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Gyp's wagers for the fall

Jets have a brutal schedule, especially to start the season. They also get nothing from the Brady suspension. They might manage to win 8 but I think that's their ceiling.

I'd stay away from Jacksonville at under 7.5 and Colts over 9.5 is a stretch.

I pretty much agree with everything else.
 
candrew said:
Jets have a brutal schedule, especially to start the season. They also get nothing from the Brady suspension. They might manage to win 8 but I think that's their ceiling.

I'd stay away from Jacksonville at under 7.5 and Colts over 9.5 is a stretch.

I pretty much agree with everything else.
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I did the Jags and Colts, like some of the others, for one main reason outside of the line itself. Culture. While I like where the Jags are headed, do I think they can already win 8 games? Nope. Their d has shown nothing and running game is mediocre. To get over that losing and become a winner is very tough. Look at the AFC alone. Pats, Steelers, Bengals, Ravens, Chiefs and Denver are winners consistently. And to a lesser degree, the Chargers with Rivers and Raiders (similar to Jax) and Jets and Bills and Fins and Houston for a variety of reasons either win 7-9 games usually or could. That makes it very tough for the Jags to slip in an also win 8 when they're so accustomed to losing.

For the Colts, like I said, I think Luck could come back healthy and pissed off, finally putting it all together with the young weapons and Gore. And in his first three years, they were winners. Not as confident in that though.

In general, I usually bet based on my gut on the line (don't care about odds at all) and consider the team's QB play and culture most of all. While I lose in my weekly betting, this is the one thing I've crushed for the three years I've done it. I'd estimate I'm 32-14 over that time.
 
Cunning Linguist said:
Either you're joking or simply haven't looked at their schedule. They had 10 wins last year when basically everything fell right. Their schedule is brutal this year and they'd have to get 9 wins or more for me to lose. I'm very confident. I'd guess they go 7-9.

That said, it means I'm risking 175 to win 125.
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I think my overly tired brain translated "under" to "over".
 
I did Houston O9.5 and Louisville O9 recently. I think they both go 10-2 but Louisville wins the conference after beating them head-to-head.
 
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