Wouldnt shock me to see Black drop, especially if guys like JHS are rising.Ausar is not still going to be on the board at 11 and Black's not going to be there at 16.
If Black goes to the combine and measures with a mediocre wingspan (almost none of these prospects have official measurements because of covid) and puts up mediocre athletic testing, he could be in to drop out of the lottery. He's has not performed exceptionally well this year and I dont foresee him having a great tourney.