What's new
By:

Jazz 2017/18 Playoff Bus! All Aboard!

Denver's remaining schedule (current record: 40-33)

at Philly
at Toronto
at OKC
vs Milwaukee
vs Indy
vs Minnesota
at LA Clippers
vs Portland
at Minnesota

They are going to lose at least 2 of their next 3 on the road. And probably at least 3 out of their final 5 on the road overall because they are a bad road team. Their home schedule isn't much friendlier either. I see them going to go 4-5 or 5-4 over the final 9. 44-38 or 45-37 is not going to threaten for a playoff spot. They would need another team to totally collapse.

Clippers remaining schedule (current record: 39-34)

vs Milwaukee
at Phoenix
at Portland
vs Indy
vs San Antonio
at Utah
vs Denver
vs New Orleans
vs LA Lakers

7 of their final 9 are against playoff teams. They are probably going to have to go 7-2 or 8-1 to have a realistic chance to make it. I see every playoff team in the west having 46+ wins.


I think that the top 8 teams right now are the 8 teams who make the playoffs in the west. The current 3-8 seeds in the west only have to get to 46 wins to force Denver and LAC to put up unlikely records to have a slim chance. Portland is 1 win from 46, OKC 2, NO and SA 3, and Utah and Minny 4. All of those teams should hit that win total rather easily.
 
fallenchicken said:
Don't know, but that Spurs game has me feeling pretty confident in this team. Even though we lost that game, I think this team just has something special. Something a Jazz team hasn't had in a long time. We have a lot of holes and weaknesses, we are being led by a Rookie and so naturally are going to be inconsistent, but this team has a ton of heart, and just has some really good players who aren't afraid of the moment. They also have a chip on their shoulder. We are playing with something to prove.

Most fun season in years. And such a bright future no matter what happens. Next year is going to be lit.
Click to expand...

This is exactly how I feel. The Spurs basically had to play their best game of the season in order to beat us in overtime. I don't think 8-0 is out of the question, especially if Portland/GS have nothing to play for in the last two games. We're in good shape, and we can withstand a loss or two down the stretch.
 
Denver is toast; they could very well lose their next 3. But don't count out the Clippers just yet: 7-2 is very realistic and that includes losses to Portland and Utah. Jazz really can't afford to stumble. But it is fortuitous that Portland and GS will probably have their playoff slots determined by their final games against Utah and have nothing to play for. Both teams should rest players for those games.
 
eacioban said:
Now that Curry is out of the first round, we should try and fortify that seventh seed. We can handle durant, green and Thompson.

Sent from my Moto G (5) Plus using JazzFanz mobile app
Click to expand...

I'm all over that like a bacon on a baked potato. Oddly enough, assuming Porty still held three seed and got out to the first round, we'd have a strong chance to make the WCF. Cart before the horse though.
 
WhiskyPriest said:
I hope so... Lakers have been playing everyone tough. They won't just roll over.
Click to expand...

This is true but I think we are a bad match up for them.
Rudy will feast. So will favors. Spida will dominate.
 
SCS said:
Denver's remaining schedule (current record: 40-33)

at Philly
at Toronto
at OKC
vs Milwaukee
vs Indy
vs Minnesota
at LA Clippers
vs Portland
at Minnesota

They are going to lose at least 2 of their next 3 on the road. And probably at least 3 out of their final 5 on the road overall because they are a bad road team. Their home schedule isn't much friendlier either. I see them going to go 4-5 or 5-4 over the final 9. 44-38 or 45-37 is not going to threaten for a playoff spot. They would need another team to totally collapse.

Clippers remaining schedule (current record: 39-34)

vs Milwaukee
at Phoenix
at Portland
vs Indy
vs San Antonio
at Utah
vs Denver
vs New Orleans
vs LA Lakers

7 of their final 9 are against playoff teams. They are probably going to have to go 7-2 or 8-1 to have a realistic chance to make it. I see every playoff team in the west having 46+ wins.


I think that the top 8 teams right now are the 8 teams who make the playoffs in the west. The current 3-8 seeds in the west only have to get to 46 wins to force Denver and LAC to put up unlikely records to have a slim chance. Portland is 1 win from 46, OKC 2, NO and SA 3, and Utah and Minny 4. All of those teams should hit that win total rather easily.
Click to expand...

God damn that’s brutal. Denver could lose each and every one of those games. Not a single tank team on their schedule. Very team they play is in the playoffs or a contender to be in.

Clippers only play 2 non playoff teams.
Just brutal finishes for those teams. Plus we are better than them regardless of schedule.
We got this.
 
I'm all in on the 6/7 seeds. 3 is out of reach, 8 sucks because Houston is incredible, and 4/5 is fine but leaves you with a date with the Rockets in Round 2.

7 is probably ideal at this point. I think I'd rather play GSW in the first round, and then the winner of Portland/Six seed in the second round. Sure, they'll have their squad back. But they've been a bit off all year, and I'd rather get them as early as possible in the postseason without Steph. 6 wouldn't be terrible either, take your chances with Portland in round 1 and then give GSW all they can handle in Round 2, but I'd rather the 7.

Can you freaking imagine if this team went to the WCF? In a "pivot" year?

/getting ahead of myself
 
I just want to lock up that spot first then worry about seeding. While Denver and LAC have slightly tougher schedules, a desperate team can catch fire at any moment. If Denver wins tonight, all it takes is one game. LAC just beat Toronto and have an opportunity to make up an entire game when they play us.

The odds may be in our favor but that means jack ****, if we have a misstep or two.
 
JazzyFresh said:
I just want to lock up that spot first then worry about seeding. While Denver and LAC have slightly tougher schedules, a desperate team can catch fire at any moment. If Denver wins tonight, all it takes is one game. LAC just beat Toronto and have an opportunity to make up an entire game when they play us.

The odds may be in our favor but that means jack ****, if we have a misstep or two.
Click to expand...

Well said. It wasn't long ago that a real bad team from Atlanta beat us at home. Anything can happen.
 
http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/22914602/new-predictions-nba-playoff-matchups-seeds-wins
Acording to this, it's anything from 4th to 7th for us. More chances of finishing 3rd than missing the playoffs:

West playoff odds by seed
Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
HOU 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
GSW 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
POR 0 0 69.6 16.2 7.4 3.6 2 0.9 0.2 0
OKC 0 0 4.4 21.1 20.3 18.3 16.0 12.9 6.7 0.3
UTA 0 0 8.2 17.9 20.6 18.6 16.5 11.2 6.3 0.6
SAS 0 0 8.9 17.0 17.5 18.4 18.3 14.4 4.9 0.5
MIN 0 0 1.9 11.3 15.1 18.1 19.6 19.8 12.5 1.7
NOP 0 0 6.6 14.6 15.3 16.4 16.4 17.9 10.2 2.6
DEN 0 0 0.3 1.8 3.6 5.9 10 17.3 35.3 25.7
LAC 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 5.5 24.0 68.5
 
eacioban said:
Now that Curry is out of the first round, we should try and fortify that seventh seed. We can handle durant, green and Thompson.

Sent from my Moto G (5) Plus using JazzFanz mobile app
Click to expand...
I said something similar in 1998. Jazz swept the Lakers and were primed for Chicago. I didn't want them to play (and beat) the Pacers as I wanted the Jazz to roll through the BEST teams.

...and, well...

I realize GSW would be down and not the best but they'd likely have three other All-Stars to kick Utah's ***.
 
I dont agree with those ESPN odds. I think Minnesota and NO have much better chances of finishing 4 and 5 ahead of OKC. Im just basing it off of home/away schedules and assuming teams hold serve against each other at home.

It's tight. Utah made up for the Atlanta debacle with the road win vs. GS. I have the Jazz finishing in a tie with SA for 7th/8th which would mean the 7th seed and a matchup with GS.

Denver finishes 10th with 45 wins. Clippers get to 46, but finish 1 game out of the playoffs.

Houston
Golden State
Portland
Minnesota
New Orleans
OKC
Utah
San Antonio

I'm likely underestimating the Thunder. They'll probably win a couple of road games against playoff caliber teams. Minnesota has a pretty easy schedule to finish. Dont see them losing more than 2 games.
 
Last edited:
Jason said:
I said something similar in 1998. Jazz swept the Lakers and were primed for Chicago. I didn't want them to play (and beat) the Pacers as I wanted the Jazz to roll through the BEST teams.

...and, well...

I realize GSW would be down and not the best but they'd likely have three other All-Stars to kick Utah's ***.
Click to expand...

Ideally a healthy minnesota gets GS and knocks them out. We get the #6 and beat Porty... we beat Minny... we beat Houston because James Harden hits his exhaustion limits again... we win the championship because Lebron never beats the Jazz... never!

That seems like the likely scenario... I'd be surprised if it didn't happen tbh.
 
David Stern said:
My thoughts are that I'd prefer the 4/5 with SA or NO first, 3/6 with PDX second, 4/5 with OKC third, the 2/7 with GS a very distant 4th. They're still a damn good team.
Click to expand...
My thoughts exactly
 
Handlogten's Heros said:
Ideally a healthy minnesota gets GS and knocks them out. We get the #6 and beat Porty... we beat Minny... we beat Houston because James Harden hits his exhaustion limits again... we win the championship because Lebron never beats the Jazz... never!

That seems like the likely scenario... I'd be surprised if it didn't happen tbh.
Click to expand...

How legendary would Donovan be if this happened?
 
Bulletproof said:
1 million times
Click to expand...
bigmike said:
I'm all in on the 6/7 seeds. 3 is out of reach, 8 sucks because Houston is incredible, and 4/5 is fine but leaves you with a date with the Rockets in Round 2.

7 is probably ideal at this point. I think I'd rather play GSW in the first round, and then the winner of Portland/Six seed in the second round. Sure, they'll have their squad back. But they've been a bit off all year, and I'd rather get them as early as possible in the postseason without Steph. 6 wouldn't be terrible either, take your chances with Portland in round 1 and then give GSW all they can handle in Round 2, but I'd rather the 7.

Can you freaking imagine if this team went to the WCF? In a "pivot" year?

/getting ahead of myself
Click to expand...

Yep. 4/5 may also very well leave us with OKC in the 1st round which I think is a bad matchup too.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Share this page
Back
Top