To ease my tanxiety I hit the SIM lottery a whole bunch of times until the Jazz lost their pick. It took about 15 times of hitting the button before we dropped below 8, but in the process we jumped up in to the top 4 about 6 or 7 times.

I'm perfectly capable of understanding probabilities just by looking at the odds, but this was still kind of fun.
 
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