paper that poses the observations & analysis, from a lab at Yale
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/352/6282/224
(to those unaware, Science and Nature are the two biggest scientific journals in all of academia. Generally difficult to get published there unless your research is especially noteworthy).
Here's the press release from the Guarding going through the details:
https://www.theguardian.com/environ...ate-change-analysis-liquid-ice-global-warming
yes, Science and Nature are big.
I don't think their track record for leading research matches their reputation. More of a tail wind sort of press. advancing science from the rear.
To be a courageous sort of challenger to the status quo, you practically have to publish the work yourself anymore. Well, you always needed to do that.
Historically, The British Royal Academy of Science publishes more breakthrough science.
In 1996 I hiked up on the mountain and found a tree near a spring that had been cut down. I spent an afternoon counting an measuring tree rings for the past 400 years. The past 100 years was the tightest set of rings, meaning less water or colder or both. My grandpa, at age 100 in 1964, made a big point about the weather changing. Used to be lush grasslands for grazing cattle in some places that are just sagebrush today. Summer monsoon rains dropped off.
The past four years, the summer monsoons are back, and grass is growing in those places again. Between 50000 and 10000 years ago, we had a very wet climate, comparatively, and some huge lakes throughout the Great Basin. Lake Bonneville broke out down the Snake River and dropped 500 feet in elevation, while a flood raged down the Snake.
Most of Earth History has been much higher CO2 atmosphere, and the world didn't end, and we didn't need to market carbon credits or taxes to make the world economically just under a few megatrillionaires who crafted the market to their advantage, or to the advantage of their plans.
In the past million years or so, we have had unprecedented low CO2 atmospheric content, and with it, ice ages. Summer ice melt in the Northern Hemisphere sets up a cycle of salt-mixing currents that create corresponding weather cycles. In the past 10000 years we have been on an interglacial warm, but each preceeding interglacial warm has reached higher temps than we have now, without any so-called anthropogenic effects.
Science and Nature have been caught up in a fashionable scientific trend. Just fifty years ago they were, correctly, invoking the specter of a coming ice age. win some lose some, that's what science is all about, and it usually takes less than a hundred years for any scientific result to become sorta dated, old school.
I've been following the climate research pretty closely lately, and I am impressed with the things we are learning. All this money and attention on weather and climate is actually pretty great.
I just think it will take about ten years for the reality of the new ice age to become vogue science, and I expect the politicians to get right out there in front of that wave with megaideas about how the world needs to respond to that.
warm oceans put water into play, and you would not believe how fast an ice sheet can build up once the snowfall in the Arctic catches up on that trend. Ice Ages all have begun with a short-lived spike in temps.