********. There's loads of information on past players, their performance, and their contracts. The FO should have some idea about which teams will (/are likely to have) cap space, which players will be free agents, and team-specific needs.I don't know how the Jazz can determine contract value for either Hayward or Favors.
********. There's loads of information on past players, their performance, and their contracts. The FO should have some idea about which teams will (/are likely to have) cap space, which players will be free agents, and team-specific needs.
The FO should be able to construct some reasonable distribution over individual (for Favors and Hayward) and team performance over the life of their contract extensions.
Given this, estimates of team revenue, and the FO's short- and long-term strategies and attitudes toward risk and ambiguity (uncertainty), there should be a large set of contracts the team is willing to offer to both Favors and Hayward. For example, they'd certainly extend them for the minimum for 4 or 5 years. Whether there's any overlap between what the FO is willing to offer and the players are willing to accept is unknown.
Yes, contract offers made today can affect the relationship between the FO and the player/agent, but even agents depend on having working relationships with all teams to get the best contracts for their players. They can't afford to get their feelings hurt.
The Harden situation is a prime example of not knowing a players value because of his limited role.
I guaranasstee you they would have dealt Ibaka or gotten WAY more in return for Harden if they would have known he'd perform like he did last year in a larger role instead of sixth man.
Can you stop with this "intellectually bankrupt" blanket statements now ?
We don't know how they will perform and what their true value is.
I'm not saying either one is as good as Harden or close, my point is we don't know the value until they have a significant role and see what they do with it. We see potential. So we either take the risk and sign them for what we think it is or let them play and either its lower or they blow up.
I've heard people talk about how players prepare differently and perform different when they know their contribution will be significant and valuable.
I'm not sure if this has been discussed, but I think that Favors will probably be worth about 12 next year and Hayward about 9, but if we lock them up now we might get a few mill off that.
Again, I am pretty sure this hasn't been discussed here so I thought I would bring it up. I knew Frank would appreciate such an important contribution to this discussion.
12 and 9. Book it.
The intent of your posts has been hard to read ever since your return.
The intent of your posts has been hard to read ever since your return.
"Favors was branded a "bust" by New Jersey"
Not sure I agree. NJ was in "win now" mode (ergo willing to let raw talent go in exchange for DWill). Hard to know how he would have developed if placed in a key offensive role. This year should help to answer the question. I think this was exacerbated by his "deer in the headlights" look and "painfully shy" personality. No one wanted to rush him because he was so darn uncomfortable in his own skin and did not know if he belonged in the NBA. Biggest risk to the Jazz: does he develop a killer instinct? Will he get a chip on his shoulder and try to go destroy the opponent? What is his will to win? For me, fingers are crossed that he grows up this year..... But given Jazz history with AK and his (very different) neuroses, are the Jazz willing to risk $12MM at this time? My guess is no, they will be gun shy and would only extend now at under $10MM (i know I'm in the minority here with the consensus around $12M, but let's just see how it plays out. If he proves his swagger next season, then he lands $12MM after this year as the Jazz match.
https://dimemag.com/2010/11/nba-journeyman-may-turn-derrick-favors-into-hasheem-thabeet/
Dripping sarcasm was pretty clear to me.....
@davidjsmith1232: "Hayward is sort of a notch below the Batum/Gallinari class of small forwards from a couple of years ago." -@kpelton
[size/HUGE] fixed [/size];656987 said:I disagree. But, my only evidence would be some vague notion about Hay's "feel for the game." I think he'll be more consistent + make better 5-man-basketball plays + be more versatile than either of those guys.
That said, I don't think what I'm saying can be quantified or proven in terms the negotiators will recognize. So, I might expect him to be paid a little less. Anyway, I think POR and DEN would rather have Hay. I would.